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SKIVT-L  July 2013, Week 5

SKIVT-L July 2013, Week 5

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 29 Jul 2013 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (203 lines)

Expires:201307292015;;690286
FPUS51 KBTV 290734
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
334 AM EDT MON JUL 29 2013

VTZ006-292015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
334 AM EDT MON JUL 29 2013
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF
RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. 
$$

Expires:201307291100;;696783
ASUS41 KBTV 291030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON JUL 29 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-291100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   66  64  94 N3        29.99S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    64  64 100 CALM      30.04S                  
MORRISVILLE    FOG       63  63 100 CALM      30.03R VSB 1/2          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     65  64  97 MISG      29.98R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    64  61  90 CALM      30.04R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    67  67 100 CALM      29.99R FOG              
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY   63  63 100 SE6       30.00S                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       64  64 100 CALM      30.01R VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      63  60  90 CALM      29.99S                  
NEWPORT*       PTSUNNY   60  58  92 CALM      30.02S                  
BENNINGTON     FOG       63  61  94 CALM      30.01S VSB 1/4          
ISLAND POND*     N/A     63 N/A N/A SE2         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     63 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     66 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A NW7         N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  61  77 W1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  59  77 W8          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  61  82 N8          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;691342
FXUS61 KBTV 290809
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
409 AM EDT MON JUL 29 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND QUEBEC BORDER WILL
SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS...PROVIDING THE NORTH
COUNTRY WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS...MAINLY
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN
FOR WEDNESDAY...BEFORE THE WEATHER BECOMES UNSETTLED AGAIN FOR
THURSDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 408 AM EDT MONDAY...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
THE SOUTHERN ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY WITH THE MAIN WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
BEING SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWERS. SURFACE FRONT AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM IS PUSHING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING WITH MID
60S DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND MID 50S BEHIND IT IN A
WELL DEFINED DRY SLOT ON WV IMAGERY. AS THE DRY SLOT MOVES OVER
THE REGION THIS MORNING...EXPECT SKIES TO CLEAR A BIT...ENOUGH TO
DEVELOP SOME WEAK SURFACE INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SOME SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE LARGELY DEPENDENT ON SKY
COVER...BUT SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE 70S WITH A FEW 80S POSSIBLE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 408 AM EDT MONDAY...SHOWER ACTIVITY GENERALLY DECREASES
TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING...BUT
CONTINUED SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO COULD PRODUCE SOME
SPOTTY LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ST. LAWRENCE
VALLEY BEFORE DISSIPATING AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS LOW PRESSURE FINALLY
SHIFTS NORTHEAST OF THE REGION TUESDAY THE UPPER FLOW TURNS
NORTHWESTERLY WITH SOME DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WITH STEEPENING LAPSE RATES UNDER
CAA. FEEL OVERALL AREAL COVERAGE WILL BE LOW GIVEN THE LACK OF
LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND UPPER SUPPORT...AND WILL LIKELY BE TIED
TO THE TERRAIN.
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE REGION FOR TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LOWS TUESDAY
NIGHT IN THE 50S...WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 80S ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 327 AM EDT MONDAY...RUN-TO-RUN AND 00Z ECMWF/GFS CONSISTENCY
REMAINS VERY GOOD THIS CYCLE WITH ONLY MINOR DISCREPANCIES NOTED. 
AN ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE THIS WEEK AS A MID-
UPR TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH DEEPENS FROM THE GREAT LAKES EWD TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NERN CONUS. THIS WILL RESULT IN POTENTIAL
FOR SHOWERS (ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY) AND
TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW EARLY AUGUST AVERAGES.
SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL BE DEPARTING EWD INTO THE GULF OF MAINE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SFC ANTICYCLONE LIKEWISE SHIFTING EAST OF THE
NORTH COUNTRY. SHOULD SEE GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS WITH PROSPECT
FOR PATCHY FOG 06-12Z THURSDAY AND PERHAPS AN INCREASE IN HIGH
CLOUDS TOWARD DAYBREAK THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NRN NY. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPR 50S TO LOWER
60S...BUT A FEW LOWER 50S ARE EXPECTED IN FAR NERN VT AND WITHIN
THE NRN ADIRONDACKS.
00Z NWP GUIDANCE SUITE CONTINUES TO SHOW MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND 
APPROACHING MID-LEVEL VORT MAX FROM THE WSW DURING THURSDAY 
AFTN...WHICH WILL BRING 50-60 POPS FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS TO THE REGION 
THURSDAY AFTN INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPS WILL REACH THE LOW 80S 
IN ADVANCE OF DEVELOPING SHOWERS/TSTMS. GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE 
MINIMAL CAPE (<500 J/KG) WITH TALL/NARROW CAPE PROFILES SUPPORTING 
SOME THREAT OF THUNDER...BUT DON/T FORESEE A SIGNIFICANT SVR WX 
THREAT ATTM. SOME STORMS MAY CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WITH PW 
VALUES 1.5 TO 1.75". THE ECMWF IS A BIT SLOWER WITH THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS ON THURSDAY AFTN...SUGGESTING VT MAY STAY
DRY THRU MOST OF THE DAYLIGHT HRS. STILL PLENTY OF TIME TO
MONITOR THESE TRENDS. LEADING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OUT BY FRIDAY
MORNING...AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR MASS IN PLACE FOR THE DAYLIGHT
HRS FRIDAY. CARRIED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTN WITH
WEAK INSTABILITY IN PLACE BUT LESS EVIDENCE OF QG FORCING. DEEPER
TROUGH IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
CARRIED 30-40 POPS FOR SATURDAY AFTN WITH HIGHS SEVERAL DEGREES
BELOW EARLY AUG AVERAGES (GENERALLY IN THE MID 70S). CYCLONIC MID-
LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES FOR SUNDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND TEMPERATURES SIMILARLY IN THE MID 70S
FOR VALLEY HIGHS.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...SCATTERED MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AND AT THE TAF SITES THROUGH
11-12Z. SEEING VARIABLE VSBY/CIG CONDITIONS...WITH PERIODS OF MVFR
EXPECTED AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS EARLY THIS MORNING. SHOULD SEE
PERIODS OF FOG AT MPV/SLK WITH INTERVALS OF IFR AT THOSE SITES.
A FEW SHOWERS MAY REDEVELOP AFTER 14Z MONDAY AS CLOSED UPR LOW
TRACKS FROM SERN ONTARIO INTO SRN QUEBEC WITH CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLD AND HAS
NOT BEEN INCLUDED IN THE TAFS ATTM. 
OUTLOOK 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...UPR LOW CROSSING SRN QUEBEC
MAINTAINS ISOLD -SHRA POTENTIAL ACROSS NRN TAF LOCATIONS ON TUESDAY.
FOG POSSIBLE AT MPV/SLK TUESDAY NIGHT (06-12Z)... OTHERWISE VFR
TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR/VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ANTICIPATED. NEXT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH BRINGS POTENTIAL FOR RAIN LATE THURSDAY AFTN THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE FRIDAY. PROLONGED
PERIODS OF MVFR POSSIBLE THU AFTN THROUGH THU NIGHT.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 408 AM EDT MONDAY...THE WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR AT FORT DRUM
NY (KTYX) REMAINS INOPERABLE DUE TO SEVERAL PEDESTAL DYNAMIC
FAULTS EXPERIENCED OVER THE WEEKEND. TECHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON
SITE TODAY...AND WE WILL PROVIDE ANY UPDATED INFORMATION WHEN IT
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS
EQUIPMENT...

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January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
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June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
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July 2008, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
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March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
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March 2007, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 4
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September 2006, Week 1
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August 2006, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 4
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