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SKIVT-L  December 2014, Week 3

SKIVT-L December 2014, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 19 Dec 2014 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (178 lines)

Expires:201412192100;;999690
FPUS51 KBTV 191125
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
621 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

VTZ006-192100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
621 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014
.TODAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
20 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 11 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 16 ABOVE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
$$

Expires:201412191200;;999972
ASUS41 KBTV 191130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-191200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 27 20 75 N12 29.98R WCI 17
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 23 20 88 NW12 29.93R WCI 12
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 25 21 85 N6 29.94R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 28 21 75 MISG 29.89R
LYNDONVILLE* MIX PCPN 25 19 78 W10 29.90R WCI 15
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 28 22 79 N10 29.96R WCI 18
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 27 19 74 NW7 29.93R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 29 21 72 NW5 29.92R
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 25 22 87 CALM 29.99R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 24 21 90 NW8G17 29.92R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 29 22 75 NW5 29.92R
SUTTON* N/A 23 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 14 N/A N/A CALM N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 28 25 86 W14 N/A WCI 17
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 30 25 80 N18 N/A WCI 18
$$

Expires:No;;999640
FXUS61 KBTV 191123
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
623 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...BRINGING GENERALLY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS...THOUGH SKIES
WILL REMAIN VARIABLY CLOUDY DUE TO LOW STRATUS. THE NEXT
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES FOR CHRISTMAS EVE WITH VERY WINDY
AND MILD CONDITIONS...WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY
RAIN. BRISK AND SOMEWHAT COLDER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
CHRISTMAS DAY...WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 622 AM EST FRIDAY...BLOCKED MOIST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...THOUGH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ALSO BUILD OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE
ENDING THIS MORNING AS RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE COLDER THAN NORMAL...TOPPING OUT IN THE
MID TO UPPER 20S DUE TO DENSE CLOUD COVER.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM EST FRIDAY...MORE OF THE SAME FOR THE REST OF THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS EXTENT OF STRATUS
AND IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES. SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA AND
REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WILL HAVE LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MODELS ARE INDICATING HIGH LOW LEVEL RH AND BLOCKED FLOW
WILL KEEP REGION SOCKED UNDER STRATUS. LOW LEVEL INVERSION SETS UP
AND THINK ANY PARTIAL CLEARING WILL BE LIMITED. FAIRLY HIGH BUST
POTENTIAL THOUGH...TOUGH TO SAY WHEN INVERSION WILL BREAK. IF
INVERSION BREAKS WILL SEE WARMER DAYTIME TEMPS AND COLDER NIGHT
TIME TEMPS. FOR NOW HAVE STUCK CLOSE TO GUIDANCE ON DAYTIME TEMPS
AND HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE FOR OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPS. BEST CHANCE AT A
LITTLE BIT OF SUN WILL BE SATURDAY...AS SUNDAY FEATURES SHORTWAVE
ENERGY MOVING JUST SOUTH OF OUR AREA AND REINFORCING CLOUD COVER.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 228 PM EST THURSDAY...RATHER TRANQUIL WEATHER EARLY IN THE
PERIOD WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MUCH MORE ACTIVE AND STORMY WEATHER
HEADING INTO CHRISTMAS EVE.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY SUNDAY NIGHT
THEN SLOWLY RETREATS TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON MONDAY.
MEANWHILE...FLOW ALOFT GRADUALLY BECOMES MORE SOUTHWEST WHILE WEAK
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH ON MONDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES BUT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. A WARMING TREND BEGINS
WITH HIGHS MONDAY IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IN
THE FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH INCREASED MOISTURE WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE FURTHER TUESDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DEEP UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER
THE MIDWEST AND EVOLVES INTO VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY. SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF ENERGY ROUNDING BASE OF
THIS TROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN DEVELOPMENT OF SECOND
SURFACE LOW OVER MID ATLANTIC STATES. THIS LOW EXPECTED TO DEEPEN
AND BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE NORTH COUNTRY WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FORECAST AREA EXPECTED TO BE IN WARM SECTOR WITH
TEMPS REACHING INTO THE 40S ON CHRISTMAS EVE DAY. WITH UPPER
TROUGH TAKING ON NEGATIVE TILT...GOOD INFLUX OF MOISTURE EXPECTED
INTO REGION...DRIVEN BY INCREASING 850 MB JET WHICH MAY REACH
60-80 KTS LATER WEDNESDAY. POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES DUE
DOWNSLOPING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
SHADOWING...SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS LIKELY TO VARY CONSIDERABLY. AS
SYSTEM LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER AIR
WRAPPING AROUND THE STORM WILL RETURN ON SOUTHWEST WINDS...WITH
RAIN POSSIBLY CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS. BLUSTERY AND SEASONABLY
COLD TEMPS ON CHRISTMAS DAY WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...PERSISTENT STRATUS DECK WILL BRING
PREDOMINANTLY MVFR CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PERIODS OF IFR ALSO EXPECTED AT MPV/SLK TONIGHT AND CONTINUING AT
SLK ON FRIDAY. PBG IS THE ONLY EXCEPTION WHERE SOME LOCAL
DOWNSLOPING HAS ALLOWED CEILINGS TO LIFT TO VFR AND THAT IS ALSO
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
REMAIN AT BTV/SLK/MPV...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
12Z...POSSIBLY LASTING TO 15Z AT MPV/SLK. HOWEVER ANY SNOW SHOWERS
WILL BE LIGHT WITH ONLY MINOR VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS EXPECTED...IF
ANY AT ALL. COULD ALSO BE A FEW BRIEF PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE
AT SAME SITES OVERNIGHT.
NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND
FRIDAY...EXCEPT LOCALLY WEST/SOUTHWEST AT MSS/SLK.
OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
06Z SAT-00Z SUN...IMPROVING CONDITIONS...BUT CHANCE OF LINGERING
STRATUS IN SOME AREAS BRINGING PERIODS OF MVFR.
00Z SUN-00Z TUE...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
00Z TUE-00Z WED...PERIODS OF MVFR IN LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS/NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS/MUCCILLI

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October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
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September 2009, Week 3
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September 2009, Week 1
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August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
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May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
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September 2008, Week 3
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June 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
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February 2008, Week 1
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October 2007, Week 5
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October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
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August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
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May 2007, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 1
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