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SKIVT-L  March 2015, Week 2

SKIVT-L March 2015, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 12 Mar 2015 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (187 lines)

Expires:201503122000;;789288
FPUS51 KBTV 120751
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
348 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015

VTZ006-122000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
348 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW
20 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LITTLE OR NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS AROUND 40. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT RAIN LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION. LOWS AROUND 15. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF FLURRIES.
LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. HIGHS AROUND 30. 
$$

Expires:201503121100;;795652
ASUS41 KBTV 121030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-121100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   28  12  51 NW21G30   30.25R WCI  15          
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   23  14  68 NW18G26   30.18R WCI   9          
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  26  15  63 NW15G21   30.20R WCI  14          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     26  14  60 MISG      30.14R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT SNOW  22   8  55 W14G28    30.15R WCI   9          
MIDDLEBURY*      N/A     27  10  49 N14G24    30.25R WCI  15          
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY  N/A N/A N/A N20G29    30.20R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTSUNNY   30  10  43 NW12G25   30.16R                  
HIGHGATE*        N/A     24   8  50 N14G23    30.29R WCI  12          
NEWPORT*       PTSUNNY   21   9  59 NW16G30   30.17R WCI   7          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    33  17  51 NW9G31    30.17R                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     10 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     28  16  59 NW14        N/A  WCI  17          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     30  12  47 N32         N/A  WCI  15          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     30  10  43 NW21        N/A  WCI  17          
$$

Expires:No;;795794
FXUS61 KBTV 121049
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
649 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL PROVIDE COLD
AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH HIGHS ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE
20S. AS THE HIGH DRIFTS OVERHEAD TONIGHT, WINDS WILL ABATE BUT
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE. GENERALLY DRY WEATHER
CONTINUES ON FRIDAY AS WELL BUT MUCH MORE SEASONAL HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED RANGING THROUGH THE 30S.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 647 AM EDT THURSDAY...QUICK UPDATE TO ADJUST HOURLY
TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT TRENDS AND POPS AS THERE'S STILL A FEW
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL VERMONT. SHOULD BE ENDING
PRETTY QUICKLY THOUGH AS DEWPOINTS ARE RAPIDLY DROPPING INDICATIVE
OF STRONG LOW LEVEL DRYING. REST OF FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE COLD FRONT WHICH BROUGHT A FEW SNOW
SQUALLS TO THE NORTH COUNTRY OVERNIGHT HAS JUST ABOUT CLEARED THE
BTV CWA TO OUR SOUTHEAST WITH DRIER AIR BEGINNING TO ADVECT IN ON
NORTHWEST FLOW. IN GENERAL AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST TODAY, CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO TREND DRY BUT COLD
AND BLUSTERY AS STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR
ADVECTION SUPPORT DECENT MIXING. STRONGEST GUSTS IN THE 25-35KT
RANGE WILL OCCUR DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND SLOWLY ABATE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES. WITH THE STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION OCCURRING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
THROUGH MID-MORNING INTO THE TEENS AND LOW 20S BEFORE REBOUNDING A
FEW DEGREES IN THE AFTERNOON UNDER PARTIAL SUNSHINE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 440 AM EDT THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERS OVER THE NORTH
COUNTRY TONIGHT WITH SKIES INITIALLY CLEARING THIS EVENING AND
WINDS TRENDING LIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT THOUGH MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES FROM THE NORTHWEST ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE SO EXPECT SOME MID-HIGH CLOUDS TO TEMPER RADIATIONAL
COOLING A BIT. NEVERTHELESS, MIN TEMPS WILL RUN BELOW NORMAL IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS ABOVE ZERO. FOR FRIDAY, HIGH PRESSURE
DRIFTS EAST OF THE CWA WITH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING AND
MODERATING TEMPS BACK TOWARDS SEASONAL NORMALS IN THE 30S. EXPECT
A GENERALLY DRY DAY BUT COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE INTL
BORDER ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH FAST WESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT. 
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY CONTINUE TO LEAN MORE TOWARDS THE GFS
SOLUTION IN REGARDS TO THE PHASING OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM
SYSTEMS WHICH WE'VE BEEN HIGHLIGHTING FOR A FEW DAYS. GFS HAS HAD
MUCH BETTER RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND IN THIS FORECASTERS OPINION
HAS BEEN FAR SUPERIOR TO THE ECMWF THIS WINTER. THAT SAID, THE
TREND CONTINUES TO BE THAT A WEAK UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY MORNING KEEPING SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY AND
OVERRUNNING PRECIP TO OUR SOUTH, BUT EVENTUALLY DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE MAKES IT'S WAY NORTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE
RIDGE SHIFTS EAST AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ALOFT. P-TYPE
WILL BE A LITTLE PROBLEMATIC AS UPPER LEVELS WARM A BIT FASTER
THAN LOW LEVELS INTRODUCING A CHANCE FOR A BRIEF MIX OF SNOW AND
SLEET ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES AT THE ONSET, BUT IN GENERAL THE
BULK OF PRECIP COMES WHEN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS SUFFICIENTLY TO
SUPPORT RAIN THE VALLEYS AND A WET MIX OF RAIN/SNOW AT THE SUMMITS
DURING THE DAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 349 AM EDT THURSDAY...CHANGEABLE WEATHER PATTERN THEN
CONTINUES INTO THE LONG TERM FORECAST AS NORTHERN STREAM/POLAR
FLOW MAKES A CONCERTED EFFORT TO REESTABLISH ITSELF ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE BEST SHOT OF
PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS
UPPER CLOSED ENERGY AND MOISTURE PIVOT ACROSS AND EAST OF THE
REGION. THERMAL PROFILES SHOULD COOL ENOUGH THAT SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATING SNOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
THROUGH MID-MORNING ON SUNDAY BEFORE PCPN TAPERS OFF AND NEAR-SFC
LAYERS WARM. RIDGING AND MILDER TEMPERATURES THEN BUILD BACK INTO
THE REGION FOR MONDAY AND LINGERS INTO TUESDAY THOUGH WITH
INCREASING CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS AS A STRONG
POLAR FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION. MODELS CONSISTENT WITH THIS
FEATURE WHICH WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION ONCE
AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY. OF COURSE STRENGTH OF COLDER AIR WILL BE
OFFSET BY STRONGER MARCH INSOLATION SO NOTHING COMPARED TO WHAT
OCCURRED IN FEBRUARY. NONETHELESS COULD EASILY SEE TEMPERATURE
DEPARTURES OF UP TO -15F DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY WITH MOST
AREAS HOLDING IN THE 20S.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD AS COLD FRONT
CLEARS SOUTH OF AREA BY 09Z WITH ANY MVFR/BRIEF IFR RAIN/SHSN
ENDING. MOST PROBLEMATIC WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS
MORNING/AFTERNOON INTO THE 20-30 KT RANGE WHICH WILL CAUSE SOME
LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE. SKIES TRENDING SCT/SKC AFTER 14Z AT ALL
TERMINALS AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST CYCLE.
AFTER 22Z GUSTY WINDS ABATE.
OUTLOOK 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
06Z FRIDAY - 12Z SATURDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
12Z SATURDAY - 06Z MONDAY...MVFR/IFR IN PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW.
06Z MONDAY ONWARD...VFR UNDER BRIEF RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG/MUCCILLI

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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August 2010, Week 2
August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
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December 2009, Week 3
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December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
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August 2007, Week 3
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August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
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June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
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January 2007, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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July 2006, Week 1
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