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SKIVT-L  June 2014, Week 2

SKIVT-L June 2014, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 8 Jun 2014 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (175 lines)

Expires:201406082000;;130209
FPUS51 KBTV 081039
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
639 AM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014

VTZ006-082000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
639 AM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
$$

Expires:201406081100;;130087
ASUS41 KBTV 081030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUN 08 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-081100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOSUNNY 56 52 86 CALM 29.95S
MONTPELIER MOSUNNY 50 49 96 CALM 30.01S
MORRISVILLE FOG 49 47 93 CALM 29.99S VSB 3/4
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 51 49 92 MISG 29.97R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 53 50 90 CALM 30.00R
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 52 52 100 CALM 29.95S
RUTLAND* SUNNY 54 52 94 SE9 29.98R
SPRINGFIELD FOG 50 50 100 CALM 29.99R VSB 1
HIGHGATE* FAIR 61 56 84 SE5 29.93F
NEWPORT* FAIR 52 51 93 SW3 29.98R
BENNINGTON SUNNY 51 49 92 CALM 29.97R
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 48 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 57 N/A N/A NW6 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 63 55 77 SE7 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 61 55 82 SE8 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 59 57 94 S2 N/A
$$

Expires:No;;123920
FXUS61 KBTV 080759
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
359 AM EDT SUN JUN 8 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE...LIGHT WINDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW TO MID 80S TODAY. A DECAYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING
OUT OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH SOME LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 358 AM EDT SUNDAY...IT'S GOING TO BE ANOTHER FANTASTIC DAY
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGE ALOFT
BUILD DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTHEAST. OUTSIDE OF SOME INCREASING
CIRRUS CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON...WE'LL SEE
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE ACROSS THE BTV CWA WITH MEAN 925MB TEMPS OF
+19-21C SUPPORTING HIGHS WELL INTO THE 80'S AREA-WIDE...WARMEST IN
THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WHERE SOME UPPER 80S ARE POSSIBLE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 358 AM EDT SUNDAY...CONDITIONS TURN SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED AS
WE HEAD INTO TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE BRIEFLY BREAKS
DOWN AND MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. A DECAYING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS OUT OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TOWARDS THE
REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING ACCOMPANIED BY SOME LOW
CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS...BUT WITH DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS
IN PLACE UNDER THE RIDGE NOT EXPECTING A WHOLE LOT OF QPF. A WEAK
SURFACE BOUNDARY SETS UP OVER THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THIS LOW
WHICH WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY. OVERALL...FORCING
IS RATHER WEAK BUT SOME WEAK INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT SO A FEW
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND
EASTERN VERMONT.
TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD REMAIN ON THE MILD SIDE OF NORMAL WITH
LOWS TONIGHT GENERALLY IN THE MID 50S TO LOCALLY LOWER 60S IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...THEN SLIGHTLY LOWER WITH WIDESPREAD 50S SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS MONDAY/TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 325 AM EDT SUNDAY...THIS MORNING'S GLOBAL MODELS SLOWLY
COMING INTO DECENT AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN FOR
THE MIDDLE AND LATER PORTIONS OF THE WEEK AND CONFIDENCE IS
SOMEWHAT ABOVE AVERAGE ON EVOLUTION OF THE MAIN SYNOPTIC FEATURES.
HIGHLIGHTS WILL FEATURE A SLOWLY AMPLIFYING MID TO UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE TUE NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...GRADUALLY GIVING WAY TO AN UPPER
TROUGH EJECTING EAST/NORTHEAST FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES.
DESPITE SOME LINGERING SPURIOUS CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS IN A FEW OF
THE MODELS...PRIMARY IDEA WILL BE A WARM AND MAINLY DRY FORECAST
DURING THE TUE/WED TIME FRAME...THEN A SLOW INCREASE IN CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS FROM WEST TO EAST FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
ONWARD INTO FRIDAY AS UPPER TROUGH AND ATTENDANT WEAK SFC FRONT
PUSH EAST. SLOW DEPARTURE OF EAST COAST RIDGE WILL LIKELY KEEP OUR
FAR EASTERN COUNTIES MAINLY DRY UNTIL FRIDAY THOUGH TYPICAL
UNCERTAINTY FROM A PURE STATISTICAL STANDPOINT AT THIS TIME RANGE
WARRANTS AT LEAST LOWER CHANCE POPS THESE AREAS FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ONWARD. MAIN IDEA WILL BE A HIGHER THREAT OF
SHOWERS/THUNDER WEST EARLY ON HOWEVER. BY SATURDAY UPPER
TROUGH/WEAK FRONT PUSH EAST OF THE AREA WITH CONDITIONS TRENDING
DRIER ONCE AGAIN. AS DISCUSSED THE PAST FEW MORNINGS...LITTLE
AIRMASS CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH
SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES BEING THE RULE. AT THIS POINT BLENDED
MODEL VALUES LOOK QUITE REASONABLE SHOWING HIGHS FROM THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S...THOUGH LOCALLY AROUND
60 IN THE CHAMPLAIN/ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WARM SPOTS.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS DOMINANT AND CLEAR SKIES GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO
SCT/BKN MID/HIGH LEVEL CIGS LATE IN THE FORECAST CYCLE. ONLY
EXCEPTION WILL BE SOME PATCHY BR/FG AND ASSOCIATED IFR VSBYS/CIGS
POSSIBLE AT KSLK/KMPV 06-12Z. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE AT KSLK. WINDS
GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS AND DOMINATED BY LOCAL TERRAIN AND/OR
LAKE BREEZE EFFECTS.
OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
06Z MONDAY THROUGH 18Z MONDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE.
PATCHY LATE IFR IN BR/FG POSSIBLE 06-12Z MONDAY...HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE AT KSLK/KMPV.
18Z MONDAY THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR THOUGH BRIEF
PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR VSBY POSSIBLE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
00Z WEDNESDAY ONWARD...MAINLY VFR. PATCHY LATE NIGHT/EARLY
MORNING IFR IN BR/FG POSSIBLE 06-12Z WEDNESDAY. INCREASING CHANCE
FOR VFR/MVFR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG/LOCONTO

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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