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SKIVT-L  November 2014, Week 2

SKIVT-L November 2014, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 13 Nov 2014 06:50:01 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (176 lines)

Expires:201411132100;;351375
FPUS51 KBTV 131037
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
534 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014

VTZ006-132100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
534 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OR ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY OR SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.MONDAY...SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 20.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
$$

Expires:201411131200;;353108
ASUS41 KBTV 131130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-131200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   36  19  50 VRB6      30.06S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   29  22  75 W3        30.06S
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     33  21  61 CALM      30.04F
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG      30.02S
LYNDONVILLE*   PTSUNNY   32  19  59 SW7       30.02S
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    34  26  71 CALM      30.07R
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     27  25  93 SE5       30.06S
SPRINGFIELD    SUNNY     35  23  61 NE5       30.05R
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      35  21  57 SW5       30.05S
NEWPORT*       FAIR      30  19  63 W5        30.03R
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     25  21  85 CALM      30.08R
SUTTON*          N/A     30 N/A N/A MISG        N/A
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     37  28  70 SW13        N/A
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  23  52 W10         N/A
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  23  52 W12         N/A
$$

Expires:No;;353792
FXUS61 KBTV 131149
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
649 AM EST THU NOV 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE FOR THE ENTIRE AREA
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BUT AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND INCREASE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY FROM THE GREEN MOUNTAINS
EASTWARD WHERE SOME MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
DRIER AIR MOVES IN ON FRIDAY WITH ONLY A FEW MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS
POSSIBLE.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 549 AM EST THURSDAY...OVERALL FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE WITH
JUST A MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING
AND A SLOWING DOWN OF THE ONSET OF LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...PRONOUNCED SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT REMAINS
OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING AND THIS HAS HELD BACK THE COLDER AIR
ALOFT THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL BE WHAT
IS NEEDED TO ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LAKE EFFECT PRECIPITATION
OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO. EVENTUALLY THIS WILL TAKE PLACE LATER THIS
MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THUS RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK AND PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN VERMONT. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR ANY MINOR SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS...WILL BE OVER SOUTHEAST SAINT
LAWRENCE COUNTY AND SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES OF NEW YORK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 549 AM EST THURSDAY...WE SHOULD TREND FROM THE LAKE EFFECT
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO MORE WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AS AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES DOWN FROM CANADA. THIS
WILL INCREASE LIFT OVER THE AREA AND ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY FROM THE GREEN MOUNTAINS EASTWARD. COULD
SEE A DUSTING TO AN INCH LATER TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
TROUGH IS PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH THAT THE DURATION OF THE MORE
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL BE ABOUT THREE TO SIX HOURS. WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER
AND AIR DRIER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE TROUGH FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 30S BOTH DAYS. THERE MAY BE A FEW
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ON FRIDAY...BUT DRY WEATHER FOR FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 310 AM EST THURSDAY...EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST
BEGINS WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE EAST COAST. AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSING NORTH OF OUR REGION WILL GIVE US A
CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY OUR NORTHERN ZONES. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES VERY SLOWLY FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION. A SERIES OF
COLD FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW FINALLY CROSS OUR CWA MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT AS AFOREMENTIONED LOW TRACKS NORTH OF THE REGION.
GFS AND ECMWF BOTH DEPICT A SECONDARY COASTAL LOW WITH THIS
SYSTEM...WHICH KEEPS HEAVIEST QPF CLOSER TO THE COAST. ANOTHER
RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD FROM THE
SOUTHEASTERN CONUS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL
BE THE COLDEST OF THE PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...CURRENTLY ALL TERMINALS HAVE VFR CONDITIONS.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. EXPECT STRATOCUMULUS
CLOUDS TO DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING HOURS TODAY...WITH A FEW
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AFTER 18Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CIGS/VIS WILL BE LIKELY AT SLK/MSS BETWEEN 20Z-00Z IN THESE SNOW
SHOWERS. HAVE INCLUDED VCSH FOR BTV...MPV...RUT...AND MSS AS
WELL...MAINLY BETWEEN 00-06Z. MPV AND SLK WILL OCCASIONALLY HAVE
IFR CONDITIONS.
OUTLOOK 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...LINGERING LAKE EFFECT AND
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT SLK THRU SATURDAY WITH
PERIODS OF IFR CIGS/VIS LIKELY...BEFORE THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND ACTIVITY IS PUSHED SOUTH OF OUR TAF SITES. MAINLY
VFR CONDITIONS WITH WEAK SFC HIGH PRES ON SUNDAY...WITH WEST WINDS
AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS. CONDITIONS DETERIORATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
AS NEXT SYSTEM BRINGS MORE RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
AREA...MVFR EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES

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October 2009, Week 5
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October 2009, Week 3
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September 2009, Week 5
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September 2009, Week 3
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September 2009, Week 1
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 3
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April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
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October 2008, Week 4
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
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April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
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January 2007, Week 1
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August 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 2
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June 2006, Week 3
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 3
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
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February 2005, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 5
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