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SKIVT-L  September 2014, Week 2

SKIVT-L September 2014, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 9 Sep 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (186 lines)

Expires:201409092000;;432892
FPUS51 KBTV 090731
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014

VTZ006-092000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
330 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. 
$$

Expires:201409091100;;440271
ASUS41 KBTV 091030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE SEP 09 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-091100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     SUNNY     55  49  80 SE5       30.35R                  
MONTPELIER     SUNNY     45  43  93 CALM      30.42R                  
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     47  45  93 CALM      30.39R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     48  48 100 MISG      30.38R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      56  42  60 SE6       30.35R                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     54  46  76 S8        30.36S                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       46  46 100 NW3       30.40R VSB 3/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      52  49  90 SE3       30.34R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      48  47  97 CALM      30.39R                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     43  41  93 S5        30.34S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     48 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     46 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A SE18        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     63  52  67 SE14        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  52  67 S17         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     57  50  77 S7          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;434070
FXUS61 KBTV 090805
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
405 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL 
CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE REGION WITH SEASONABLY MILD AND DRY WEATHER 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE THE AREA ON THURSDAY 
ALONG WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS. A SOMEWHAT COOLER AIRMASS 
ARRIVES BEHIND THE FRONT FOR LATE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH 
LARGELY DRY WEATHER OUTSIDE A NOMINAL LIGHT SHOWER OR TWO DURING 
SATURDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 330 AM EDT TUESDAY...A PERSISTENCE FORECAST...THAT'S THE NAME
OF THE GAME ONCE AGAIN FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT AS STRENGTHENING 1031
MB SFC HIGH REMAINS BRIDGED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. WITH THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SLIGHTLY FURTHER EAST
TODAY...SOUTHEASTERLY RETURN FLOW HAS COMMENCED ALLOWING A
SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST AIRMASS OF MARITIME ORIGIN TO ADVECT INTO THE
AREA. AS A RESULT...MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RUN ABOUT 1-3
DEGREES COOLER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY FROM THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE
DACKS EAST. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED FURTHER WEST IN THE SLV AS LL
TRAJECTORIES ARE MORE SOUTHERLY THERE. ALL AND ALL STILL LOOKING
AT ANOTHER GREAT DAY WITH PLENTY OF SUN AND JUST A FEW FAIR WX
CUMULUS FROM TIME TO TIME AS HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE M-U 70S
SLV...L-M 70S DACKS/CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S
IN EASTERN VT.
THEN ANOTHER CLEAR TO PTLY CLOUDY NIGHT EXPECTED TONIGHT AS LOWS 
ONCE AGAIN FALL INTO THE 45 TO 55 RANGE. WE COULD SEE A FEW MORE 
CLOUDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN VT WITH SOME INDICATIONS IN 
THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MOISTURE FIELDS THAT A MARINE STRATUS LAYER 
MAY ATTEMPT TO CREEP NORTHWARD INTO THESE AREAS. REGARDLESS...THIS 
SHOULD HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON SENSIBLE WEATHER OUTSIDE AVIATION 
INTERESTS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM EDT TUESDAY...BY WEDNESDAY HIGH PRESSURE PULLS FURTHER
EAST ALLOWING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO SLOWLY DEEPEN/STRENGTHEN OVER
TIME. HIGHS ONCE AGAIN SOLIDLY IN THE 70S FOR MOST LOCALES ALONG
WITH DRY WEATHER AND SUNNY TO PTLY SUNNY SKIES.
MOST ACTIVE WEATHER IN THE 7-DAY FORECAST PERIOD THEN AFFECTS THE 
AREA BY LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES 
THROUGH THE REGION. MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN SHOWING A NARROW BUT 
FAIRLY DECENT PWAT AXIS OF 1.7 TO 2.0 INCHES TO OCCUR ALONG AND 
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY...SO THE IDEA OF HIGHER POPS INTO 
THE 60-80 PCT RANGE STILL LOOKS ON TRACK. WITH MEAGER LAPSE RATES 
AND PBL INSTABILITY HAVE REMOVED THE MENTION OF THUNDER...WHICH 
AGREES WELL WITH THE NEAR ZERO SREF CALIBRATED T-STM PROGS. PLENTY 
OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND IN THE LOWER TO MID LEVELS 
HOWEVER...WITH EVIDENCE OF ENHANCED LL JET DEVELOPMENT IN THE 
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY THURSDAY MORNING. WITH STEADY MOVEMENT OF 
FRONT...AND EXPECTED SHADOWING EFFECTS FROM THE AMBIENT FLOW...QPF 
WILL BE MODEST AT BEST WITH MOST LOCALES SEEING A QUARTER INCH OR 
LESS. NONETHELESS...ENOUGH LL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SFC BOUNDARY TO 
ENSURE A WETTING RAIN FOR A FEW HOURS AT MOST LOCATIONS. HIGHS A TAD 
COOLER GIVEN CLOUDS/SHOWERS...U60S TO L70S.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 405 AM EDT TUESDAY...A LARGE SCALE TROF WILL REMAIN ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH AMERICA THROUGH THE PERIOD. IT WILL BRING BELOW
NORMAL TEMPS TO THE NORTH COUNTRY GIVING US A GOOD TASTE OF
WEATHER MORE LIKE THAT OF EARLY OCTOBER WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND
LOWS IN THE 40S. SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY ONLY HAVE HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. COULD BE SOME ISOLATED
FROST AT THE NORMAL COLD SPOTS IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND FAR
NORTHEAST KINGDOM.
850 TEMPS WILL FALL TO 1-2 STD DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL AND WILL
SETTLE DOWN TO AROUND +2 VCTY BTV BY FRIDAY AND REMAIN BETWEEN
4-6C THROUGH MONDAY.
AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SLIDING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD
INTO THE US FROM NW CANADA AND GRADUALLY BUILD EASTWARD TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST BY THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SO WHILE MOST OF THE TIME IT WILL BE DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD,
MODELS IN AGREEMENT ON FRIDAY AND SAT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS A WEAKENING SHORT WAVE TROFS MOVE
THROUGH THE LARGE SCALE TROF.
FURTHER OUT ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY MODELS A BIT DIFFERENT WITH THE
GFS/GEFS MOST BULLISH WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH COOL AIR
ALOFT AND SHALLOW INSTABILITY WHILE THE ECMWF IS DRIER. SO KEEPING
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER FOR NOW UNTIL THINGS GET SORTED
OUT.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH CLEAR SKIES EXCEPT AT THE USUAL
FOG PRONE PLACES KMPV/KSLK WITH LCL LIFR/VLIFR IN FG AT 06-1330Z.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE - NOW IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES - REMAINS
THE CONTROLLING WEATHER FEATURE. ONCE FOG DISSIPATES...LOOKING AT
VFR/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR THE DAYLIGHT HRS TODAY. 
WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST...EXCEPT LOCALLY 10-15 KTS
AT KRUT OVERNIGHT WITH LOCAL GREEN MOUNTAIN GAP FLOW. WINDS GENERALLY
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 10-15 KTS TODAY BECOMING LIGHTER BY 00-06Z WED.
OUTLOOK 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH
S-SE FLOW OVER THE REGION. PATCHY IFR/LIFR IN MIST AND FOG POSSIBLE
06Z-12Z WED AT CLIMO-FAVORED TERMINALS OF KMPV/KSLK.
06Z THURSDAY-00Z FRIDAY...AREAS OF MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
00Z FRIDAY-SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...SISSON
AVIATION...SISSON

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July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
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December 2009, Week 3
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December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 1
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March 2007, Week 3
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March 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 3
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