Expires:201409282000;;289386
FPUS51 KBTV 280801
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
401 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014

VTZ006-282000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
401 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014
.TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 50. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. 
$$

Expires:201409281100;;295534
ASUS41 KBTV 281030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-281100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     SUNNY     55  53  93 CALM      30.16F FOG              
MONTPELIER     FOG       52  52 100 CALM      30.22F VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       52  51  97 CALM      30.20S VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     53  53 100 MISG      30.17F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FOG       51  51 100 CALM      30.17S VSB 3/4          
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     52  50  93 SE8       30.19S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      54  53  99 CALM      30.15S FOG              
NEWPORT*       FOG      N/A N/A N/A SW3       30.18S VSB 1/4          
BENNINGTON     FOG       48  47  96 CALM      30.19F VSB 1/2          
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     57 N/A N/A NW21        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  59  94 SE6         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  59  94 S14         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     57  59 100 S3          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;288861
FXUS61 KBTV 280749
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
349 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TODAY. AS A 
RESULT...CONDITIONS WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH ABUNDANT 
SUNSHINE AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. READINGS WILL BE A 
DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN SATURDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. THIS WILL GENERALLY BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL 
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A COOLING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE MONDAY AND 
TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY RETURNING TO SEASONAL NORMALS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 349 AM EDT SUNDAY...OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN HAS CHANGED
LITTLE WITH REGION BEING DOMINATED BY A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. IF ANYTHING LOW LEVEL FLOW HAS
BECOME A BIT MORE SOUTHWEST AND THIS WILL RESULT IN A LITTLE LOW
LEVEL THERMAL ADVECTION WITH 925 MB TEMPERATURES A DEGREE OR TWO
WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. AS A RESULT...LOOKING AT HIGH TEMPERATURES
TO BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN YESTERDAY WITH READINGS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. THIS GENERALLY KEEPS UP 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL AND THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR RECORD HIGHS TO BE
TIED OR BROKEN. BURLINGTON AND SAINT JOHNSBURY LOOK TO HAVE THE
BEST CHANCE OF THIS. ONCE AGAIN THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE
WITH WINDS ESSENTIALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 349 AM EDT SUNDAY...LOOK FOR SOME FOG TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN
TONIGHT...BUT THEN WE START TO SEE A PATTERN CHANGE FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. UPPER TROUGH...CURRENTLY TAKING SHAPE OVER THE WESTERN
THIRD OF CANADA WILL WANT TO MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AND APPROACH
THE REGION LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. PROBLEM IS THIS FEATURE DOES
NOT CONTINUE MOVING DOWN INTO OUR AREA AND GETS HUNG UP NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER. IN FACT...TROUGH BREAKS APART TUESDAY AND
PART OF IT FINALLY MOVES DOWN INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...BUT SHOULD
REMAIN FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE AREA. THUS
WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
A GRADUAL COOLING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE WITH SURFACE NORTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING. HIGHS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON
MONDAY...THEN RIGHT AROUND NORMAL ON TUESDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM EDT SUNDAY...HAVE FOLLOWED A PERSISTENCE FCST WHICH
SUPPORTS MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE OVERHEAD THRU THE WEEK AND DRY
CONDITIONS. NEXT CHC FOR RAIN WL BE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...AS MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE FINALLY BREAKS DOWN AND WESTERN
CONUS TROF AND ASSOCIATED SFC BOUNDARY IMPACT OUR REGION. BOTH
GFS/ECMWF HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH HANDLING CLOSED 5H
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ACRS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON WEDS INTO
THURS. THIS WL PRODUCE SOME MID/UPPER LVL CLOUDS ACRS OUR
REGION...AND MAYBE A SPRINKLE OR TWO ACRS OUR SOUTHERN CWA...PER
LATEST 850 TO 500MB RH PROGS. OTHERWISE...THE COMBINATION OF
BUILDING RIDGE ALOFT AND SFC HIGH PRES NOSING INTO THE REGION FROM
SOUTHERN CANADA WL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS THRU FRIDAY. HAVE GONE
SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR DAYTIME HIGHS AND SEVERAL
DEGREES BELOW SUPERBLEND NUMBERS FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS...ESPECIALLY
AT SLK/NEK. GIVEN THE VERY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE...EXPECT A LARGE
DAILY DIURNAL SWING IN TEMPS FROM U30S SLK/NEK TO M40S TO M50S
CPV/SLV FOR LOWS AND HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
GIVEN LIGHT TRRN DRIVEN WINDS...EXPECT COLDEST TEMPS IN THE DEEPER
PROTECTED MTNS VALLEYS...WITH A SHARP INVERSION SUPPORTING
MIDSLOPE THERMAL BELT OF WARMER TEMPS. VERY SIMILAR TO OUR
PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS. A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLW ASSOCIATED WITH
85H JET OF 35 TO 45 KNTS WL HELP ADVECT DEEPER LAYER MOISTURE
AHEAD OF APPROACHING S/W TROF LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THIS
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH POTENT 5H VORT AND WEAK SFC WAVE OF LOW
PRES DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY WL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF RAIN
LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY ACRS OUR REGION. STILL THINKING ACTUAL
BOUNDARY WL BE DELAYED BY 4 TO 8 HRS...BASED ON BLOCKING UPSTREAM
PATTERN AND SYSTEM PARALLELING MID/UPPER LVL FLW ALOFT...BUT NO
INDICATIONS YET IN THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. EITHER WAY EXPECTING A
VERY MILD NIGHT ON FRIDAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND CLOUDS
DEVELOPING...HAVE GONE 3 TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE THE GUIDANCE ACRS THE
CPV/SLV. IN ADDITION...HAVE MENTION CHC POPS LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY...AND IF LATEST TRENDS CONT AND SUPPORT THE SAME
TIMING...THESE WL NEED TO BE INCREASED TO LIKELY.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...ANOTHER TRICKY AVIATION NIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT
PBG/RUT ASSOCIATED WITH FOG POTENTIAL. VLIFR CONDITIONS HAVE
DEVELOPED AT SLK/MPV AND WL CONTINUE THRU 12Z SUNDAY.
MEANWHILE...IFR IN FOG/BR HAVE DEVELOPED AT PBG...AS LIGHT WINDS
AND HIGHER SFC DWPTS HAVE ALLOWED FOR CROSS OVER VALUES TO BE
REACHED AND FOG TO DEVELOP. THINKING PBG WL JUMP UP AND DOWN BTWN
VFR AND IFR...WITH HAVE USED A TEMPO GROUP TO COVER THIS
POTENTIAL. MEANWHILE...AT RUTLAND LLVL WIND FIELDS ARE PROGGED TO
BE MUCH WEAKER TWD SUNRISE THIS MORNING...COMBINED WITH SLIGHTLY
HIGHER LLVL MOISTURE WITH DWPTS IN THE MID 50S...THINKING A PERIOD
OF FOG IS LIKELY BTWN 09Z-11Z. SOUTHWEST SFC FLW SHOULD LIMIT
FOG/BR POTENTIAL AT MSS...WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. AT
BTV...THINKING CONDITIONS WL BE SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS COUPLE OF
MORNINGS...WITH WINOOSKI RIVER FOG BANK APPROACHING THE NORTHERN
AND EASTERN EDGE OF THE RUNWAY TWD SUNRISE...BUT HAVING LIMITED IMPACT ON
VIS/CIGS. LIKE THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF MORNINGS...VFR CONDITIONS WL
PREVAIL BY 14Z SUNDAY WITH CLR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS AT
4 TO 8 KNOTS. 
OUTLOOK 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... 
SFC HIGH PRES WL RESULT IN CLR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ON SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY...WITH SOME MORNING FOG LIKELY AT SLK/MPV. A SFC COLD
FRNT WL PRODUCE SOME MID/UPPER LVL CLOUDS...ALONG WITH A WIND
SHIFT TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS
INCREASE IN WIND FIELDS AND SOME MID LVL MOISTURE WL DECREASE THE
AREAL COVERAGE OF FOG ON TUES MORNING. HIGH PRES REBUILDS ACRS OUR
TAF SITES FOR MIDWEEK WITH VFR CONDITIONS AND DAILY MORNING FOG
LIKELY AT SLK/MPV.
&&
.CLIMATE...
AS OF 420 PM EDT SATURDAY...
SOME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SEPTEMBER 28TH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE REGION ON SUNDAY.
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SEPTEMBER 28TH ARE LISTED BELOW.
BURLINGTON VT (BTV)..........82 (1927)
MASSENA NY (MSS).............85 (1959)
MONTPELIER VT (MPV)..........80 (1959)
ST. JOHNSBURY VT (SJBV1).... 83 (1908)
MOUNT MANSFIELD VT (MMNV1)...72 (1959)
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER
CLIMATE...BTV

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html