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SKIVT-L  April 2014, Week 3

SKIVT-L April 2014, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 18 Apr 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (183 lines)

Expires:201404182000;;777532
FPUS51 KBTV 180841
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
439 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

VTZ006-182000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
439 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014
.TODAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LOWS AROUND 40. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 
$$

Expires:201404181100;;781604
ASUS41 KBTV 181030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-181100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   32  15  49 SE6       30.49F                  
MONTPELIER     MOSUNNY   26  13  57 SE5       30.55F                  
MORRISVILLE    MOSUNNY   28  15  58 CALM      30.52F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     25  19  78 MISG      30.54F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      27  15  61 SE3       30.52F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      33   9  36 S5        30.48F                  
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY   28  10  47 SE10      30.49F WCI  19          
SPRINGFIELD    SUNNY     21  19  92 CALM      30.56F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      36  15  42 SE5       30.47S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      30  14  50 S7        30.50F                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     28  11  48 SE6       30.47F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     25 N/A N/A S20         N/A  WCI  11          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     37  18  44 SE17        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     36  23  60 S22         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     34  19  55 S13         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;778128
FXUS61 KBTV 180856
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
456 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS
TO THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING
TO SEASONAL NORMALS TO END THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH AND
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY FOR A
NICE END TO THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 444 AM EDT FRIDAY...TODAY WILL START OFF WITH SUNNY AND DRY
CONDITIONS...THOUGH HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST
THROUGH THE DAY. A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK FROM GREAT LAKES
NORTHEASTWARD...WITH A WEAK TRAILING COLD FRONT APPROACHING OUR
CWA THIS EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL
PROVIDE THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. FRONT
APPROACHES THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY LATE IN THE DAY WITH A FEW
RAIN SHOWERS MOVING IN BY THE EVENING HOURS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 444 AM EDT FRIDAY...AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL FINALLY
CROSS OUR FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...THOUGH BEST MOISTURE AND LIFT
WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE SURFACE LOW...WELL NORTH OF OUR
FORECAST AREA. EXPECT SOME VERY LIGHT QPF WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND NO MORE THAN AN INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED BY
SATURDAY MORNING. FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH EASTWARD ON SATURDAY
WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING DURING THE MORNING HOURS...LINGERING
THE LONGEST IN THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM...BUT ENDED THERE EVEN BY
18Z. COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA...KEEPING
SATURDAY COLDER THAN TODAY. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND COLD
WITH TEMPS ABOUT TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY WILL ALSO BE DRY BUT WARMER AS SURFACE HIGH SLIDES
EASTWARD AND RETURN FLOW INCREASES.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 357 AM EDT FRIDAY...
A SHOWERY PERIOD IS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY TUE-WED NEXT WEEK AS
PATTERN AMPLIFIES NEXT WEEK RESULTING IN A DIGGING LONG WAVE TROF
OVER THE EASTERN CONUS.
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN EVOLUTION SO
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY HIGH IN THIS GENERAL
SOLUTION, BUT ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE AMOUNT OF DIGGING AND
EXACTLY WHERE THE LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST ON WED
AND HOW FAST IT PULLS AWAY.
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY SHOULD BE RELATIVELY QUIET MONDAY UNDER
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE, THOUGH THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT A
WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT MAY BE OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF OUR
AREA. THIS MAY BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWER TO NORTHERN AREAS ON
MONDAY SO HAVE A LOW CHANCE POP THERE. WITH 850 TEMPS AROUND +4C
SHOULD HAVE HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 60S.
ON TUESDAY THE TROF REALLY DIGS IN WITH AND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHEAST US. COOLER AIR STARTS TO MOVE IN AS THE SLOW
SLIDES EAST BUT TUES EVENING. TUESDAY INTO TUE NIGHT LOOKS LIKE
IT WILL BE THE HIGHEST POP OF THE PERIOD AND IT LOOKS LIKE HIGHS
WILL BE 55 TO 60 ON TUE BEFORE COOLING OFF INTO THE MID 30S TO
MID 40S AT NIGHT.
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY THIS LOW CONSOLIDATES SOMEWHERE OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST PUTTING OUR REGION INTO A COOLER AND MOIST
NORTHERLY FLOW. STILL A DECENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND COOLER WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE LOW PULLS AWAY AND AS IT DOES PULLS EVEN
COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION SO ANY LINGERING SHOWERS MAY MIX WITH
SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS BEFORE ENDING EARLY THU WITH LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOW 40S.
THURSDAY SHOULD FEATURE CLEARING SKIES WITH HIGHS 55 TO 60 AS THE
UPPER TROF AND LOW PRESSURE MOVE EAST AWAY FROM US AND RIDGING
ALOFT INCREASES.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...VFR EXPECTED THOUGH MVFR CEILINGS AND
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE AFT 00Z SAT ESPECIALLY KMSS/KSLK.
OUR REGION WILL BE BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES AND LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
TO THE WEST. THIS PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN A SOUTHERLY
WIND FLOW AMD GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KT TODAY DURING MIDDAY.
HIGH THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY LOWER AND THICKEN DURING THE
DAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST NEARING
KMSS/KSLK BY 06Z SAT. CIGS WILL LOWER TO MVFR KMSS/KSLK AFTER 00Z
WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS BUT NOT LIKELY TO AFFECT VSBY TOO
MUCH.
OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
06 TO 12Z SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH SCT MVFR SHOWERS WITH A WEAK
FRONTAL PASSAGE. COULD HAVE BRIEF SNOW SHOWER AT KSLK.
12Z SATURDAY TO 00Z SUNDAY....BECOMING VFR WITH A COOL NW FLOW
WITH G25 KTS MIDDAY.
00Z SUNDAY THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE.
06Z MONDAY ONWARD...MAINLY VFR WITH SCT MVFR SHOWERS AS
ADDITIONAL FRONTAL ENERGY AFFECTS THE AREA.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...SISSON
AVIATION...SISSON

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