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SKIVT-L  February 2015, Week 4

SKIVT-L February 2015, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 23 Feb 2015 06:50:01 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (203 lines)

Expires:201502232100;;017088
FPUS51 KBTV 231133
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
630 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015

VTZ006-232100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
630 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM
EST TUESDAY...
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 4 ABOVE. TEMPERATURE FALLING TO
AROUND 6 BELOW THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 31 BELOW. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS AROUND 16 BELOW. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 29 BELOW. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 14. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. WIND
CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 26 BELOW. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 7 ABOVE. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 BELOW TO
10 BELOW ZERO. HIGHS 7 TO 22 ABOVE. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 BELOW
TO 15 BELOW ZERO. HIGHS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S. LOWS 15 BELOW TO ZERO. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
$$

Expires:201502231200;;016908
ASUS41 KBTV 231130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-231200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY    9  -3  58 NW17      30.27R WCI  -9          
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW   6   0  76 N10       30.18R WCI  -9          
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW   6  -1  73 N10G18    30.23R WCI  -9          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A      9  -2  61 MISG      30.16R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY     6  -3  68 W9        30.15R HAZE             
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR       9   1  67 N9        30.24R                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     10 -11  37 W10G25    30.20R WCI  -3          
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY   15  -8  35 W8G17     30.18R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR       3  -6  66 NW8       30.30R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR       4  -6  63 W8        30.17R                  
BENNINGTON     MOSUNNY   12  -8  40 W10G17    30.23S WCI  -1          
SUTTON*          N/A      3 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      3 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     -8 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A      7   1  78 W12         N/A  WCI  -9          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     10  -2  56 N20         N/A  WCI  -8          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     12   3  67 W13         N/A  WCI  -3          
$$

Expires:No;;010302
FXUS61 KBTV 230901
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
401 AM EST MON FEB 23 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY
OVERNIGHT WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS.
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ON
MONDAY...WITH LOWS ON MONDAY NIGHT WELL BELOW ZERO ONCE AGAIN. A
SLOW WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...BEFORE
ANOTHER FRONT COOLS OUR REGION DOWN AGAIN. NO WIDESPREAD OR
SIGNIFICANT STORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 352 AM EST MONDAY... HEADLINES: WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR
NORTHERN NEW YORK FROM 4AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 9AM TUESDAY
MORNING. WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR VERMONT INCLUDING THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY BEGINNING 3PM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 9AM TUESDAY MORNING.
AN ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE IS SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW YORK BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS AS THE FRONT
CROSSES THE REGION MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST SOUTHEAST. CONDITIONS
BEHIND THE FRONT INCLUDE BOTH A QUICK TEMPERATURE DROP OFF BY
ABOUT 5-8 DEGREES ALONG WITH A SHIFT IN THE WINDS FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHWEST. TEMPS UPSTREAM HAVE BEEN RUNNING NEAR ZERO SO AS THE
TRUE SURGE OF COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVES INTO THE REGION TEMPS
SHOULD DROP QUICKLY. TIMING OF THE SECOND SURGE OF COLD AIR WILL
BE AROUND DAYBREAK BETWEEN 12-14Z. GIVEN THE COLD AIR AND THE
BRISK WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT THE WIND CHILL ADVISORIES LOOK GOOD
TO START SEEING WIND CHILLS IN THE -20F TO -30F RANGE RIGHT AROUND
12Z IN NORTHERN NEW YORK. AT THIS POINT THE SECOND SURGE OF ARCTIC
AIR WILL NOT YET HAVE REACHED THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND THE REST OF
VERMONT SO FROM THE INITIAL SURGE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WIND
CHILLS WILL BE IN THE -10F TO -20F RANGE AND THUS NO WIND CHILL
HEADLINES WERE NEEDED UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON ONCE THE SECOND
SURGE OF COLD AIR DOES REACH THE AREA. AS THE SECOND SURGE OF COLD
AIR REACHES THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND PUSHES INTO VERMONT THE
COMBINATION OF COLD AMBIENT TEMPERATURES AND BRISK WESTERLY WINDS
WILL CAUSE WIND CHILLS TO DROP TO THE -15 TO -28 RANGE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 352 AM EST MONDAY...
HEADLINES: WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK FROM 4AM
THIS MORNING THROUGH 9AM TUESDAY MORNING. WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR
VERMONT INCLUDING THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY BEGINNING 3PM MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH 9AM TUESDAY MORNING.
MONDAY NIGHT...BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
NIGHT. WINDS WILL BE TRICKY AS UNDER THE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE THEY
SHOULD DECOUPLE AND DROP BELOW OUR 5KT CRITERIA FOR WIND CHILLS
FOR 2-3 HOURS INSIDE THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. ELSEWHERE WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 5KTS. HOWEVER THAT WILL ONLY BE A
BRIEF PERIOD OVERNIGHT AND THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS WILL BE ON
EITHER SIDE OF THAT WINDOW DROPPING TO NEAR WIND CHILL WARNING
CRITERIA AT 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. GIVEN THE IDEA THAT THE WINDS
WILL PICK BACK UP IN THE EARLY MORNING ON TUESDAY I DECIDED TO
JUST INCLUDE THE WINDOW WHERE THE WINDS DROP AS TO NOT TREAT THE
WIND CHILLS AT TWO SEPARATE EVENTS.
MONDAY...UNFORTUNATELY OUR "WARMTH" WAS SHORT LIVED AS TEMPS WILL
BE HOLDING STEADY TOWARDS SLIGHTLY DROPPING THROUGH THE DAY ON
MONDAY. MAX TEMPS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE MID SINGLE DIGITS INSIDE
THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND IN THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO FOR
THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN BOTH THE GREENS AND THE ADIRONDACKS AS WELL
AS THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM. BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE JOINED
WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES UNDER AN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM.
TUESDAY... THE ARCTIC HIGH WILL SLOWLY SLIDE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COASTLINE WHICH WILL GIVE WAY TO MODERATING SOUTHERLY RETURN
FLOW. THAT WILL CAUSE TEMPS TO REBOUND TUESDAY INTO THE MID TEENS
ACROSS THE AREA UNDER CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY.
LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON/ EARLY EVENING THERE COULD BE SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL PAST THROUGH. I WENT WITH A BLEND OF
BOTH THE GFS AND EURO BECAUSE THEY WERE BOTH IN GENERALLY GOOD
CONSENSUS THAT POPS SHOULD PICK UP LATE IN THE EVENING OVER THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY BY WED 00Z BEFORE OVERSPREADING THE REST FOR
THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY OVERNIGHT.
WEDNESDAY...ONCE AGAIN...WITH SURFACE LOW PRES TRACKING TO OUR
NORTH...WILL RESULT IN DOWNSLOPE SHADOWING IN THE QPF/SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. CURRENT THINKING SNOWFALL
WILL GENERALLY BE A DUSTING TO 1 INCH IN THE VALLEYS AND 1 TO 4 INCHES
IN THE MOUNTAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE MUCH LESS MOISTURE THAN
THE SYSTEM OVER THE WEEKEND AND MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS OUR REGION.
MODEL QPF RANGES BETWEEN A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS TO MAYBE A TENTH OR
SO IN THE MTNS FROM MANSFIELD TO JAY PEAK AND OVER THE PARTS OF
THE HIGH PEAKS IN NORTHERN NY.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EST MONDAY...00Z GFS AND ECMWF MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN BUILDING A HIGH PRESSURE AREA EASTWARD FROM THE GREAT
LAKES WITH FAIR AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST EXPECTING A DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY FLOW OF AIR ACROSS
THE REGION...WITH BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS DEVELOPING A WARM
ADVECTION OVERRUNNING LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. COULD SEE SOME MIXED
PRECIPITATION TYPES WITH THIS...BUT THIS FAR OUT HAVE JUST
MENTIONED A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW FOR NOW.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGH THE
DAY AS THE REGION WILL BE UNDER STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION.
EXPECTING AREAS OF MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS WITH THIS ARCTIC COLD
FRONT THROUGH 15Z MONDAY. NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL GUST AT OR
ABOVE 20 KNOTS TIL 23Z MONDAY. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FROM
15Z MONDAY THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
OUTLOOK 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
06Z TUESDAY-18Z TUESDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
18Z TUESDAY-06Z THURSDAY...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS.
06Z THURSDAY-00Z SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM EST 
     TUESDAY FOR VTZ001>012-016>019.
NY...WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NYZ026-027-
     029>031-034-087.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 AM EST 
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ028-035.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...DEAL
NEAR TERM...DEAL
SHORT TERM...DEAL
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...WGH/RJS

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 1
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December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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February 2005, Week 3
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February 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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February 2004, Week 3
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February 2004, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
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May 2001, Week 1
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April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 3
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March 2001, Week 1
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February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
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May 2000, Week 3
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May 2000, Week 1
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April 2000, Week 4
April 2000, Week 3
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April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
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