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SKIVT-L  September 2014, Week 4

SKIVT-L September 2014, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 25 Sep 2014 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (169 lines)

Expires:201409252000;;166345
FPUS51 KBTV 251046
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
645 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2014

VTZ006-252000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
645 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2014
.TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
$$

Expires:201409251100;;166153
ASUS41 KBTV 251030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-251100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   50  47  89 CALM      30.48S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       41  41 100 CALM      30.54S VSB<1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       43  42  97 CALM      30.51F VSB 3/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     43  42  97 MISG      30.51S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      52  51  95 SE5       30.48S                  
RUTLAND*       PTSUNNY   46  45  93 SE3       30.50S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      51  47  86 CALM      30.46F                  
NEWPORT*       PTSUNNY  N/A N/A N/A SW6       30.50S                  
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   44  43  96 CALM      30.48F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     46 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A N3          N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     57  50  77 SE13        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     57  50  77 S16         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  48  82 S7          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;166326
FXUS61 KBTV 251044
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
644 AM EDT THU SEP 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD TODAY 
AND SPREAD HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS INTO THE REGION...BUT NO PRECIPITATION. 
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS...BUT 
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE 
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE 
BUILDS INTO THE REGION. EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGH 
TEMPERATURES ON THE ORDER OF 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS 
TIME OF YEAR.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 644 AM EDT THURSDAY...GOING FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE WITH JUST
A FEW TWEAKS TO THE TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS IN ORDER TO MATCH
A BIT BETTER WITH CURRENT CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...OTHER THAN SOME
FOG EARLY THIS MORNING...JUST LOOKING AT INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES UP THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. THE CLOUDS WILL BE THICK ENOUGH OVER THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA TO HAVE SOME OBSTRUCTION TO THE SUN WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS. THIS
WILL HAVE SOME IMPACT ON HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH READINGS A
DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT STILL A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. TRENDS IN THE NEW DATA SUGGEST ANY PRECIPITATION
SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY...SO HAVE REMOVED ANY
MENTION OF SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT TODAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 245 AM EDT THURSDAY...THE HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY EXIT THE 
AREA AND FOG SHOULD ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS.
LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. SO DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE...THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE...AND LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARM A COUPLE OF DEGREES
EACH DAY FOR A WARMING TREND DURING THE PERIOD. HIGHS BY SATURDAY
SHOULD RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 320 AM EDT THURSDAY...LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS COUPLE
OF FORECAST WITH REGARDS TO DAYS 4 THROUGH 7. STILL ANTICIPATING MUCH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WITH A COOLING TREND
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALSO...NOT EXPECTING MUCH QPF OVER THE NEXT 7
TO 10 DAYS...VERY DRY PATTERN CONTINUES WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
FOR SUNDAY...MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND PROGGED 85H
TEMPS NEAR 15C....SUPPORT HIGHS WELL INTO THE M/U 70S MTNS TO L/M
80S WARMER VALLEYS. HAVE BUMPED TEMPS ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO FROM
PREVIOUS FORECASTER BASED ON LATEST LLVL THERMAL PROFILES. A QUICK
REVIEW OF RECORD HIGHS ON SUNDAY SHOW 82 AT BTV...80 AT MPV...AND
85 AT MSS...A FEW OF THESE RECORDS MAYBE IN JEOPARDY. LOWS SAT
NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE M40S COLDER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS
TO M/U 50S WARMER VALLEYS AND MID SLOPE AREAS....AS STRONG
NOCTURNAL LLVL INVERSIONS DEVELOP EACH NIGHT. WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN
DRIVEN WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THERMAL DIFFERENCES AND
IMPACT OF TERRAIN ON FLOW. ON MONDAY...A WEAK BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
DROPS INTO OUR REGION...WITH A WIND SHIFT AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPS. ECMWF STILL IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH LLVL CAA AND RIBBON
OF DEEPER 850 TO 500MB RH. HAVE CONTINUED WITH SLIGHT CHANCE WORDING FOR
PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY...WITH GREATEST CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN MTNS. QPF
WILL BE VERY LIGHT...IF ANY AT ALL. TEMPS MONDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WILL BE TRICKY...AS A NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCE OCCURS IN THE LATEST
GUIDANCE. ECMWF IS MUCH COOLER...WHILE GFS SHOWS VERY LITTLE
CHANGE IN LLVL THERMAL PROFILES. HAVE USED A BLEND/COMPROMISE BETWEEN
PREVIOUS FORECAST AND LATEST GUIDANCE...WHICH SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO L70S AND LOWS MAINLY IN THE 40S TO MID 50S...STILL SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE SEPT/EARLY OCT. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS ACROSS OUR AREA.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...AVIATION CHALLENGE EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE
IMPACTS OF CLOUDS AND LLVL WINDS ON POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT.
CRNT IR SATL AND OBS SHOWS A SCATTERED TO BROKEN DECK OF CLOUDS
ACROSS OUR CENTRAL/SOUTHERN TAF SITES...WITH SOME PATCHY FOG ALREADY
OCCURRING AT SLK/MSS. THINKING WITH CROSS OVER TEMPS ALREADY BEING
REACHED AND CLOUDS HAVING LITTLE IMPACT ON RADIATIONAL
COOLING...ADDITIONAL FOG/BR WILL DEVELOP AT MPV/SLK AND MSS THIS
MORNING WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS. THINKING CONDITIONS WITH SOME
MIXING OF WINDS WILL BOUNCE BETWEEN IFR AND VFR AT SLK/MSS THROUGH MOST OF
THE EARLY MORNING HRS...WITH MAINLY IFR AT MPV THROUGH 13Z THURSDAY.
ELSEWHERE...VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS/VIS AT
PBG. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL BE COME SOUTH AT 4 TO 8 KNOTS
TODAY...WITH SOME MID/HIGH CLOUDS LIKELY AT MPV/RUT.
OUTLOOK 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...SFC HIGH PRES WILL RESULT IN VFR
CONDITIONS WITH EXCEPTION OF MORNING IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS IN FOG/BR
AT MPV/SLK AND MSS BETWEEN 06Z-12Z.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER

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April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
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June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
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August 2008, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
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March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
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August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
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March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 5
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January 2006, Week 3
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January 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
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February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 1
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July 2004, Week 5
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June 2004, Week 5
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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February 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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February 2003, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 5
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
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March 2001, Week 5
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February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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March 2000, Week 5
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