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SKIVT-L  March 2013, Week 3

SKIVT-L March 2013, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 15 Mar 2013 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (210 lines)

Expires:201303152030;;429657
FPUS51 KBTV 150802
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
402 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013

VTZ006-152030-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
402 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE SNOW
SQUALLS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO
5 INCHES. LOWS AROUND 16. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW
80 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. HIGHS
AROUND 30. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 20. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. BREEZY
WITH HIGHS AROUND 30. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 15. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
$$

Expires:201303151100;;435238
ASUS41 KBTV 151030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-151100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     17   5  59 CALM      29.89F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    13   4  67 NW8       29.84F                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    16   3  56 VRB3      29.86F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     14   3  61 MISG      29.82F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   PTSUNNY   11   4  72 CALM      29.81S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     12   5  73 W6        29.86S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     17   2  51 VRB5      29.86S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      16   6  64 CALM      29.88F                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    12   2  63 CALM      29.82S                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     18   5  57 NW3       29.87S                  
SUTTON*          N/A      9 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A      9 N/A N/A W7          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      7 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     12 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      1 N/A N/A W38G53      N/A  WCI -26          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     21   9  58 W10         N/A  WCI  10          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     21   7  53 N7          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;430341
FXUS61 KBTV 150815
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
415 AM EDT FRI MAR 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY 
THROUGH THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES AND THE CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS. A LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE IN THE 20S AND 30S FOR HIGHS AND MAINLY IN
THE TEENS FOR LOWS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION
ON SUNDAY WILL RESULT IN CLEARING SKIES...BUT CHILLY TEMPERATURES.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 410 AM EDT FRIDAY...FCST CHALLENGE THRU TONIGHT WL BE AREAL 
COVERAGE/INTENSITY OF SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT S/W
ENERGY ACRS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. WATER VAPOR SHOWS DEEP
MID/UPPER LVL TROF ACRS THE NE CONUS WITH NEXT S/W ENERGY LOCATED
OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SYSTEM HAS STRONG DYNAMICS...BUT
LIMITED DEEP LAYER RH AND IS MOVING QUICKLY IN THE FAST FLW ALOFT.
THE BEST 850 TO 500MB RH AND 850 TO 700MB UVVS...ALONG WITH
STRONGEST Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE IS ACRS NORTHERN NY INTO
CENTRAL/NORTHERN VT BTWN 15Z AND 00Z TODAY. IN ADDITION...SOME
WEST TO SOUTHWEST SFC TO 850MB FLW AHEAD OF S/W...MAY ADVECT
ENHANCED LLVL MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE DACKS AND
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN GREEN MTNS. SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME INSTABILITY 
WITH STEEP LLVL LAPSE RATES AND SOME VERY WEAK CAPE...THEREFORE
EXPECT A CONVECTIVE NATURE TO THE SNOW SHOWERS WITH A SNOW SQUALL
POSSIBLE THIS AFTN. AFTER REVIEWING THE LOCAL SNOW SQUALL
PARAMETER STUDY AND SEEING VALUES BTWN 3 AND 5...HAVE DECIDED TO
GO AHEAD AND MENTION SNOW SQUALLS IN THE FCST. AS SYSTEM PASSES TO
OUR EAST...EXPECT A PERIOD OF UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT BTWN 10 PM AND 6 AM...AS FAVORABLE NW FLW DEVELOPS WITH
SOME LEFTOVER MOISTURE. THINKING SNOWFALL WL RANGE FROM A DUSTING
TO AN INCH OR TWO VALLEYS...WITH 2 TO 5 INCHES MTNS...ESPECIALLY
WESTERN/NORTHERN DACKS AND FROM STOWE/SUGARBUSH TO JAY PEAK. THIS
IS A STORM TOTAL BTWN THE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM TODAY AND THE MESO-SCALE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TONIGHT. SOUNDINGS SHOW UNBLOCKED FLW
WITH A HIGH INVERSION...SO EXPECT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO
PROPAGATE DOWNSTREAM OF THE GREEN MTNS. WL MENTION CAT POPS MTNS
AND LIKELY POPS VALLEYS WITH CHC POPS ACRS THE LWR CT RIVER
VALLEY. TEMPS WITH A WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLW AND NO SNOW PACK IN
THE CPV WL WARM INTO THE 30S...WITH MID 20S NEK/MTN ZNS.
TONIGHT...EXPECT CLOUDS/PRECIP AND WINDS TO HOLD TEMPS MAINLY IN
THE TEENS MTNS TO L/MID 20S VALLEYS. WL TREND ABOVE GUIDANCE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 410 AM EDT FRIDAY...MID/UPPER LVL TROF CONTS ACRS THE NE CONUS
FOR SAT AND SUNDAY...WITH BLW NORMAL TEMPS AND CHCS FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. OVERALL PATTERN WL FEATURE SEVERAL S/W'S MOVING ACRS OUR
CWA IN THE FAST NW FLW ALOFT...ALONG WITH RIBBONS OF ENHANCED RH.
THESE SUBTLE FEATURES WL MAKE POPS AND QPF FCST TRICKY THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THE BTV 4KM LOOKS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL LIGHT
SNOW ON SATURDAY IN THE MTNS...ASSOCIATED WITH UPSLOPE FLW...GOOD
RH IN THE SNOW GROWTH REGION...AND SOME WEAK LLVL LIFT. OVERALL
DEPTH OF RH DECREASES AFT 18Z...WITH ONLY FLURRIES ANTICIPATED
BTWN 18Z AND 03Z. NEXT S/W ENERGY WITH ADDITIONAL RH ARRIVES AFT
03Z SUNDAY...WITH ANOTHER CHC FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY. THIS
SYSTEM WL HAVE LESS RH AND BEST DYNAMICS STAY NORTH OF OUR
CWA...BUT WL MENTION CHC POPS MAINLY IN THE MTNS. ADDITIONAL
SNOWFALL FROM SAT INTO SUNDAY ACRS THE MTNS WL RANGE FROM A
DUSTING TO SEVERAL INCHES. ONLY A DUSTING IS ANTICIPATED IN THE
VALLEYS. 1026MB SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO OUR CWA BY SUNDAY
AFTN...WITH DEEP DRY LAYER DEVELOPING. THIS WL RESULT IN CLRING
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. PROGGED 85H TEMPS RANGE BTWN -12C AND -15C
ON SATURDAY...WITH COOLEST READINGS NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
THESE TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 20S TO L30S SATURDAY. ON
SUNDAY...85H TEMPS COOL BY SEVERAL DEGREES...SUPPORTING HIGHS IN
THE TEENS MTNS TO MID/UPPER 20S VALLEYS...WHICH IS 5 TO 10 DEGREES
BLW NORMAL.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 410 AM EDT FRIDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SUNDAY NIGHT WILL 
PROMOTE A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO MOVE DOWN FROM CANADA AND
PROVIDE US WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SHOULD BE THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD MONDAY MORNING. THE HIGH WILL BRING
DRY WEATHER ON MONDAY...BUT POTENT UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE UPPER MIDWEST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. PRONOUNCED WARM AIR
ADVECTION DEVELOPS MONDAY NIGHT AND THIS WILL ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SNOW TO DEVELOP. GOING FORECAST OF SNOW LIKELY LOOKS
REAL GOOD GIVEN STRENGTH OF WARM AIR ADVECTION FOLLOWED BY
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT FROM APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. THE WARM AIR
ADVECTION WILL LIKELY BE SUFFICIENT ALONG WITH DOWNSLOPING
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS TO WARM THE LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
AND CAUSE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN
VERMONT...THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. WHAT
WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED IS MAGNITUDE OF SECONDARY SURFACE LOW TO
OUR SOUTH WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE WARMER AIR ALOFT FROM GETTING THIS
FAR NORTH...THUS KEEPING MORE OF THE PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. WILL MAINTAIN THE GOING FORECAST OF RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY ON
TUESDAY...THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AS COLDER AIR
MOVES IN ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SURFACE LOW. MAIN UPPER TROUGH
LINGERS OVER THE NORTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...THUS
LOOKING AT THE THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
OF NOTE WILL BE THE CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS
ON WEDNESDAY AS PRESSURE GRADIENT STRENGTHENS OVER THE REGION.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGH 12Z THIS
MORNING THEN CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST AS
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES DOWN FROM CANADA. CEILINGS WILL
LOWER INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY AFTER 18Z AND REMAIN THERE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. LIGHT SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP BY MID-
MORNING...BUT BE MORE NOTICEABLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. VISIBILITIES SHOULD LOWER INTO THE MVFR CATEGORY
WITH PERIODS OF IFR VISIBILITIES AS WELL. WINDS WILL BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOME MORE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST LATER THIS MORNING AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE UNDER 15 KNOTS.
OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
06Z SATURDAY THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...PRIMARILY VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN.
00Z TUESDAY ONWARD...LOW PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...TABER
NEAR TERM...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...EVENSON/RJS

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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December 2008, Week 1
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November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
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August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
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April 2006, Week 3
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March 2006, Week 4
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January 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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February 2005, Week 1
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July 2004, Week 3
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June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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March 2001, Week 5
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