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SKIVT-L  February 2015, Week 1

SKIVT-L February 2015, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 6 Feb 2015 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (190 lines)

Expires:201502062100;;239489
FPUS51 KBTV 061120
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
617 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2015

VTZ006-062100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
617 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2015
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 15. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. HIGHS
AROUND 16. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE. LOWS AROUND 1 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF
SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE. HIGHS AROUND 16. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL MODERATE SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. LOWS 5 TO 10 ABOVE. HIGHS AROUND 20. CHANCE
OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 20. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER WITH LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW ZERO. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 10 TO 15. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. COLD WITH LOWS 5 BELOW TO ZERO. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
15 TO 20. 
$$

Expires:201502061200;;239917
ASUS41 KBTV 061130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI FEB 06 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-061200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY  -13 -19  75 E7        30.13F                  
MONTPELIER     MOSUNNY  -13 -17  82 CALM      30.07F                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR     -18 -24  74 CALM      30.10F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A    -19 -24  77 MISG      30.10F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR     -14 -20  76 CALM      30.05S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      -9 -14  77 S3        30.13F                  
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY   -9 -15  77 SE10      30.10S WCI -28          
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY  -15 -19  82 CALM      30.14S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR     -12 -18  77 SE5       30.12F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR     -18 -24  77 CALM      30.07S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY   -11 -16  78 CALM      30.14R                  
SUTTON*          N/A    -15 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     -9 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
$$

Expires:No;;240019
FXUS61 KBTV 061139
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
639 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. A WEAK 
DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND BRING CLOUDS AND 
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. A PROLONGED 
PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING OCCASIONAL SNOW IS LIKELY FROM SATURDAY 
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 618 AM EST FRIDAY...RIDGE AXIS MOVING EAST OF THE AREA
EARLY TODAY...ALLOWING FOR DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT RETURN SOUTHWEST
FLOW. CLOUDS HAVE RETURNED TO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND WILL
OVERSPREAD REST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS HAVE
DEVELOPED ACROSS ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS...AND
CHANCES WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS REST OF FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCES FOR SEEING SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND OVER THE
NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE THE RESULT OF
WARM AIR ADVECTION ON SOUTHWEST FLOW COMBINED WITH SHORTWAVE
MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES...WHICH IS
ACCOMPANIED BY A BAND OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE. AFTER A FRIGID START
TO THE DAY WITH TEMPS RANGING FROM 5 TO 25 BELOW ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION...TEMPS WILL REBOUND INTO THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON DUE
LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION AND DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY WINDS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 402 AM EST FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUES INTO TONIGHT
AS COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. BEST CHANCE
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE OVER NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THROUGH ABOUT 06Z
SATURDAY. THE CLOUDS AND PRECIP WILL KEEP TEMPS RATHER STEADY
TONIGHT WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
CHANCES FOR SNOW THEN INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. 
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH OF FORECAST AREA DURING 
SATURDAY AND THEN BECOMES STATIONARY. SHARP THERMAL GRADIENT 
DEVELOPS BETWEEN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND WARM TEMPS 
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY FROM OHIO RIVER VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC 
STATES. WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH WEAK 
FRONTOGENETIC LIFT AND INCREASING MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SOME LIGHT 
SNOW DURING SATURDAY...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR TWO DURING 
THE DAY ON SATURDAY. CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SNOW EVENT INCREASE 
FURTHER SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR SOUTH 
PUTS US IN FAVORABLE POSITION FOR OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION 
EVENT...ENHANCED BY SHORTWAVE ENERGY APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT 
LAKES WHILE SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS TRACK TO OUR SOUTH ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LOOKS LIKE A MODERATE LONG DURATION SNOW EVENT
WHICH WILL CONTINUE BEYOND THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST.
SOME HEADLINES WILL EVENTUALLY LIKELY BE NEEDED. HIGH TEMPS BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE TEENS.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 336 AM EST FRIDAY...WITH MEDIUM/LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
CONTINUING TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE UPCOMING SYNOPTIC
PATTERN IT'S LOOKING PRETTY LIKELY WE'RE IN FOR A SNOWY AND QUITE
COLD EXTENDED PERIOD. A PERSISTENT LONGWAVE TROUGH SET UP FROM THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES DOWN INTO THE SOUTHEAST CONUS WILL KEEP A FAST
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND MOISTURE QUICKLY SHIFTING THROUGH THE REGION.
FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF AN EXPECTED LONG 
DURATION SNOW EVENT WITH A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFTING FROM THE 
GREAT LAKES SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEW ENGLAND ON MONDAY. A 
WEAK SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY, MOVING 
OFFSHORE MONDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL HELP THROW SOME ADDITIONAL MOISTURE 
OUR WAY WITH THE LATEST MODELS TRENDING A BIT FURTHER NORTH THAN 
PREVIOUS RUNS. OVERALL, DAILY QPF IS ON THE LIGHT SIDE, BUT OVER 
TIME (72 HRS: SAT-MON) WILL ADD UP TO ABOUT A HALF TO 1" OF LIQUID. 
WITH A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR SOUTH BOUNDARY LAYER 
TEMPERATURES LOOK OPTIMAL FOR DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH WITH SLR'S 
LIKELY IN THE 15-25:1 RANGE RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS IN 
EXCESS OF A FOOT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. 
LOOKING OUT TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH 
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT 
ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM IS FAST ON ITS HEELS SHIFTING ACROSS THE 
NORTH COUNTRY LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A STRONG 
ARCTIC FRONT. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
IN REGARDS TO TEMPS, I DON'T HAVE ANY GOOD NEWS AS WE WILL REMAIN  
BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS TO 
LOWER 20S, A GOOD 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. BUT FOR LOWS WE'LL 
ACTUALLY BE PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS, 0-
10 ABOVE, BUT FALL BACK BELOW ZERO AREA-WIDE FOR TUE/WED/THU
NIGHTS.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY...AS A WEAK CLIPPER BRUSHES THROUGH THE
NORTH COUNTRY VFR CONDITIONS WILL TREND TOWARDS A MIX OF VFR/MVFR
AND LOCALLY IFR AT SLK/MSS. MVFR CIGS AND IFR VSBY HAVE MADE IT
INTO KMSS AND SHOULD BE AT KSLK BY 14Z. FURTHER EAST, ALWAYS HARD
TO TELL WHAT CONDITIONS WILL LOWER TO AS THE DACKS TEND TO BREAK
THE FLOW UP A BIT SO HAVE JUST INDICATED VCSH FOR THE MID-DAY TO
AFTERNOON. WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AT KSLK WHERE SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL AID IN MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND LIKELY
KEEP VSBY IFR THROUGH THE DAY. ALL SNOW TAPERS OFF AFTER 03-04Z
TONIGHT WITH CONDITIONS TRENDING BACK TO VFR/MVFR.
OUTLOOK 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
VFR WITH PERIODS MVFR/IFR LIKELY IN AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW...ESPECIALLY
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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February 2009, Week 4
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
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January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
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November 2007, Week 5
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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June 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
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September 2006, Week 5
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January 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 2
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
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March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
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February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
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February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
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November 2001, Week 1
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May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
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December 1998, Week 5
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