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SKIVT-L  April 2013, Week 3

SKIVT-L April 2013, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 21 Apr 2013 06:50:04 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (192 lines)

Expires:201304212015;;100674
FPUS51 KBTV 210743
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
343 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013

VTZ006-212015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
343 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE
OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
$$

Expires:201304211100;;107313
ASUS41 KBTV 211030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-211100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    30  14  51 NW10      30.47R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    27  16  63 NW10G18   30.44R WCI  17          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    29  14  53 VRB5      30.45R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     29  17  61 MISG      30.39R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      26  16  64 NW3       30.40R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    30  16  55 NW9       30.44R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    31  16  54 W6G18     30.41R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    31  16  53 W8        30.48R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      26  16  65 NW7       30.42R                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     29  16  58 W5        30.43R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     27 N/A N/A NW7         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     14 N/A N/A W30         N/A  WCI  -7          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  18  55 N18         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  14  47 NW13        N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;102504
FXUS61 KBTV 210824
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
424 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES 
WILL SLOWLY BUILD TOWARD NORTHERN NEW YORK. THIS WILL RESULT IN 
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY AND MONDAY...ALONG 
WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TODAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE 30S 
MOUNTAINS AND 40S VALLEYS...WHILE COOLING BACK INTO THE TEENS AND 
20S TONIGHT. AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN NEW 
ENGLAND...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES BY 
TUESDAY...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. 
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
AS OF 430 AM EDT SUNDAY...FCST CHALLENGE WL BE TEMPS THRU TONIGHT...WITH 
SOME NEAR RECORD LOWS POSSIBLE BY MONDAY MORNING...AT MPV/MSS.
WATER VAPOR SHOWS STRONG AREAS OF SUBSIDENCE ACRS THE NE CONUS
THIS MORNING...WITH MID/UPPER LVL TROF AXIS ACRS OUR CWA.
MEANWHILE...1033MB SFC HIGH PRES ACRS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WL
SLOWLY SHIFT TWD NORTHERN NY BY TONIGHT. THIS SUBSIDENCE/DEEP DRY
LAYER ASSOCIATED WITH RIDGE WL RESULT IN MAINLY CLR SKIES THRU
TONIGHT. PROGGED 85H TEMPS ONLY WARM TO -10C BY 00Z MONDAY...AND
ADDING 15C FOR EXCELLENT MIXING...ONLY SUPPORTS HIGHS IN THE 40S
VALLEYS AND 30S MTNS TODAY. THIS WL BE 8 TO 12 DEGREES BLW NORMAL.
MEANWHILE...1040MB HIGH PRES OVERHEAD WL RESULT IN CLR SKIES AND
LIGHT TRRN DRIVEN WIND...RESULTING IN TEMPS QUICKLY FALLING.
THINKING LOWS WL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TEENS SLK/NEK TO L/M20S
CPV/LWR CT RIVER VALLEY...LACK OF SNOW PACK WL PROBABLY KEEP TEMPS
FROM COMPLETELY BOTTOMING OUT. FEEL THE RECORD LOWS OF 20 AT
MPV...19 AT MSS...AND 18 AT 1V4 WL BE CHALLENGED. THE RECORD LOW
AT BTV IS 21F AND FEEL OUR TEMP WL DROP TO 24F OR SO BY MONDAY
MORNING. SOME MID/UPPER LVL RH/CLOUDS WL HAVE TO BE WATCHED
CLOSELY FOR POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO OUR CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CWA...FROM
FAST WESTERLY FLW ALOFT LATE TONIGHT...WHICH COULD KEEP TEMPS
SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 430 M EDT SUNDAY...BY MONDAY 1040MB SFC HIGH PRES SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN 
MAINE AND A RETURN SOUTHERLY FLW DEVELOPS. THIS WL RESULT IN LLVL
WAA WITH PROGGED 85H TEMPS WARMING TO NEAR 0C. THESE LLVL TEMPS
AND THERMAL PROFILES WL SUPPORT HIGHS BACK NEAR NORMAL...WITH
READINGS IN THE M/U 50S CPV/SLV TO M40S/L50S MTNS/NEK. TEMPS
MONDAY NIGHT WL BE TRICKY BASED ON POTENTIAL FOR SOME HIGH CLOUDS
AND GOOD BL MIXING. THINKING COOLEST TEMPS WL BE ACRS THE
NEK...WHERE LLVLS WL DECOUPLE AND SKIES WL REMAIN MOSTLY CLR.
HOWEVER...SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME LLVL MIXING ACRS THE CPV/SLV...AND
SOME CLOUDS INCREASING FROM SOUTHEAST TO NW ACRS OUR CWA ON MONDAY
NIGHT...RESULTING IN NEAR NORMAL OVERNIGHT LOWS. THINKING L/M30S
CPV/SLV TO L/M20S NEK AND PARTS OF EASTERN VT. FOR TUESDAY...WL
TREND TWD THE ECMWF AND GFS WHICH KEEP COASTAL SYSTEM WELL TO OUR
SOUTH AND EAST...AND OUR CWA UNDER CONTROL OF SFC HIGH PRES.
MEANWHILE...BOTH THE GEM/NAM WOULD SUPPORT SOME LOW CHC POPS ACRS
SOUTHERN/EASTERN VT ZNS...ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPS. WL MENTION
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS ACRS OUR EASTERN SECTIONS FROM INCREASED
HIGH LVL CLOUDS...BUT KEEP POPS BLW CHC ATTM.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT SUNDAY...STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING 
FROM CANADIAN MARITIMES SOUTHWEST INTO NEW YORK STATE TUESDAY 
EVENING. MEANWHILE...SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE 
40N 70W BENCHMARK TUESDAY NIGHT. CLOUDS WITH THIS SYSTEM AND ITS 
ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW MAY MOVE INTO EASTERN ZONES...BUT 
IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOW TEMPS EXPECTED TO 
BE IN THE 30S TO AROUND 40.
NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM PUSHES EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY.
GENERAL RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY CONTINUES FROM BOTH THE GFS AND 
ECMWF...WITH THE 00Z GFS STILL 6-12 HOURS FASTER WITH THE FRONTS 
PROGRESSION AS COMPARED TO THE 00Z ECMWF. OUR FORECAST CONTINUES TO 
FOLLOW THE SLOWER ECMWF. WEDNESDAY SHAPING UP AS THE WARMEST DAY OF 
THE PERIOD WITH SOUTH WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT AND 850 MB TEMPS 
+6 TO +8C SUPPORTING HIGHS WELL INTO THE 60S FOR THE VALLEYS. LOW 
CLOUDS EASTERN VERMONT MAY RESULT IN A BIT COOLER TEMPS. CHANCES FOR 
SHOWERS INCREASE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR 
PRECIP BEING LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HAVE GONE WITH 
LIKELY POPS FOR THIS PERIOD. RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT 
SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE FROM 0.25" TO 0.75" BASED ON LATEST GUIDANCE.
SEASONABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR RETURNS THURSDAY WITH GENERALLY
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE 
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS. 
HAVE GONE WITH CHANCE POPS AT THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE THEN MOVES 
INTO THE REGION WITH DRY CONDITIONS SATURDAY. TEMPS FRIDAY NEAR 
SEASONABLE LEVELS IN THE 50S THEN MODERATING TO ABOVE NORMAL NEXT 
WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...UPPER TROUGH PUSHING EAST ACROSS FORECAST AREA 
AT THIS TIME. LINGERING CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW MOUNTAIN 
SNOW FLURRIES AND POSSIBLE BRIEF MVFR AT SLK/MPV. OTHERWISE...VFR 
CIGS WILL GIVE WAY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ALL SITES BY AROUND 12Z. 
SKC THEN EXPECTED FOR REST OF TAF PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS 
INTO THE REGION. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT 
AT AROUND 10 KTS AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY.
OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF NORTH COUNTRY WX 
THROUGH TUESDAY. SOME LOW CLOUDS MAY MOVE INTO EASTERN VERMONT 
TUESDAY NIGHT DUE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD 
PERSIST UNTIL ARRIVAL OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON/NIGHT WHEN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS 
EXPECTED. SOUTH WINDS 15-25 KTS WITH GUSTS 35 KTS POSSIBLE AT BTV 
IN ADVANCE OF FRONT WEDNESDAY MORNING. CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR 
BEHIND FRONT ON THURSDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...TABER
NEAR TERM...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 3
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October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
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January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 2
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October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 4
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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