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SKIVT-L  January 2015, Week 4

SKIVT-L January 2015, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 26 Jan 2015 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (212 lines)

Expires:201501262100;;745927
FPUS51 KBTV 261120
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
617 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015

VTZ006-262100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
617 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 12. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS
AROUND 2 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE. HIGHS AROUND 14. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 2 ABOVE. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 16. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
LIGHT SNOW. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS AROUND ZERO. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 10 ABOVE.
LOWS AROUND ZERO. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS 15 TO 20. 
$$

Expires:201501261200;;746501
ASUS41 KBTV 261130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-261200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   -2  -8  76 E8        30.15S                  
MONTPELIER     MOSUNNY  -10 -14  82 S3        30.10R                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR     -13 -20  71 CALM      30.14R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A    -11 -16  78 MISG      30.12S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      -1  -7  78 CALM      30.13R                  
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY   -2  -8  78 E9        30.08R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTSUNNY    1  -4  79 CALM      30.12R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      -8 -13  80 E3        30.18R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR     -14 -19  80 SW5       30.11S                  
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY    7  -4  60 NE7       30.04S                  
SUTTON*          N/A    -11 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     -4 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A      1  -4  78 N1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A      7   0  72 E13         N/A  WCI  -9          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A      9   0  66 N10         N/A  WCI  -6          
$$

Expires:No;;746438
FXUS61 KBTV 261134
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
634 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS
MORNING WILL INTENSIFY OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TODAY. THIS
LOW WILL THEN DEEPEN AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO TUESDAY BRINGING
A SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM TO NEW ENGLAND. THE LOW WILL FINALLY REACH
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH PRECIPITATION
ENDING IN NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 616 AM EST MONDAY...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS EASTWARD
THIS MORNING FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST...DEEPENING AS IT DOES SO. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HANG TOUGH
OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT TODAY AHEAD OF THIS LOW AS IT
APPROACHES THE BENCHMARK OVERNIGHT. TODAY WILL MAINLY BE DRY
ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA AS LOW APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE AND LOWER FROM THE SOUTH AS WELL TODAY...THOUGH SOME
SUNSHINE COULD HANG ON FOR AWHILE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF OUR
AREA. EARLY MORNING MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE NEGATIVE SINGLE
DIGITS AND TEENS...EVEN AROUND NEGATIVE TWENTY IN THE DACKS...WILL
WARM INTO THE TEENS ABOVE ZERO TODAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EST MONDAY...TONIGHT DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL LIFT FROM OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TO THE BENCHMARK OFF
CAPE COD. AS THE STORM LIFTS NORTH PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO SPREAD
NORTH AHEAD OF IT. AFTER MIDNIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN FROM SOUTHEAST
TO NORTHEAST ACROSS OUR VERMONT ZONES. NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL CUT OFF VERY NEAR TO THE SURFACE LOW CENTER.
TONIGHT WILL NOT BE AS COLD AS LAST NIGHT...SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE
ZERO CAN BE EXPECTED. WINTER STORM WARNING FOR RUTLAND...WINDSOR
AND ORANGE GOES INTO EFFECT AT 00Z...FOLLOWED BY ADVISORY ONE TIER
OF COUNTIES IN FROM THERE AT
03Z...ADDISON...WASHINGTON...CALEDONIA AND ESSEX VERMONT. WITH
COLD ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE OVER THE AREA...WILL BE TOUGH FOR SNOW TO
PROGRESS TO QUICKLY INTO OUR NORTHERN ZONES. UP TO ABOUT THREE
INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA BY SUNRISE.
DURING THE DAY TUESDAY LOW WILL ONLY VERY SLOWLY WOBBLE TO THE
NORTHEAST...NOT MAKING TOO MUCH FORWARD PROGRESS. PRECIPITATION
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD INTO OUR AREA. SNOW CAN BE
EXPECTED FROM THE EASTERN ADIRONDACKS EASTWARD ACROSS VERMONT.
HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...AND OF COURSE ACROSS
THE REST OF NEW ENGLAND. FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
WESTWARD...AROUND TWO INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH 7PM
TUESDAY. THREE TO SIX INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS OUR ADVISORY AREA...AN
ADDITIONAL FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW IN OUR WARNING AREA DURING
THAT SAME TIME FRAME. MODELS ARE INDICATING THERE MAY BE A SHARP
GRADIENT ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION
BAND...DIFFICULT TO FIGURE OUT EXACTLY WHERE THAT MAY BE. BEST
FRONTOGENESIS WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND FOR THIS EVENT. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES WITH
INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT NEAR THIS COASTAL LOW...GUSTING TO 30
MPH AT TIMES IN OUR AREA.
TUESDAY NIGHT THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD INTO
THE GULF OF MAINE. SNOW WILL BECOME LIGHTER FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA AS LOW MOVES AWAY. MOST OF THE SNOW
SHOULD BE ENDING ACROSS OUR AREA BY ABOUT 1AM WHEN THE HEADLINES
EXPIRE. FEEL THAT BY THEN THE ADVISORY AREA WILL HAVE 3 TO 7
INCHES OF SNOW...AND 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE WARNING AREA. 1 TO 5
INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL FROM THE EASTERN ADIRONDACKS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REST OF OUR FORECAST AREA NOT INCLUDED IN THE ADVISORY
OR WARNING. THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL NOT HAVE ANY
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM...PERHAPS A DUSTING.
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO
MONDAY'S.
THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY AS
THE LOW FINALLY LIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ALREADY BE RIDGING INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH
USHERING IN SOME DRIER AIR. WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE THOUGH WITH ONLY HIGHS IN THE TEENS ONCE AGAIN.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 327 AM EST MONDAY...PRIMARY HIGHLIGHT DURING MID TO LATE
WEEK TIME FRAME WILL BE A NORTHERN STREAM CLIPPER LOW AND
ASSOCIATED LIGHT SNOWS STILL PROGGED TO TRACK ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. BROAD WARM
THERMAL ADVECTION AND MODEST MOISTURE RETURN SHOULD AT LEAST SPELL
SOME ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOWS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION DURING
THIS TIME FRAME PER GFS/ECMWF OUTPUT WITH THE LATTER REMAINING THE
SLOWER/STRONGER OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS. BRACKETING THIS SYSTEM
GENERALLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN BY NEXT SATURDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND
PBL SUBSIDENCE WILL BE MORE PRONOUNCED. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN
TO NEAR SEASONAL MID WINTER NORMS THU/FRI...THEN TREND CHILLIER BY
NEXT WEEKEND WITH ARRIVAL OF NEXT MODIFIED ARCTIC AIRMASS. COULD
SEE ANOTHER SHOT OF SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES LONG ABOUT SUNDAY (DAY
7) AS HINTS OF A STRONGER REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...BKN/OVC HIGH LEVEL CIGS GRADUALLY LOWER FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH OVER THE COURSE OF TIME BETWEEN 12Z-00Z...BUT
REMAIN VFR. WINDS LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 KTS. AFTER 00Z CIGS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY LOWER WITH SNOW ARRIVING
FROM THE SOUTH AFTER 06Z AND ASSOCIATED MVFR/IFR CONDS. ARRIVAL OF
SNOW ESTIMATED AT 06Z KRUT, 08-10Z KMPV-KBTV-KPBG...AND GENERALLY
AFTER 12Z KSLK/KMSS.
OUTLOOK 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
12Z TUESDAY THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...IFR/MVFR IN SNOW FROM
DEEPENING STORM OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...ESPECIALLY VT
TERMINALS AND KPBG. KMSS LIKELY TO REMAIN PCPN FREE MUCH OF THE
PERIOD WITH CONTINUED VFR CONDS. GUSTY NORTH WINDS TO 25 KTS
POSSIBLE...ESP AT KPBG/KBTV WHERE NORTHERLY CHANNELING EFFECTS
MAY OCCUR.
12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED AS RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...TRENDING IFR/MVFR IN LIGHT
SNOW AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY/GREAT LAKES
STATES.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 400 AM EST MONDAY...THE KTYX 88D DOPPLER RADAR LOCATED IN
WATERTOWN NEW YORK WILL BE DOWN AT LEAST THROUGH TODAY. THIS IS
DUE TO A PEDESTAL DYNAMIC FAULT. ELECTRONICS TECHNICIANS HAVE
ORDERED NEW PARTS TO FIX THIS PROBLEM. HOWEVER...THE NEW PARTS
HAVE NOT ARRIVED AS OF THIS TIME AND THE KTYX RADAR WILL LIKELY
NOT BE RESTORED TO SERVICE UNTIL SOMETIME THIS WEEK.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST 
     WEDNESDAY FOR VTZ010>012-019.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST 
     WEDNESDAY FOR VTZ004-007>009-018.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG
EQUIPMENT...WFO BTV

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August 2010, Week 4
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August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
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October 2009, Week 1
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September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
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August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
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July 2009, Week 3
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June 2009, Week 1
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 3
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March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 3
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June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
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October 2007, Week 1
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August 2006, Week 1
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