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SKIVT-L  July 2013, Week 5

SKIVT-L July 2013, Week 5

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 30 Jul 2013 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (198 lines)

Expires:201307302015;;743184
FPUS51 KBTV 301035
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
635 AM EDT TUE JUL 30 2013

VTZ006-302015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
635 AM EDT TUE JUL 30 2013
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
$$

Expires:201307301100;;743200
ASUS41 KBTV 301030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUL 30 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-301100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOSUNNY 60 58 92 CALM 30.10R
MONTPELIER SUNNY 55 53 93 CALM 30.14R
MORRISVILLE SUNNY 58 56 93 CALM 30.12R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 60 59 96 MISG 30.08S
LYNDONVILLE* PTSUNNY 57 53 86 CALM 30.12R
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 57 57 100 E5 30.11R
RUTLAND* SUNNY 54 50 87 SE5 30.13R
SPRINGFIELD MOSUNNY 54 53 97 CALM 30.12R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 60 55 83 CALM 30.09R
NEWPORT* FAIR 57 53 86 CALM 30.11S
BENNINGTON SUNNY 52 50 93 CALM 30.14R
SUTTON* N/A 54 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 48 N/A N/A NW17 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 64 57 77 W8 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 64 55 72 W8 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 63 59 88 SE5 N/A
$$

Expires:No;;736383
FXUS61 KBTV 300748
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
348 AM EDT TUE JUL 30 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL DEPART
NORTHEASTWARD THIS MORNING ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD INTO THE
NORTH COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWER IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY MOSTLY CLEAR AND
PLEASANT WEATHER CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT UPPER
TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER NEW YORK AND NEW
ENGLAND. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE UPPER 70S TODAY...LOW 80S ON
WEDNESDAY...AND THEN GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WHICH IS SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE
START OF AUGUST.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 329 AM EDT TUESDAY...EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS
COMPACT MID-LEVEL VORT CENTERED ACROSS SWRN QUEBEC ABOUT 100 MI
NORTH OF KMSS AT 07Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE ENEWD
TODAY AND GENERALLY AWAY FROM THE NORTH COUNTRY. LINGERING/ISOLD
-SHRA NEAR THE INTL BORDER PER CXX 88-D SHOULD GENERALLY END BY
15-16Z AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN ON DEVELOPING NW FLOW BEHIND THE VORT
MAX/MID-LEVEL TROUGH. ALSO ANTICIPATING PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL
HEIGHT RISES THIS AFTN. INSOLATIONAL EFFECTS AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT
SHOULD ALLOW SKIES TO TREND MOSTLY SUNNY THIS AFTN. IT APPEARS
AFTN VALLEY HIGHS WILL REACH THE UPR 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME W-NW AT 5-10 MPH LATE MORNING THRU
AFTN. NOT MUCH FOG AROUND EARLY THIS MORNING DUE TO CLOUD
COVER...AND ANY PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN NOW AND SUNRISE
WILL DISSIPATE BY 12Z.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 329 AM EDT TUESDAY...A QUIET AND DRY STRETCH OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...WEDNESDAY...AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SHORTWAVE RIDGING
TRANSLATES FROM W-E ACROSS THE REGION AND WEAK SFC RIDGE WILL BRING
TRANQUIL WEATHER AND LIGHT WIND CONDITIONS. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 50S. A FEW THIN MID-UPR CLOUDS ARE
POSSIBLE...BUT RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR PATCHY
FOG DEVELOPMENT IN THE FAVORED SPOTS WITHIN THE NRN ADIRONDACK
REGION AND ACROSS THE RIVER VALLEYS OF CENTRAL/ERN VT 06-12Z WED.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUR WARMEST DAY THIS WEEK WITH AFTN HIGHS IN THE
LOW 80S MOST SECTIONS. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN MODEST WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-UPR 50S. A FEW PASSING HIGH CLOUDS
ANTICIPATED BUT GENERALLY MOSTLY SUNNY WITH S-SW WINDS 5-10 MPH.
CHANGES ARRIVE ON THURSDAY AS MID-UPPER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW BECOMES
INCREASINGLY CYCLONIC IN RESPONSE TO SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATING
EWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION. BANDS OF SHOWERS WILL PRECEDE THE
TROUGH AXIS...LIKELY REACHING NRN NY DURING THE MID-LATE MORNING
AND DEVELOPING ACROSS VT IN THE AFTN. CAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG
ARE ANTICIPATED...AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED
TSTMS THURSDAY AFTN/EVE. CAPE PROFILES ARE NARROW AND DON/T SUGGEST
A SVR THREAT AT THIS TIME. A FEW STORMS MAY CONTAIN BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND CG LIGHTNING AND WILL PUT MENTION OF THIS IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. POPS THURSDAY AFTN/EVE REACH 70-80
PERCENT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
THURSDAY WILL BE AROUND 80F IN VERMONT WITH PARTIAL SUNSHINE EARLY.
ACROSS NY...EARLIER ARRIVAL OF SHOWERS LIKELY KEEPS TEMPS IN THE
MID 70S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 350 AM EDT TUESDAY...OVERALL MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
LARGE SCALE PATTERN FOR DAYS 4 THRU 7...WHICH SUPPORTS MID/UPPER
LVL TROF ACRS THE NE CONUS. THIS SYNOPTIC SETUP WL RESULT IN BLW NORMAL
TEMPS AND SEVERAL CHCS FOR PRECIP THRU THE PERIOD. WL CONT TO
MENTION LIKELY POPS ON THURS NIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC BOUNDARY
AND 5H VORT INTERACTING WITH FAVORABLE 850 TO 500MB RH PROFILES.
ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...SEVERAL EMBEDDED VORTS IN FLW ALOFT WL
MOVE ACRS OUR CENTRAL/NORTHERN CWA...WITH ADDITIONAL CHCS FOR
PRECIP. WL MENTION HIGHEST CHC POPS ACRS THE MTNS OF NNY AND VT ON
FRIDAY/SATURDAY. ECMWF SHOWS A PROGRESSIVE NW FLW WITH ADDITIONAL ENERGY
IMPACTING OUR CWA ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHILE THE GFS SHOWS SOME
DRYING. WL TREND TWD A DRIER FCST FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS WEAK
RIDGE BUILDS INTO OUR FA. PROGGED 85H TEMPS START AROUND 10C...BUT
COOL BTWN 4C AND 6C BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...SUPPORTING HIGHS MAINLY
IN THE U60S MTNS TO UPPER 70S VALLEYS.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...AVIATION FOCUS WL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS THRU
08Z...FOLLOWED BY FOG/BR POTENTIAL AT SLK/MPV. CRNT RADAR SHOWS
LIGHT SHOWERS ACRS THE CPV WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS. THESE
SHOWERS WL BE EAST OF TAF SITES BY 08Z...WITH SOME CLRING
ANTICIPATED. THINKING PREVIOUS RAIN...LIGHT WINDS...AND CLRING WL
HELP IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF BR/FOG BTWN 09-12Z AT SLK WITH IFR
CONDITIONS. AT MPV...CLRING WL OCCUR AFT 09Z AND GIVEN CRNT 8
DEGREE SPREAD BTWN TEMP/DWPT...WL ONLY MENTION MVFR CONDITIONS.
ELSEWHERE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THRU THIS AFTN AND
EVENING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT...WL BECM WEST TO
NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS BY MID MORNING.
OUTLOOK 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL FOR WEDS INTO THURSDAY...WITH EXCEPTION
OF PATCHY FOG AT MPV/SLK BTWN 08-11Z WEDS MORNING. CLOUDS WL
THICKEN WITH RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING BY THURSDAY MIDDAY...ALONG
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MVFR/IFR IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. SYSTEM
SHIFTS EAST OF TAF SITES BY FRIDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
INTO SATURDAY.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 1230 AM EDT TUESDAY...THE WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR AT FORT DRUM NY
(KTYX) REMAINS INOPERABLE AS TECHS AWAIT NECESSARY REPLACEMENT
PARTS. THE PARTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ON SITE UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY. WE APOLOGIZE FOR THE RADAR OUTAGE AND WILL PROVIDED
AN UPDATED REPAIR TIMELINE AS IT BECOMES AVAILABLE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS
NEAR TERM...BANACOS
SHORT TERM...BANACOS
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER
EQUIPMENT...

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
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September 2009, Week 1
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July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 2
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
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September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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