Expires:201303052115;;009112
FPUS51 KBTV 051134
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
634 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013

VTZ006-052115-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
634 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013
.TODAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY THIS MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW
50 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 20. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
$$

Expires:201303051200;;009089
ASUS41 KBTV 051130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE MAR 05 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-051200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    26  21  81 NE3       30.01R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    23  19  85 NW6       29.96R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    24  19  81 N8        29.98R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     25  19  78 MISG      29.93R                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     24  19  81 CALM      29.94R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    23  21  93 N5        29.97R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    28  18  64 NW5       29.95R                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT SNOW  23  20  91 CALM      30.03R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    24  19  81 CALM      29.97R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    27  19  72 CALM      29.96R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     21 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     21 N/A N/A W7          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     19 N/A N/A E1G15       N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     28  25  86 NE6         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     28  23  80 W3          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;009180
FXUS61 KBTV 051139
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
639 AM EST TUE MAR 5 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A FEW LIGHT SNOW 
OR RAIN SHOWERS. A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST 
LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND MAY BRING SOME SNOW OR RAIN TO 
PARTS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY LATER IN THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL TURN 
MILDER...WITH HIGHS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY REACHING THE UPPER 30S 
TO MID 40S.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 636 AM EST TUESDAY...UPPER LOW SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA WILL MOVE
SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE AREA TODAY...BUT VORT LOBE ROTATING AROUND THE
LOW WILL RESULT IN THE CONTINUED CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
OR FLURRIES...ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING. POCKETS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE
POSSIBLE EARLY TODAY. MILDER AIR ALSO HEADING OUR WAY FROM THE
NORTHEAST...WITH HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE 30S...TO NEAR 40 IN
THE VALLEYS. ANY PRECIPITATION WHICH MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON
COULD FALL AS A LIGHT SNOW/RAIN MIX.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 408 AM EST TUESDAY...FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED FOR 
TONIGHT AS DECAYING UPPER TROUGH RESIDES OVER THE REGION. EXPECT 
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH JUST SLIGHT CHANCE FEW LIGHT SNOW 
SHOWERS/FLURRIES...AND MAYBE A FEW POCKETS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30.
RATHER COMPLICATED WEATHER SCENARIO WILL BE DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY 
THROUGH THURSDAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL BE DEVELOPING WELL SOUTH 
OF THE REGION ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY. THE VERTICALLY 
STACKED LOW WILL THEN MAKE ITS WAY SLOWLY TO EAST-NORTHEAST AND PASS 
OUT SOUTH OF THE 40N 70W BENCHMARK DURING THURSDAY. ANOTHER 
VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE WILL THEN APPROACH FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES 
REGION THURSDAY...AND EVENTUALLY WILL INTERACT WITH THE OFFSHORE 
SYSTEM. MEANWHILE...LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED
OVER EASTERN CANADA. INCREASING EAST-NORTHEAST FLOW IN BETWEEN
THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.
WHILE BEST DYNAMICS...FORCING AND DEEP MOISTURE STAYS SOUTH OF
OUR AREA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD...SOME ATLANTIC MOISTURE WILL BE
DRAWN INTO THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE RATHER LOW WITH ANY
PRECIPITATION BEING SPOTTY AND LIGHT. CHANCES INCREASE LATER
THURSDAY AS COASTAL SYSTEM IS BLOCKED DOWNSTREAM...AND GREAT
LAKES DISTURBANCE ENTERS THE PICTURE. LACK OF MODEL CONSENSUS ON
HOW THIS SITUATION WILL EVOLVE RESULTS IN RATHER LOW FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE FOR THURSDAY. TEMPS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE
AROUND OR A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 408 AM EST TUESDAY...STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS
TO THE OVERALL IMPACTS TO THE BTV CWA FROM MULTIPLE CLOSED
CIRCULATIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...BUT 00Z GUIDANCE HAS
COME INTO A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT COMPARED TO THE 12Z RUNS.
COASTAL LOW SOUTHEAST OF THE BENCHMARK AT 00Z FRIDAY WILL CONTINUE
TO SHIFT EAST AWAY FROM THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THURSDAY
NIGHT...WHILE ANOTHER CLOSED UPPER LOW AND SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPS
SOUTHEAST OUT OF ONTARIO CROSSING OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.
WHILE THE BEST VORTICITY ADVECTION LOOKS TO BE SOUTH OF THE NORTH
COUNTRY...THE COMBINATION OF WEAK FORCING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
SYSTEM AND MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE COASTAL LOW WILL BRING
ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
THEREAFTER...LARGE AMPLITUDE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN US
AND WILL DOMINATE THE NORTHEAST'S WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT
DROPS SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF JAMES BAY SUNDAY INCREASING CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION AGAIN...BUT LIKELY TO HAVE LITTLE IMPACT AS BOUNDARY
LAYER TEMPS RUNNING WELL ABOVE FREEZING SO PTYPE LIKELY TO BE RAIN
IN THE VALLEYS AND WET SNOW ABOVE 2000 FT. BY 12Z MONDAY...UPPER
RIDGE BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED AGAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS IN
ADVANCE OF A BROAD SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS SYSTEM DOESN'T LOOK TO AFFECT THE
NORTHEAST UNTIL POSSIBLY TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH GENERALLY SUNNY AND
MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED AHEAD OF IT FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST CONTINUES TO ADVECT RICH ATLANTIC MOISTURE INTO THE
NORTHEAST. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS AROUND THIS MORNING...BUT SHOULDN'T
RESTRICT VSBY BELOW 6SM...THEN A BRIEF BREAK TO VFR IS EXPECTED
FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS VT TERMINALS...BEFORE
RETURNING TO MVFR AFTER 00Z.
OUTLOOK 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
MVFR RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
06Z THURSDAY THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...CHANCE FOR MVFR/IFR SNOW WITH
POTENTIAL COASTAL LOW.
00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...MVFR TRENDING TO VFR.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF

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