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SKIVT-L  August 2014, Week 2

SKIVT-L August 2014, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 10 Aug 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (172 lines)

Expires:201408102000;;065519
FPUS51 KBTV 100758
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
357 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014

VTZ006-102000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
357 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
30 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. 
$$

Expires:201408101100;;072265
ASUS41 KBTV 101030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-101100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   57  54  89 CALM      30.15R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       50  49  96 CALM      30.21R VSB 1            
MORRISVILLE    FOG       50  49  96 CALM      30.18R VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     53  52  96 MISG      30.15R                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MIDDLEBURY*      N/A     53  53 100 CALM      30.16R FOG              
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     54  50  87 SE8       30.17R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       51  50  96 CALM      30.17R VSB 3/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      56  55  97 CALM      30.14R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      53  53  98 CALM      30.16R                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     50  49  96 CALM      30.16S                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     55 N/A N/A N9          N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  61  88 S13         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  59  94 SE6         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;067670
FXUS61 KBTV 100831
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
431 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. TUESDAY
WILL SEE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK...ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 431 AM EDT SUNDAY...SFC HIGH CRESTS OVER THE NORTHEAST
TODAY...PROVIDING DRY AND BENIGN WEATHER...WITH LIGHT WINDS. FEW-
SCT CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE DIURNAL HEATING AS UPPER
LOW OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES KEEPS SOME MOISTURE OVER THE AREA
AND PSBL VORT SKIMS THE NH-VT BORDER. THIS MEANS THE NEK AND ERN
VT MAY SEE MORE CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.
850MB TEMPERATURES REACH 13C-15C...RESULTING IN SFC MAXES IN THE
U70S TO M80S IN THE VALLEYS AND U60S TO L70S IN THE MTNS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 431 AM EDT SUNDAY...CLOUDS DISSIPATE OVERNIGHT...WITH LIGHT
TO CALM WINDS ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER NIGHT OF PATCHY FOG
DEVELOPMENT. OVERALL PLEASANT NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE
M50S-L60S. THE HIGHER ADKS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER...IN THE U40S-
L50S.
MONDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER...AS UPPER RIDGE CRESTS OVER THE
NORTH COUNTRY...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE U60S-M80S. AS
THE UPPER RIDGE CRESTS OVER THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON...IT WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN. AT THE SFC...THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE TO OUR
EAST...ALLOWING S/SE FLOW TO BEGIN TO INCREASE MOISTURE OVER THE
AREA. THEREFORE...HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHC FOR TERRAIN DRIVEN
SHOWERS MONDAY AFTERNOON.
COME TUESDAY MORNING...THE UPPER RIDGE SLIDES EAST OF VT...GFS
BEING FASTER THAN NAM/ECMWF AND CANADIAN GEM IN THIS RESPECT.
LARGE UPPER LOW DIGS SOUTHWARD FROM CENTRAL CANADA INTO THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL REINFORCE INCREASING
MOISTURE ON S/SE FLOW...ALONG WITH KEEPING MOST OF EASTERN VT DRY
DURING THE DAY. SLV WILL SEE PRECIP PUSH INTO THE AREA LATE
TUESDAY MORNING...CONTINUING TO SPREAD EWD INTO THE CPV IN THE
LATE AFTN. CLOSED SFC LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL HELP
INCREASE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND SEE SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO
10-20KTS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES COOLER IN
INCREASING CLOUDS AND ENCROACHING SHOWERS.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 320 AM EDT SUNDAY...FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK FOR A RATHER
UNSETTLED PERIOD TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. POTENT UPPER
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND
BECOMES AN UPPER LOW RIGHT OVER THE AREA. THE UPPER LOW THEN
REMAINS OVER THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY
MOVING NORTHEAST OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY. RIGHT NOW TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING HAS THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION WITH UPPER TROUGH CLOSING OFF OVER US. SO THE IDEA
OF CATEGORICAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOKS REAL GOOD. THUNDER
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL. STILL LOOKING AT LIKELY
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THURSDAY WITH UPPER LOW RIGHT OVER US
AND THEN EVENTUALLY TAPERING OFF TO CHANCE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THE COMBINATION OF COLDER 925 MB TEMPERATURES...CLOUDS...AND
PRECIPITATION SUGGEST BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH THURSDAY NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 60S...WITH 50S IN THE
MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE LOOKING AT MID 60S TO LOWER 70S FOR HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY...FRIDAY...AND SATURDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...OTHER THAN A FEW PERIODS OF IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS AT KSLK AND KMPV BETWEEN 07Z AND 12Z THIS MORNING...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH VERY LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF ANY CLOUD COVER. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER 10 KNOTS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
06Z MONDAY THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...VFR EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE PATCHY IFR IN
BR/FG FROM 06-12Z EACH MORNING...MOST PREVALENT AT KSLK/KMPV.
18Z TUESDAY ONWARD...INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
AS LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT PUSH SLOWLY INTO THE
AREA. VFR WITH OCNL MVFR CIGS/IFR VSBYS POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE OF MVFR/IFR TUE NIGHT/WEDNESDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KGM
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...EVENSON/RJS

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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October 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 5
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