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SKIVT-L  December 2013, Week 2

SKIVT-L December 2013, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 11 Dec 2013 06:50:01 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (209 lines)

Expires:201312112115;;884917
FPUS51 KBTV 111132
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
632 AM EST WED DEC 11 2013

VTZ006-112115-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
632 AM EST WED DEC 11 2013
.TODAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. LOWS AROUND 1 ABOVE.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 12. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 8 ABOVE. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.
HIGHS AROUND 18. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND ZERO. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 10 TO 15. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. CHANCE OF
SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...LIGHT SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW
80 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 5 TO 10 ABOVE. 
.MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 15. LOWS
AROUND ZERO. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 20. 
$$

Expires:201312111200;;885107
ASUS41 KBTV 111130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED DEC 11 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-111200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   20   8  60 S6        30.03R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    18   5  57 SW6       30.00R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    19   6  57 S7        29.99R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     15   9  76 MISG      29.97R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    16   7  69 S3        29.97R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    21  15  78 SE3       30.04R                  
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY   19   9  63 SW8G18    30.05R                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY   19  15  84 CALM      30.06R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      22  13  68 W3        30.02R                  
NEWPORT*       LGT SNOW  19   9  66 S5        29.97R                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     19   5  54 SW6       30.08R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     12 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     14 N/A N/A SW1         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     14 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     19 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      5 N/A N/A N20         N/A  WCI -15          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     25  16  68 SW10        N/A  WCI  15          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     27  14  59 W22         N/A  WCI  12          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     25  16  68 S15         N/A  WCI  12          
$$

Expires:No;;885333
FXUS61 KBTV 111144
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
644 AM EST WED DEC 11 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
SNOW SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A HEAVIER SNOW SQUALL ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. HIGHS ON 
THURSDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE TEENS...AND IT WILL ONLY BE SLIGHTLY 
MILDER ON FRIDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE A FEW SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. A 
STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION LATE SATURDAY INTO 
SUNDAY...BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF A WIDESPREAD SNOW.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 634 AM EST WEDNESDAY...NO CHANGES TO FORECAST WITH LATEST
UPDATE. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE
DURING THE DAY TODAY. THE LAKE EFFECT BAND OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SOME SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN ESSEX
COUNTY NY...EXTENDING AT TIMES INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL
VERMONT. THE BAND WILL SHIFT A BIT...SPREADING SOME SNOW SHOWERS
INTO SOUTHEAST ST LAWRENCE COUNTY AND SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN
NORTHERN NY. FURTHER NORTH...WE WILL BE WATCHING AN APPROACHING
ARCTIC FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH. STILL LOOKS
FAVORABLE FOR ABOUT A 6 HOUR WINDOW THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WHEN
THE FRONT COULD GENERATE LOCALIZED SNOW SQUALLS. INITIALLY...THE
ARCTIC FRONT WILL TAP INTO MOISTURE PLUME OFF OF LAKE HURON...AND
EVENTUALLY THE MOISTURE FROM THE LAKE ONTARIO SNOW BAND. THIS
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH SOME LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY AND FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE SNOW SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE SQUALLS...WHICH WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN SECTIONS
LATER TODAY INTO THE EVENING. THE THREAT FOR THE HEAVIER SNOW
SHOWERS LOOKS GREATEST BETWEEN ABOUT 3 PM AND 9 PM AS THE FRONT
DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THE SNOW SQUALLS MAY DUMP AN INCH OR
TWO OF SNOW IN A SHORT TIME...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME SLICK ROAD
CONDITIONS. BRISK SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN ANY SNOW SHOWERS OR SQUALLS. MAX
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 20S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 412 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH AROUND 06Z AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH FURTHER SOUTH.
BEHIND THE FRONT...IT WILL BE NOTICEABLY COLDER WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES BY MORNING EXPECTED TO BE IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH NORMALLY COLDER PORTIONS OF
ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM DIPPING BELOW ZERO AS WINDS
ABATE AND WE SEE SOME PARTIAL CLEARING.
THURSDAY IS STILL SHAPING UP TO THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK. WITH
850 MB TEMPS ONLY AROUND -20C DURING THE AFTERNOON...WE CAN EXPECT
HIGHS ONLY IN THE TEENS. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY WILL BE
HIGHEST OVER THE SOUTHERN SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE
ADIRONDACKS AS FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY ONCE AGAIN...ALLOWING FOR
SOME LAKE EFFECT MOISTURE TO RETURN.
CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING ONCE AGAIN AS YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS
THE AREA. WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT SHOULD ALLOW
FOR SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT LAKES FOR SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS...WHICH WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE
ADIRONDACKS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN VERMONT WHERE A FEW
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE. LOWER POPS AND LESS
ACCUMULATION IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT.
MIN TEMPS THURSDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM 5 TO 15F ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA. MORNING HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS TO MID
20S...WITH FALLING TEMPS IN THE AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 301 AM EST WEDNESDAY...LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST THINKING FOR THIS VERSION OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST FROM
FRIDAY NIGHT ONWARD WITH INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT WE'LL SEE
SOME SNOWFALL THIS WEEKEND.
FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER STARTS THE PERIOD FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND 
SATURDAY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE BUT A FAST WESTERLY 
FLOW ALOFT. THE RESULT WILL BE GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A FEW 
FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ALONG WITH CONTINUED BELOW 
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HIGHS IN THE 
TEENS.
WEATHER BECOMES MORE ACTIVE GOING INTO SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS 
WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A COASTAL STORM BRINGING 
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE NORTH COUNTRY. THERE REMAINS DECENT 
CONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS IN REGARDS TO THE OVERALL 
SYNOPTIC FEATURES AND STORM TRACK...BUT SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE 
FINER DETAILS SUCH AS QPF. THE MAIN IDEA IS THAT LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS OVER THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SATURDAY NIGHT AND TRAVELS
NORTHEAST RIGHT OVER OR JUST INSIDE THE BENCHMARK SUNDAY MORNING.
WHILE THIS IS USUALLY A FAVORABLE STORM TRACK FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BTV CWA...THE UPPER FLOW IS PROBLEMATIC AS
THE 500MB AND 700MB LOWS ARE OFF TO OUR WEST/NORTHWEST WITH A
BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. NOT EXACTLY THE
IDEAL SETUP IF YOU WANT BIG SNOW...AND FEEL THE MODEL FORECAST QPF
MAY ACTUALLY BE A LITTLE OVERDONE OVER OUR AREA. NEVERTHELESS...WE
WILL GET SOME SNOW...THOUGH LOOKING MORE LIKE AN ADVISORY LEVEL
EVENT AT THIS TIME.
AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT...IT'S REPLACED BY HIGH 
PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION 
UNDER CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO A CHILLY MONDAY 
NIGHT WHERE TEMPS AREA-WIDE COULD BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND 
BELOW ZERO. VERY LITTLE QPF WILL BE SEEN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE 
FORECAST PERIOD THOUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD...AND 
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH 18Z THEN
DETERIORATE IN MVFR/IFR SNOW SQUALLS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
AN ARCTIC BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA. BEST SHOT AT
TIMING RIGHT NOW IS AROUND THE 21Z TIME-FRAME...BUT HARD TO
PINPOINT EXACTLY AT THIS TIME. SQUALLS SHOULD SUBSIDE QUICKLY
AFTER 02Z...WITH CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING BACK TO VFR. FOR
WINDS...GENERALLY WEST/SOUTHWEST THROUGH 00Z WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO
20KTS POSSIBLE...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND DIMINISHING.
OUTLOOK 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...GENERALLY VFR WITH ISOLATED/SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
00Z SUNDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...MVFR/IFR SNOW LIKELY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF

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June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
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January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
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November 2006, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 3
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