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SKIVT-L  September 2013, Week 2

SKIVT-L September 2013, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 13 Sep 2013 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (197 lines)

Expires:201309132015;;817038
FPUS51 KBTV 131049
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
648 AM EDT FRI SEP 13 2013

VTZ006-132015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
648 AM EDT FRI SEP 13 2013
.TODAY...PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING. CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...
BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. 
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
$$

Expires:201309131100;;816766
ASUS41 KBTV 131030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 13 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-131100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    63  61  94 N14       29.66R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    61  61 100 CALM      29.68S                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  62  60  93 CALM      29.66S FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     62  62 100 MISG      29.62S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    61  58  91 CALM      29.67S FOG              
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    63  63 100 W5        29.65R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    63  59  88 NW3       29.66R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    63  63 100 CALM      29.65R FOG              
HIGHGATE*      DRIZZLE  N/A N/A N/A N5        29.68R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    60  58  92 CALM      29.66R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    64  61  88 W3        29.66S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     59 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     63 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     52 N/A N/A NW3G16      N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A    N/A N/A N/A NW6         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  59  82 N21         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  61  88 N15         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;811978
FXUS61 KBTV 130822
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
422 AM EDT FRI SEP 13 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES...WILL REPLACE AN EXITING SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TODAY
INTO THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS OVER
THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. A WEAK FRONT PASSES
THRU THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...THEN HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS THROUGH MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 422 AM EDT FRIDAY...EXITING FRNTL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL NEW
ENGLAND THIS MORNING WILL LEAVE MCLDY/CLDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
CWA AS REGION AWAITS UPPER LOW...CURRENTLY OVER THE EASTERN GREAT
LKS TO SLOWLY SHIFT EAST TOWARDS THE AREA. AS IN PREVIOUS FORECASTS
THIS WILL ENHANCE REMAINING POTENTIAL FOR -RW FOR MUCH OF THE CWA.
SFC FLOW THRU TONIGHT WILL REMAIN MAINLY NNW...KEEPING STRONG CAA
OVER THE ENTIRE REGION...ENSURING CLDS TO STAY PUT. BEST CHANCES
FOR -RW THRU TONIGHT WILL BE OVER HIR TRRN AND SHIFT FROM W TO E
AS UPPER LOW GLIDES TO OUR EAST WITH THE APPROACH OF STRONG SFC
RIDGE. FOR THE MORNING HRS...MORNING FG WILL GIVE WAY TO JUST -RW.
GOING INTO TONIGHT...MENTIONED PATCHY FOG FOR ALL AREAS AS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE STILL ABUNDANT. BEST CHANCES FOR HIR TRRN AND RIVER
VALLEY LOCALES. TEMPS FOR TODAY WILL ONLY GO UP BY A FEW DEGREES
FROM CURRENT TEMPS AS CLD COVER AND CAA WILL KEEP LID ON MAJOR
RISES TODAY(UPPER 50S TO MID 60S). FOR TNGT...OVERNGT LOWS HAMPERED
AGAIN BY CLDS AND CONTINUOUS LGT -RW(MID 30S TO MID 40S).
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 422 AM EDT FRIDAY...BY SATURDAY MORNING...MOST OF THE CWA
WILL SEE CLRING SKIES AS RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD EAST INTO THE
AREA. MDLS SHIFT UPPER LOW/TROUGH INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...WHICH WILL LEAVE NE NC VT AS LAST AREAS TO SEE CLRING
BY MIDDAY. SOME LINGERING --RW WILL ALSO AFFECT THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREA BFR ENDING AND CLRS OUT. MINOR QPF OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS
POSSIBLE. RIDGE WILL CREST OVER THE AREA SAT NGT ALLOWING FOR
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND WITH CLR SKIES...OVERNGT LOWS AGAIN IN
THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. TOWARDS 12Z SUNDAY...SFC FLOW OVER PORTIONS
OF THE CWA WILL BFR WSW FROM NEAR CALM CONDITIONS. GOING INTO
SUNDAY WITH SFC RIDGE TO OUR SOUTH A NICE DAY ON TAP W/ INCR CLDS
FROM THE ST LAW VALLEY DIRECTION AS NEXT FRNTL BOUNDARY BEGINS ITS
TREK TOWARDS THE NORTH COUNTRY. NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED THRU THIS
PORTION OF THE FORECAST. HIGHS FOR THE WEEKEND WILL MAINLY BE IN TH
60S W/ SOME SPOTS NEAR 70F SUNDAY WITH WAA ON WSW/SSW WINDS.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM EDT FRIDAY...EXCELLENT CONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE 00Z 
ECMWF AND 00Z GFS THIS CYCLE...AND FORECAST GENERALLY FOLLOWS
PREVIOUS THINKING.
A COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM SERN ONTARIO ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY 
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF OVERCAST CONDITIONS WITH 
SCATTERED -SHRA. IT APPEARS THE FRONT CLEARS THE AREA BY 12Z 
MONDAY...BUT WITH LOW-LEVEL CAA ON NLY WINDS AND FRONTAL INVERSION 
SOME CLOUDS AND MTN SPRINKLES MAY LINGER THRU THE MORNING HRS.
LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPR 40S TO LOWER 50S...AND THEN
ONLY REACHING THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S ON MONDAY WITH CAA
OFFSETTING DIURNAL HEATING. A LARGE SFC ANTICYCLONE THEN BUILDS EWD FROM
THE GREAT LKS...AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION 12-18Z TUESDAY.
CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WIND SHOULD BRING OUR NEXT
FROST/FREEZE EPISODE LATE MONDAY NIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND 28F AT SLK AND ISLAND POND...TO THE MID 30S MUCH OF THE ST.
LAWRENCE VLY AND CENTRAL VT. NEAR LAKE CHAMPLAIN...A FROST SHOULD
BE AVOIDED WITH LOWS 39-43F. SOME FOG CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FAVORED VT RIVER VALLEYS INCLUDING THE WINOOSKI...LWR
PASSUMPSIC...AND CT. HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS FAIR CONDITIONS THRU
WEDNESDAY. HIGHS TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW- MID 60S AND THEN
MODERATE INTO THE UPR 60S TO LOWER 70S FOR WEDNESDAY AS WINDS TURN
W-SW AS SFC RIDGE SLIDES ESEWD OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. A WEAK
WARM FRONT AND ASSOCIATED ISENTROPIC ASCENT BRINGS 20-30 POPS FOR
RAIN SHOWERS WED NGT INTO THURSDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY...COLD FRONT BISECTS THE CHAMPLAIN VLY AT 05Z
AND WILL CONTINUE A SEWD PROGRESSION AND EXIT THRU THE CT RIVER
VALLEY AFT 09Z. ASSOCIATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS
MAY STILL IMPACT RUT/MPV THRU 09Z. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BECOME
NW BEHIND THE FRONT AND REMAIN NWLY 6-12 KTS THRU THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ABUNDANT MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED BEHIND THE
FRONT...DEVELOPING AREAWIDE DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS. MAY SEE
INTERVALS OF IFR CEILINGS...ESPECIALLY SLK/MPV. HIR TRRN WILL BE
OBSCD THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD.
OUTLOOK 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
12Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...LINGERING MVFR CEILINGS EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING WILL DISSIPATE WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
BY 16Z SAT. LOOKING FOR VFR CONDITIONS UNDER HIGH PRESSURE THRU MOST
OF THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...WILL LIKELY SEE SOME DENSE FOG 06-12Z SUNDAY 
AT SLK/MPV.
00Z MONDAY THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
INTERVALS OF MVFR CONDITIONS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES FROM SERN
ONTARIO SEWD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. 
12Z MONDAY ONWARD...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. FOG POSSIBLE 06-12Z
TUESDAY AT SLK/MPV.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 422 AM EDT FRIDAY...NOAA WEATHER RADIO STATION WXM 44...
BROADCASTING FROM THE TOP OF MOUNT ASCUTNEY VERMONT...REMAINS OFF
THE AIR DUE TO A DAMAGED ANTENNA. REPLACEMENT PARTS ARE ORDERED
AND THE REPAIR WORK HAS BEEN SCHEDULED FOR SEPTEMBER 17-20.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JN
NEAR TERM...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS
EQUIPMENT...WFO BTV

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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