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SKIVT-L  August 2014, Week 2

SKIVT-L August 2014, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 14 Aug 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (163 lines)

Expires:201408142000;;247859
FPUS51 KBTV 140721
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
321 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

VTZ006-142000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
321 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
$$

Expires:201408141100;;254925
ASUS41 KBTV 141030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-141100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   59  53  80 NW8       29.72R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    56  52  86 CALM      29.76R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    57  54  89 CALM      29.73R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     58  58 100 MISG      29.68R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    56  55  95 S5        29.75R                  
RUTLAND*       PTSUNNY   55  52  88 CALM      29.76R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    57  54  89 VRB3      29.74R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    55  52  89 W3        29.73R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    56  55  94 W3        29.72R                  
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   54  48  80 SW7       29.79R                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      0 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     54 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     45 N/A N/A NW24        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     59  52  77 NW15        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     59  55  88 E6          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;249666
FXUS61 KBTV 140810
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
410 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND QUEBEC THIS 
MORNING WILL SLOWLY SHIFT INTO CENTRAL QUEBEC BY THE END OF THE 
UPCOMING WEEKEND. THE RESULT WILL BE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ACROSS THE 
NORTH COUNTRY WITH GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES AND PERIODS OF SHOWERS.
WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 410 AM EDT THURSDAY...A GENERALLY QUIET DAY IS ON TAP FOR
THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY AS WE REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW/TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. SURFACE
OCCLUDED FRONT LOCATED OVER THE NORTH ADIRONDACKS WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION WITH A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS POSSIBLE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. FAIRLY DRY MID LEVELS POST-
FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD PRECLUDE PRECIPITATION THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY UNTIL DEEPER MOISTURE FILLS BACK IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN
ADVANCE OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE ENERGY. FAIRLY COLD TEMPS ALOFT
ONLY AROUND +5C AT 850MB ALONG WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER WILL
KEEP TEMPS WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MID AUGUST WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
60S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 410 AM EDT THURSDAY...AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
REMAIN THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE BTV CWA THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD AS IT SLOWLY SHIFTS NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL
QUEBEC BY 12Z SATURDAY AND WEAKENS WITH TIME. SEVERAL PIECES OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING PERIODS
OF SHOWERS TO THE REGION...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT INTO THE FIRST HALF
OF FRIDAY AND AGAIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...IN THOSE
IN-BETWEEN PERIODS WE SHOULD SEE GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH
VARIABLE CLOUDINESS ON WEST TO SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW. TEMPS REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH LOWS IN THE LOW 50S AND HIGHS
STILL ONLY IN THE 60S...BUT AS THE LOW SHIFTS NORTH WE'LL SEE A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND BACK TOWARDS NORMAL WITH HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 306 AM EDT THURSDAY...ANOTHER PERIOD OF SHOWERY/WET WEATHER
STILL APPEARS ON TRACK TO AFFECT OUR AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. TONIGHT'S GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN OVERALL DECENT
AGREEMENT SHOWING A FAIRLY ROBUST SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED SFC
TROUGH PIVOTING SOUTH/SOUTHEASTWARD AROUND THE BASE OF THE CLOSED
LOW DURING THIS PERIOD ALONG WITH SCT TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THUS HIGH CHC TO LIKELY (50-70%)
POPS WILL BE MAINTAINED DURING THESE PERIODS AS CONDITIONS REMAIN
ON THE CLOUDY AND COOL SIDE. OVERNIGHT LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE
50S WITH HIGHS SUNDAY 65 TO 73.
THEREAFTER A GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST 
AREA WITH CONDITIONS TRENDING MAINLY DRY AND TEMPERATURES SLOWLY 
WARMING AS UPPER LOW DEPARTS NORTHEAST AND IS REPLACED BY SFC HIGH 
PRESSURE. THERE STILL COULD BE A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS NC/NE VT SUNDAY 
NIGHT AND/OR MONDAY AS ONE LAST SHORTWAVE PIVOTS AROUND THE 
BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW...BUT GENERALLY SPEAKING DRY 
WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 
70S FROM MONDAY ONWARD...PERHAPS TOUCHING 80 IN THE BROADER VALLEYS 
BY NEXT WEDNESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY 45 TO 55 SUNDAY AND MONDAY 
NIGHT...THEN 50S THEREAFTER.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...VARIETY OF VFR/MVFR/IFR/LIFR THROUGH 12Z AS
OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. THEREAFTER CIGS GRADUALLY
LIFT TO VFR WITH OCCNL MVFR IN SCT SHOWERS AFTER 13-15Z AT NRN NY
TERMINALS AND POSSIBLY AT KBTV. MORE WIDESPREAD THREAT OF SHOWERS
ARRIVES AREA WIDE BY 00Z AS SECONDARY SURFACE TROUGH SWINGS INTO
THE REGION. WINDS LIGHT TO MODEST WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY FROM 4 TO 10
KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD...OCCASIONALLY GUSTY...ESP 12-22Z.
OUTLOOK 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
06Z FRIDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...MAINLY VFR ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF
MVFR/IFR ARE POSSIBLE IN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY FRI
AND SUN. AREAS OF LOW CEILINGS AND/OR FOG/BR POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT
AS WELL...ESPECIALLY SLK/MPV.
00Z MONDAY ONWARD...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG/MUCCILLI

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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