Expires:201310222015;;583986
FPUS51 KBTV 220808
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
408 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013

VTZ006-222015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
408 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013
.TODAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
$$

Expires:201310221100;;589667
ASUS41 KBTV 221030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-221100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    55  39  54 S14G24    29.75F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    47  37  68 SW3       29.82F                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    51  38  60 CALM      29.77F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     51  38  60 MISG      29.78F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    49  37  61 S7        29.80F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    PTSUNNY   55  40  56 SE7       29.78S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    48  37  66 SE10      29.80F                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY   39  37  92 CALM      29.85F                  
HIGHGATE*      RAIN      58  39  48 S9        29.72F                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    52  36  56 S6        29.77F                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    52  41  66 CALM      29.81F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     46 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     39 N/A N/A SW9G22      N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     55  45  67 SW31        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  41  62 S20         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;585914
FXUS61 KBTV 220850
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
450 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF RAIN SHOWERS TODAY...USHERING
IN MUCH COOLER WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE AIR MASS
WILL BE THE COOLEST OF THE SEASON SO FAR...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
FALLING INTO THE 40S AND LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 450 AM EDT TUESDAY...COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS SHOWING RAIN SHOWERS WORKING INTO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK AT THIS TIME. SHOWERS WILL BE SLOW TO
WORK EASTWARD... SO EXPECTING THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
MOST OF VERMONT WILL BE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. MAX
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO OCCUR EARLY THIS MORNING...SO HAVE GONE ABOVE
GFS MOS GUIDANCE FOR MAX TEMPERATURES. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWING MID
LEVEL DRY SLOT TO WORK INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...SO
EXPECTING SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN VERMONT TO COME TO AN END LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 450 AM EDT TUESDAY...EXPECTING MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THEE REGION OVERNIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER
20S TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL SEE MUCH
COLDER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S. THE
NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURE HERE IN BURLINGTON FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
IS 55. ON WEDNESDAY...GFS MODEL SHOWS MOISTURE WORKING NORTHEAST
FROM THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO...SO HAVE GONE WITH SLIGHT TO
LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS. COULD SEE SOME MORNING SNOW SHOWERS
EARLY WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS. NAM12 AND GFS MODELS
SHOWING A LAKE EFFECT BAND OF SHOWERS MOVING EAST OFF OF LAKE
ONTARIO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
BOTH THE NAM12 AND GFS MODELS SHOW THIS BAND WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SO HAVE GONE WITH
A DRY FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 335 AM EDT TUESDAY...UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL REMAIN OVER THE
NORTH COUNTRY FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN THE
PATTERN FLATTENS OUT THROUGH TUESDAY. WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN
ACTIVE WITH SEVERAL SYSTEMS IMPACTING OUR AREA THROUGH THE
EXTENDED. THE FIRST AND BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE
SATURDAY THRU SUNDAY AS A LARGE SCALE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
MOVE FROM NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION EASTWARD ACROSS QUEBEC
AND FINALLY AWAY FROM OUR FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT
BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON WEDNESDAY WHICH IS JUST
PAST THE END OF THIS EXTENDED FORECAST. MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS MIXING IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR TO IMPACT THE AREA
THROUGH ABOUT 12Z TUESDAY. WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL BE 10 KNOTS
OR LESS WITH GUSTS TO ABOUT 25 KTS...BUT FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 30
TO 35 KNOTS SUSTAINED AT 2000 FEET. THIS IS AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND SHOWERS TO
THE AREA BEGINNING ABOUT 09Z IN NORTHERN NEW YORK AND AROUND 12Z
IN VERMONT. LOOKING FOR CEILINGS TO LOWER TO AROUND 3000
FEET...BUT ANY SHOWERS WILL NOT HAVE AN IMPACT ON VISIBILITIES
AND VISIBILITIES WILL REMAIN IN THE VFR CATEGORY. ONCE THE FRONT
GOES THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TAPER OFF
A BIT...BECOME MORE WESTERLY...SHOWERS WILL END...AND CEILINGS
WILL REMAIN IN THE VFR CATEGORY. AROUND 00Z WINDS WILL CALM DOWN
AND SKIES BECOME SCT TO CLEAR.
OUTLOOK 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...A TROF OF LOW PRES WL
CONT ACRS OUR TAF SITES THRU FRIDAY WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS.
HOWEVER...SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS MAY CAUSE BRIEF
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY AT SLK ON WEDS MORNING. IN
ADDITION...EXPECT BRISK SW WINDS TO BECM NW WINDS BY WED WITH
GUSTS BTWN 15 AND 25 KNOTS LIKELY. SFC HIGH PRES WL SLOWLY BUILD
INTO THE REGION BY FRIDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
&&
.MARINE...
AS OF 450 AM EDT TUESDAY...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES TODAY FOR SOUTH
WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS. WAVES WILL BE 1 TO 3 FEET ON THE OPEN
WATERS. RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TODAY WITH VISIBILITY GENERALLY
REMAINING UNRESTRICTED. SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST THIS
AFTERNOON AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...WGH
NEAR TERM...WGH
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES
MARINE...WFO BTV

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html