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SKIVT-L  June 2014, Week 2

SKIVT-L June 2014, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 13 Jun 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (210 lines)

Expires:201406132000;;362211
FPUS51 KBTV 130745
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014

VTZ006-132000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
345 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014
.TODAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS
UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...THEN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
LOWS AROUND 60. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
$$

Expires:201406131100;;368940
ASUS41 KBTV 131030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-131100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    63  60  90 E3        29.88F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    58  56  93 SE7       30.00S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    60  57  89 CALM      29.97S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  56  96 MISG      29.97S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    57  54  89 CALM      30.00S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    65  61  87 E12G21    29.88S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    61  57  88 S10G16    29.93S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    59  57  93 CALM      29.98F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    64  60  88 CALM      29.86F                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    58  55  91 S12       29.96F                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    67  59  75 SE10      29.89F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A SE20G37     N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A    N/A N/A N/A SE12        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A    N/A N/A N/A S18         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  61  88 S3          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;364679
FXUS61 KBTV 130841
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
441 AM EDT FRI JUN 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO THE NORTH
COUNTRY TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND BRING CLEARING SKIES AND DRY WEATHER
THROUGH MONDAY. 
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 441 AM EDT FRIDAY...COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP SHOWING PLENTY OF
SHOWER ACTIVITY MOVING NORTHWARD FROM PENNSYLVANIA AND CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NEW YORK STATE AT THIS TIME. HAVE GONE WITH CATEGORICAL
POPS FOR TODAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGE FROM 1.6 TO 1.8
INCHES TODAY...SO HAVE ADDED ENHANCED WORDING FOR SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. HAVE ALSO ADDED A MENTION OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS SHOWALTER INDEX ARE AROUND OR
LIGHT BELOW ZERO...SO SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE. GIVEN
CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF A RISE IN
TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 441 AM EDT FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT. HAVE GONE WITH CATEGORICAL POPS EARLY TONIGHT AND
HAVE CONTINUED TO MENTION SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE
ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. EXPECTING AROUND AN INCH OF
RAINFALL FROM TODAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. EXPECTING CLOUDS AND
SOME LINGERING SHOWERS ACROSS VERMONT EARLY SATURDAY...BUT EXPECT
CLEARING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY MIDDAY ON SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES. EXPECTING CLEAR
SKIES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER
THE REGION.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM EDT FRIDAY...THE EXTENDED FCST CHALLENGE WL BE TIMING
OF PRECIP CHCS...ESPECIALLY TWD THE MID OF NEXT WEEK ASSOCIATED
WITH REDEVELOPMENT OF MID/UPPER LVL TROF. LARGE SCALE PATTERN WL
FEATURE MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE BREAKING DOWN ON MONDAY...WITH
WESTERLY FLW DEVELOPING ON TUES/WEDS...BEFORE ADDITIONAL S/W
ENERGY SHARPENS MID/UPPER LVL TROF ACRS THE NE CONUS FOR THURS
INTO FRIDAY. TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL S/W'S IN THE FLW ALOFT AND
PLACEMENT OF BEST MID LVL RH WL BE CHALLENGING GIVEN CHANGEABLE
MID/UPPER LVL FLW ALOFT. ON MONDAY...BEST 5H VORT SLIDES TO OUR
NW...WHILE DEEPEST MOISTURE IS ACRS THE MID ATLANTIC. STILL THE
COMBINATION OF SFC HEATING...SOME INSTABILITY WITH CAPE AROUND 1000
J/KG AND WEAK SFC BOUNDARY WL CONT TO MENTION LOW CHC POPS LATE
MONDAY AFTN/EVENING. PROGGED 85H TEMPS NEAR 15C SUPPORT HIGHS U70S
MTNS/NEK TO M80S WARMER VALLEYS. GIVEN QUICK MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM
AND LIMITED DEEP LAYER MOISTURE...QPF WL BE LIGHT AND DURATION WL
ONLY BE 1 TO 3 HRS. WEAK SFC RIDGE BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA OF
TUES...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPS ANTICIPATED. NEXT
SYSTEM ARRIVES ON WEDS WITH ANOTHER CHC FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE AGAIN SOME INSTABILITY WL BE PRESENT WITH
CAPES BTWN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG AND FAVORABLE ULVL SUPPORT
ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT 5H VORT AND DIGGING MID/UPPER LVL TROF. WL
MENTION CHC POPS ON WEDS WITH TEMPS BACK INTO THE U70S TO LOWER
80S. DRIER NW FLW ALOFT DEVELOPS FOR THURS INTO FRIDAY...WITH SOME
LLVL CAA...AS PROGGED 85H TEMPS DROP BTWN 5-7C. THIS WL SUPPORT
DRY CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS BACK IN THE 70S AND LOWS MAINLY IN THE
40S COLDER VALLEYS TO M50S CPV/SLV.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...DIFFICULT AVIATION FCST WITH REGARDS TO
CIGS/VIS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP FLW OF MOISTURE ACRS OUR TAF SITES.
CRNT RADAR SHOWS OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS AT
BTV/MSS/PBG AND MVFR CIGS AT SLK/MPV/RUT. SOUNDINGS AND LATEST
GUIDANCE CONTS TO SHOW CIGS LOWERING TO IFR LEVELS AT MPV BY 08Z
THIS MORNING WITH PERIODS OF IFR CIGS/VIS POSSIBLE AT SLK BTWN
09-12Z THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...EXPECTING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WITH
OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS/VIS IN THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY AT
MSS/BTV/PBG/RUT TODAY. SOUTHEAST FLW SHOULD SHIFT TO THE SOUTH
THIS MORNING AND TO THE SOUTHWEST BEHIND SFC BOUNDARY BTWN 20Z-04Z
THIS AFTN/EVENING. A PERIOD OF HEAVIER SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
RUMBLES OF THUNDER WL BE POSSIBLE WITH BOUNDARY...WITH BRIEF
PERIODS OF VIS BTWN 2-4SM.
OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WITH
EMBEDDED RUMBLES OF THUNDER WL SHIFT EAST OF OUR TAFS SITES BY 06Z
SATURDAY...WITH MVFR CIGS PREVAILING WITH SOME IFR POSSIBLE IN
FOG/BR AT SLK TWD 12Z SAT. SFC HIGH PRES WL RESULT IN VFR
CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY...BUT WITH CLR SKIES AND CALM WINDS AND
PLENTY OF LLVL MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS...AREAS OF FOG/BR WITH
IFR/LIFR WL BE POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY
SLK/MPV. VFR WITH HIGH PRES PREVAILS SUNDAY MORNING THRU
MONDAY...WITH INCREASE CHCS FOR AFTN SHOWERS/STORMS MONDAY AND
TUES AFTNS.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 441 AM EDT FRIDAY...EXPECTING TO SEE SOME SHARP RISES ON
AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS TODAY AND TONIGHT AS LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TODAY WILL
BE AROUND 1.6 TO 1.8 INCHES. EXPECTING A WIDESPREAD 1 INCH
RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE RIVER
GAGE ON THE EAST BRANCH OF THE AUSABLE RIVER IN NORTHERN NEW YORK
HAS RISEN TO 5.38 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS IS 2 FEET HIGHER
THAN FORECASTED. FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP
SHOWING MORE HEAVY RAINFALL HEADED FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK THIS
MORNING...SO WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...WERE NOT EXPECTING ANY WIDESPREAD
FLOODING AT THIS TIME...AND MOST RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN
WITHIN THEIR BANKS.
&&
.MARINE...
AS OF 441 AM EDT FRIDAY...THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR LAKE
CHAMPLAIN HAS BEEN CANCELLED...AS WINDS HAVE LOWERED BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER...WINDS TODAY WILL BE SOUTH AT 10 TO 20
KNOTS WITH WAVES OF 1 TO 2 FEET. EXPECTING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
TONIGHT. VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY LOWERING TO 3 TO 5 MILES.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...WGH
NEAR TERM...WGH
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER
HYDROLOGY...WGH
MARINE...WGH

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August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
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May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
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January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
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August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
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March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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January 2002, Week 1
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