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SKIVT-L  July 2013, Week 5

SKIVT-L July 2013, Week 5

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 31 Jul 2013 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (210 lines)

Expires:201307312015;;781509
FPUS51 KBTV 310720
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013

VTZ006-312015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL
SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. 
$$

Expires:201307311100;;788749
ASUS41 KBTV 311030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-311100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   57  55  93 CALM      30.13R                  
MONTPELIER     MOSUNNY   52  51  97 CALM      30.19R                  
MORRISVILLE    MOSUNNY   52  50  93 CALM      30.16R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     53  53 100 MISG      30.13R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      51  49  92 CALM      30.17R FOG              
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      57  57 100 CALM      30.14S                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     54  52  94 SE6       30.16R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       54  54 100 CALM      30.16R VSB<1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      57  54  91 CALM      30.12R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      53  51  91 S6        30.15R                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     52  50  93 CALM      30.17R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     46 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     45 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     52 N/A N/A NW13        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     64  61  88 S10         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  61  88 S8          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  57  88 S5          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;782579
FXUS61 KBTV 310754
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
354 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY 
SKIES. A COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE FOR EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. COOLER AND
SHOWERY WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE WITH VALLEY HIGHS IN
THE 70S FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 321 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...QUIET AND PLEASANT WEATHER TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS 700MB SHORTWAVE RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED SFC RIDGE CREST
OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS AFTN. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES LEADING TO
PATCHY RADIATIONAL FOG EARLY THIS AM IN THE FAVORED VALLEYS. THAT
FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY 12Z LEAVING MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS THRU THE
DAYLIGHT HRS WITH JUST A FEW PASSING HIGH CLOUDS. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS BECOME S-SW 5-8 MPH THIS AFTN AS SFC RIDGE AXIS
SHIFTS EAST OF VERMONT AND WEAK GRADIENT FLOW DEVELOPS. MID-UPR 
CLOUDS GRADUALLY INCREASE TONIGHT AS MID-UPR FLOW BECOMES CYCLONIC
IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. CLOUDS SHOULD PRECLUDE
MUCH FOG TONIGHT EXCEPT FOR THE CT VALLEY. INCLUDED 20-30 POPS
ACROSS ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY TOWARD DAYBREAK FOR LEADING EDGE OF
RAIN SHOWERS...WHICH WILL BE ON THE INCREASE DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY. STAYED CLOSE TO MOS GUIDANCE ON TEMPS WITH VALLEY HIGHS
AROUND 80 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID-UPR 50S...EXCEPT LOCALLY
IN THE LOWER 60S IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WITH INCREASING CLOUDS
AND LIGHT SSELY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 321 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...CHANGES ARRIVE ON THURSDAY AS SHORTWAVE
TROUGH TRANSLATES EASTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND TRACKS THROUGH
THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. THE 00Z NWP GUIDANCE
SUITE GENERALLY REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS INDICATIONS THAT 
BANDS OF SHOWERS WILL PRECEDE THE TROUGH AXIS. THESE SHOWERS WILL
REACH NRN NY DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND THEN DEVELOP EWD ACROSS VT
IN THE AFTN. CAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG ARE ANTICIPATED...AND
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED TSTMS THURSDAY AFTN/EVE.
CAPE PROFILES ARE NARROW (POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES) AND DON/T
SUGGEST A SVR THREAT AT THIS TIME. A FEW STORMS MAY CONTAIN BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND CG LIGHTNING AND WILL KEEP MENTION OF THIS IN THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK THIS AM. POPS THURSDAY AFTN/EVE REACH
70-80 PERCENT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES
ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE UPR 70S IN VERMONT WITH PARTIAL SUNSHINE
EARLY. ACROSS NY...EARLIER ARRIVAL OF SHOWERS LIKELY KEEPS TEMPS
IN THE LOW-MID 70S FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. WINDS MAY BE BRIEFLY GUSTY
IN ADVANCE OF SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY...GENERALLY SOUTH 10-15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE PER MEAN PBL WIND WITH DAYTIME HEATING.
MAIN SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...WITH LESS SYNOPTIC SUPPORT FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY FRIDAY
MORNING. ANOTHER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED LEFT EXIT REGION OF 250 MB
JET WILL MOVE IN LATE FRIDAY...AND HAVE INCLUDED 30-40 POPS FOR
RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE
MID-UPR 70S WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY LEVELS (DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW
60S).
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE TO FCST FOR
DAYS 4 THRU 7 WITH GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG MODELS ON LARGE SCALE
MID/UPPER LVL TROF ACRS THE NE CONUS THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK. PATTERN
IS SIMILAR TO LATE FALL/EARLY WINTER WITH HUDSON BAY VORTEX
SPINNING ACRS CENTRAL CANADA AND ASSOCIATED DEEP FULL LATITUDE
TROF ACRS THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS WL SUPPORT BELOW NORMAL TEMPS
AND NEAR NORMAL CHCS FOR PRECIP. BOTH GFS/ECMWF SHOW ELONGATED 5H
S/W ENERGY AND RIBBONS OF ENHANCED 850 TO 500MB RH ACRS OUR CWA
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SAT. THIS COMBINED WITH NW UPSLOPE FLW WL
PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS...WITH HIGHEST POPS ACRS THE MTNS
OF NNY AND VT. ANOTHER POTENT 5H VORT DROPS ACRS OUR
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CWA ON SUNDAY AFTN. THIS ENERGY AND ASSOCIATED
COOL POOL ALOFT WL PRODUCE MORE SHOWERS WITH SOME LIGHTNING
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF SFC TEMPS CAN WARM INTO THE MID 70S.
THINKING STEEP LAPSE RATES...LIS AROUND -2C...AND SOME CAPE WL
PRODUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED STORMS. GIVEN...THE COOL
THERMAL PROFILES SOME SMALL HAIL WOULD BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
STORMS ON SUNDAY AFTN. STRONG LLVL CAA DEVELOPS BEHIND S/W ENERGY
AND COLD FRONT ON MONDAY...WITH LATEST 00Z ECMWF SHOWING 85H TEMPS
ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER ONLY NEAR 4C. THIS COMBINED WITH
925MB TEMPS NEAR 10C...SUPPORT HIGHS ONLY IN THE L60S MTNS TO NEAR
70 WARMER VALLEYS ON MONDAY/TUES. OTHERWISE...EXPECT TEMPS MAINLY
IN THE U60S TO M70S FOR SAT/SUNDAY...PER PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN
10-12C. 
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...AVIATION CHALLENGE THIS MORNING WL BE
FOG/BR AND POTENTIAL IFR CONDITIONS AT MPV/SLK. CRNT FOG SATL PIC
SHOWS LOW STRATUS DECK HAS REDEVELOPED ACRS THE DACKS NEAR
SLK...ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK UPSLOPE SW FLW AND LEFTOVER MOISTURE.
THESE CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE BY 08Z...WITH A PERIOD OF BR/FOG
WITH IFR CONDITIONS BTWN 08-11Z THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE...AT MPV
EXPECT FOG/BR WITH IFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AROUND 08Z...BEFORE
LIFTING BY 12Z WEDS. REST OF OUR TAF SITES WL SEE VFR CONDITIONS
WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE. FOR TODAY...VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH
SOUTH WINDS AT 4 TO 8 KNOTS. 
OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
VFR WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ANTICIPATED ON WEDS NIGHT/THUR MORNING
AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED STORMS ARE
LIKELY BTWN 18Z THURS AND 06Z FRIDAY ACRS OUR TAF SITES WITH
VFR/OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE HIGHER STORMS. ADDITIONAL
SHOWER ACTIVITY WL CONT INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH POTENTIAL PERIODS
OF MVFR CIGS AT MPV/SLK...ESPECIALLY ON SAT.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 300 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR AT FORT DRUM
NY (KTYX) REMAINS INOPERABLE AS TECHS AWAIT NECESSARY REPLACEMENT
PARTS. THE PARTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ON SITE UNTIL WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY. WE APOLOGIZE FOR THE RADAR OUTAGE AND WILL PROVIDE AN
UPDATED REPAIR TIME LINE AS IT BECOMES AVAILABLE.
ONGOING WORK ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO TRANSMITTER KIG-60 ON TOP OF MT
MANSFIELD COULD RESULT IN SOME INTERRUPTIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS
NEAR TERM...BANACOS
SHORT TERM...BANACOS
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER
EQUIPMENT...

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September 2010, Week 3
September 2010, Week 2
September 2010, Week 1
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August 2010, Week 4
August 2010, Week 3
August 2010, Week 2
August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
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January 2010, Week 4
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December 2009, Week 5
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December 2009, Week 3
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October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
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September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
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August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
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August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
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June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
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October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
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September 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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