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SKIVT-L  July 2014, Week 3

SKIVT-L July 2014, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 20 Jul 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (207 lines)

Expires:201407202015;;098259
FPUS51 KBTV 200834
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
434 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014

VTZ006-202015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
434 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 
$$

Expires:201407201100;;102830
ASUS41 KBTV 201030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-201100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   61  55  81 CALM      30.18R                  
MONTPELIER     MOSUNNY   55  54  96 CALM      30.25S                  
MORRISVILLE    PTSUNNY   56  55  97 CALM      30.23R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  56  96 MISG      30.20S                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      58  58 100 CALM      30.19S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    57  55  94 SE7       30.21S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    58  58 100 CALM      30.22S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      62  57  84 SE3       30.17S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR     N/A N/A N/A CALM      30.22S                  
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  58  57  97 CALM      30.20S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     39 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     55 N/A N/A S5          N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  59  73 SE8         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  61  82 S14         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  59  82 SE6         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;097453
FXUS61 KBTV 200820
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
420 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT
THIS MORNING AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT WITH MAINLY
CLOUDS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE RIGHT AROUND
SEASONAL NORMALS ONCE AGAIN. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON MONDAY
AND CONTINUE RIGHT INTO MIDWEEK. OTHER THAN A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK MONDAY AFTERNOON...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY AND INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF
WHICH COULD BE ON THE STRONG SIDE.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 420 AM EDT SUNDAY...WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION EARLY THIS MORNING IS
ENHANCING AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS. THESE SHOWERS MIGHT CLIP
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT THIS MORNING...THUS HAVE
MENTIONED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE RUTLAND
AREA. ELSEWHERE...WEAK UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER WESTERN QUEBEC
AND WESTERN NEW YORK EARLY THIS MORNING...WHICH IS HELPING TO
PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AHEAD OF IT. GOING FORECAST OF A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TODAY FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK MAKES SENSE
WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. BETWEEN
THESE TWO AREAS...EXPECTING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TO MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE RIGHT AROUND
SEASONAL NORMALS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 420 AM EDT SUNDAY...ANY LIGHT SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK
COME TO AN END DURING THE EVENING HOURS WITH DRY CONDITIONS
ELSEWHERE. WARMER 925 MILLIBAR TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA ON MONDAY AND WE SHOULD SEE THE DEW POINTS INCREASE A BIT AS
WELL. SO NOT ONLY WILL THIS MEAN WARMER TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S...BUT INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BE
INCREASING...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK. LINGERING WEAK
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MAY PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH FORCING...HIGHER
TERRAIN FOR THAT MATTER AS WELL...WHEN COMBINED WITH THE
INSTABILITY COULD PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN NEW
YORK. HAVE KEPT THIS IDEA GOING IN THE FORECAST. AGAIN...ANY
SHOWERS END BY EVENING WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. WEAK
RIDGING ALOFT MOVES IN ON TUESDAY AND LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARM
EVEN FURTHER. THUS EXPECTING DRY WEATHER ALL AREAS WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90...WITH INCREASING DEW POINTS
TO CREATE HIGHER HUMIDITIES.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT SUNDAY...BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH SOME STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.
OVERALL LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS COUPLE OF FORECAST AND MODELS CONT
TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TIMING OF SYSTEM FOR WEDS...BUT SHOW
SOME DIFFERENCE TOWARD THE END OF THIS UPCOMING WEEK. A WARM AND
MUGGY NIGHT IS ANTICIPATED ON TUES...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AND SURFACE
DEW POINTS IN THE 60S. LOWS BY WEDS MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE U50S
MOUNTAINS/NORTHEAST KINGDOM TO NEAR 70F IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND 
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. WEDNESDAY WILL START OUT DRY WITH BREEZY WARM
SOUTHERLY WINDS...ADVECTING 85H TEMPS TO 17C...SUPPORTING HIGHS
WELL INTO THE 80S TO LOWER 90S WARMER VALLEY REGIONS. THIS
HEAT...WILL RESULT IN SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES BETWEEN 1200 AND
1800 J/KG AND LI VALUES BETWEEN -3C AND -5C BY WEDS AFTERNOON. AS
POTENT 5H VORT APPROACHES OUR FORECAST AREA ASSOCIATED WITH MID/UPPER
LEVEL TROF AND SURFACE COLD FRONT...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL DEVELOP AFT 18Z WEDS AND CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. HAVE MENTION LIKELY POPS FROM 18Z WEDS TO 06Z
THURSDAY...BUT IT SHOULD BE POINTED OUT A PERIOD OF ONLY 1 TO 2
HRS OF RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THIS 12 HR WINDOW. SOUNDING
PROFILES CONT TO SHOW A UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILE THRU
500MB...WITH MODERATE VELOCITIES RESULTING IN 0 TO 6 KM SHEAR
VALUES BETWEEN 30 AND 40 KNOTS. THIS COMBINED WITH THE
DYNAMICS/INSTABILITY PARAMETERS SUPPORTS THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONGER STORMS WITH SOME ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENTS POSSIBLE. WILL
CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT IN CURRENT HWO ON STORM POTENTIAL. IN
ADDITION...WITH PWS BETWEEN 1.50 AND 1.80" AND WARM CLOUD DEPTHS
NEAR 11,500 FEET...LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWN POURS ARE LIKELY...BUT
GIVEN EXPECTED STORM MOTIONS AND RECENT DRY SPELL...MINIMAL HYDRO
ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED. BY 12Z THURS BEST 5H PVA IS LOCATED ACROSS
SOUTHERN CANADA...WHILE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS IS APPROACHING
OUR WESTERN FORECAST AREA. THIS COMBINED WITH ENHANCED 850 TO
500MB MOISTURE ACROSS OUR NORTHERN/EASTERN SECTION WILL CONT TO
MENTION CHANCE POPS ON THURSDAY. IF SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE LAGGING BEHIND AND FAVORABLE DYNAMICS
ALOFT...THESE POPS WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD TO LIKELY...BUT
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY. DRY AND COOLER AIR ARRIVES BY FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY WITH TROF OVERHEAD AND BUILD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS WITH MUCH LESS
HUMIDITY BY FRIDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...IR SATL SHOWS BRIEF BREAK IN THE HIGH
OVERCAST ACRS NORTHERN DACKS INTO CENTRAL VT THIS MORNING...WITH
SURFACE DWPTS 4 TO 8 DEGREES HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS COUPLE OF NIGHTS.
THIS BREAK IN THE CLOUDS HAS ALLOWED FOR TEMPS TO QUICKLY FALL
BELOW THE CROSS OVER VALUE AT SLK WITH FOG/BR ALREADY DEVELOPING.
HAVE MENTION A 2 HR TEMPO BETWEEN 06-08Z WITH IFR CONDITIONS...BUT
THINK AS MORE CLOUDS DEVELOP TEMPS WILL WARM AND FOG WILL DISSIPATE.
AT MPV...BREAK IN OVERCAST IS JUST ARRIVING AND FEEL A BRIEF
PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS/VIS WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 07Z-10Z THIS
MORNING...ELSEWHERE EXPECTING MAINLY VFR. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY
LIGHT AND VARIABLE...EXCEPT SOUTHEAST AT RUTLAND. VFR CONDITIONS
WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL PREVAIL ON SUNDAY...WITH MAYBE AN
ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE ACRS NORTHERN NEW YORK BETWEEN 17Z-21Z. A
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND AT 4 TO 8 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A LAKE
BREEZY IMPACTING PBG. 
OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME LOCALIZED PATCHY FOG/BR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH IFR
CONDITIONS AT SLK/MPV MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS...ESPECIALLY AS
LLVL MOISTURE INCREASES. A SURFACE COLD FRNT WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS ON WEDS AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH LOCALIZED MVFR
IN THE HEAVIER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SOME LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE...CREATING AREAS OF TURBULENCE AND WIND SHEAR.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONT INTO THURSDAY WITH MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
WITH EXCEPTION OF OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS...IN OUR MTN TAF SITES OF
MPV/SLK.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 3
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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April 2006, Week 1
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
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October 2004, Week 3
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June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 3
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
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May 2000, Week 1
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