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SKIVT-L  June 2014, Week 2

SKIVT-L June 2014, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 10 Jun 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (193 lines)

Expires:201406102000;;220404
FPUS51 KBTV 100740
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
339 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014

VTZ006-102000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
339 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014
.TODAY...CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. 
$$

Expires:201406101100;;227325
ASUS41 KBTV 101030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-101100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   65  59  81 S3        29.95R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    60  55  83 CALM      29.97R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     63  58  83 MISG      29.94R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    62  56  80 CALM      29.98S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    DRIZZLE   63  62  95 E3        29.94S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    61  59  94 SE3       29.98R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    60  57  89 CALM      29.96S                  
HIGHGATE*      DRIZZLE   61  57  87 CALM      29.96R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    60  51  71 CALM      29.98R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    59  57  93 MISG      29.97R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     55 N/A N/A SE8         N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     64  55  72 N1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  55  68 NW5         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  61  88 S1          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;225254
FXUS61 KBTV 100928
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
528 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE REGION EARLY TODAY WILL MOVE
SOUTH AS A WEAK COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SOME RAIN SHOWERS. TONIGHT WILL BE DRY AS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM CANADA. AN UPPER TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO THE GULF OF MEXICO
WILL BRING INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION
WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
FAIR AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS
WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 439 AM EDT TUESDAY...COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP SHOWING SOME
RESIDUAL RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY IN NORTHERN
NEW YORK ALONG WITH SOME ACTIVITY ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
EXPECTING THIS ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING AND MOVE
NORTH INTO CANADA. HAVE KEPT IN SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE POPS MAINLY
OVER EASTERN AND NORTHEAST VERMONT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOME RAIN
SHOWERS AS A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAIRLY STABLE...SO NOT EXPECTING ANY
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 439 AM EDT TUESDAY...MODELS SHOW 500 MB HEIGHTS BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION AS AN UPPER RIDGE GETS ESTABLISHED.
THUS...EXPECTING A DRY FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. HAVE GONE SLIGHTLY
ABOVE MOS GUIDANCE FOR MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...GIVEN EXPECTED
CLOUD COVER. ON WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES TO THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL HELP TO PULL PLENTY
OF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWING THIS ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. GUIDANCE HINTING AT SOME
CONVECTION ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE ADIRONDACKS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...SO HAVE INCLUDED A MENTION OF A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS. WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
INSTABILITY LOOKS MARGINAL SO HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY MENTION OF
THUNDERSTORMS. BUFKIT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING PWATS LATER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AROUND 1.5 INCHES OR GREATER...SO
SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 340 AM EDT TUESDAY...OVERALL MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
FULL LATITUDE SYSTEM IMPACTING OUR CWA ON THURS NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY...WITH UNSETTLED WX ANTICIPATED. LATEST TRENDS WOULD
SUPPORT A WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAIN EVENT...AS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
IS ADVECTED AHEAD OF FULL LATITUDE MID/UPPER LVL TROF. PWS SURGE
BTWN 1.50 AND 1.85...OR NEAR 200% OF NORMAL...ALONG WITH GOOD PVA
FROM EMBEDDED VORTS ASSOCIATED WITH TROF. INSTABILITY IS
LIMITED...BUT SOUNDING SUPPORT A TALL/SKINNY CAPE
PROFILE...SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL.
WL MENTION LIKELY POPS FOR THURS NIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN
TAPER OFF TO SCHC/CHC POPS ON SATURDAY. PWS VALUES QUICKLY DROP
BLW 0.50" AS MUCH DRIER AIR DEVELOPS ON WESTERLY FLW BEHIND SFC
BOUNDARY ON SATURDAY. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON TIMING WITH ECMWF
A LITTLE SLOWER WITH DEEPER MOISTURE SHIFTING EAST...THEREFORE WL
MENTION SOME POPS ON SATURDAY. WL KEEP SUNDAY AND MONDAY DRY WITH
SFC HIGH PRES AND BUILDING HGHTS ALOFT. TEMPS WL BE MUCH ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THURS NIGHT...ASSOCIATED WITH CLOUDS/PRECIP AND WARM
SFC DWPTS...WITH NEAR NORMAL HIGHS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...BEFORE A
SLIGHT COOLING TREND ON SATURDAY. OTHERWISE...MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE
AND DEVELOPING WAA WL PUSH TEMPS BACK ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY WITH READINGS IN THE M70S MTNS TO L80S VALLEYS.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...A WEAK SFC BOUNDARY CONTS TO PRODUCE LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS AT MSS/MPV THIS MORNING WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. GIVEN CRNT OBS AND UPSTREAM CONDITIONS OCCASIONAL MVFR
CIGS WL DEVELOP AT RUT TONIGHT AND MPV...WITH SOME BRIEF PERIODS
OF MVFR VIS AT MSS. OTHERWISE...WIND PROFILES ARE VERY
LIGHT...EXPECT LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TO BECOME NORTH/NORTHEAST
TODAY AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SHOWERS WL LIFT NORTH OF OUR TAF SITES BY
14Z THIS MORNING...WITH GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
OUTLOOK 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... 
WEAK SFC HIGH PRES WITH VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL THRU 18Z
WEDS...WITH EXCEPT OF PATCHY FOG/BR AT MPV/SLK BTWN 06Z-12Z WEDS.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS/VIS DEVELOP AFT 18Z
WEDS ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRNT LIFTING NORTH. THESE SHOWERS WL
PERSIST INTO FOR THURS INTO FRIDAY...WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTN HRS. MAINLY
VFR CONDITIONS WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE HEAVIER SHOWER ACTIVITY. DRIER AIR WITH VFR CONDITIONS
RETURN FOR SATURDAY.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 528 AM EDT TUESDAY...THE AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVING SYSTEM
(ASOS) AT THE KNAPP STATE AIRPORT IN BARRE-MONTPELIER VERMONT
(KMPV) HAS NOT TRANSMITTED AN OBSERVATION SINCE 0451Z (1251 AM
EDT) TODAY. THIS IS DUE TO COMMUNICATIONS LINE OUTAGE. THE FAA
AOCC (ATLANTIC OPERATIONS CONTROL CENTER) HAS BEEN NOTIFIED OF
THIS COMMUNICATIONS LINE OUTAGE. THERE IS NO ESTIMATE AVAILABLE AT
THIS TIME AS TO WHEN THIS COMMUNICATIONS LINE WILL BE RESTORED.
THUS...THERE WILL BE NO WEATHER OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE FROM THIS
SITE UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...WGH
NEAR TERM...WGH
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER
EQUIPMENT...WGH

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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July 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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June 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 1
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February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
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October 2007, Week 5
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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