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SKIVT-L  May 2015, Week 3

SKIVT-L May 2015, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 18 May 2015 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (193 lines)

Expires:201505182000;;835057
FPUS51 KBTV 180824
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
421 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2015

VTZ006-182000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
421 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2015
.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60. LOWS
AROUND 40. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. 
$$

Expires:201505181100;;840187
ASUS41 KBTV 181030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-181100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   58  51  78 SE8       30.12F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    56  51  84 S8        30.24R                  
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     48  45  89 CALM      30.18S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     48  46  93 MISG      30.20R                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     51  48  89 E3        30.22S                  
MIDDLEBURY*      N/A     61  53  74 SE10G17   30.13S                  
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY   57  52  82 SE14G23   30.18R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    56  50  80 NE5       30.24R                  
HIGHGATE*        N/A     52  49  89 CALM      30.11R                  
NEWPORT*         N/A     49  48  95 S6        30.18S                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     61  55  81 E7        30.16R                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     52 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     57  52  82 SE7         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     54  52  94 S10         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     55  54  94 SW5         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;834898
FXUS61 KBTV 180819
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
419 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF A 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 
QUITE WARM IN NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY, WHILE 
EASTERN VERMONT WILL FEEL THE EFFECTS OF COOLER AIR FROM THE GULF OF 
MAINE. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TODAY 
AND OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DRAWS NEAR. A COLD FRONT ON 
TUESDAY WILL BRING MORE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS, FOLLOWED BY 
COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 415 AM EDT MONDAY...QUITE A BIT OF VARIABILITY IN
TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH SOUTH WINDS BRINGING WARM AIR TO NORTHERN
NEW YORK AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY, WHILE BACK DOOR FRONT KEEPS EASTERN
VERMONT COOLER WITH MORE CLOUDS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER MAINE WILL KEEP EASTERLY FLOW
OFF THE GULF OF MAINE ACROSS NH INTO EASTERN VERMONT. AS OF EARLY
MORNING DIFFICULT TO PICK OUT BACK DOOR FRONT LOCATION AS ALL
TEMPS ACROSS THE REGION IN THE 50S. HOWEVER SURFACE OBS SHOWING
EXTENT OF MOIST MARINE LAYER EVIDENT IN LOW OVERCAST BELOW 1500
FT NOT QUITE REACHING CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY. ELSEWHERE NEARLY
CALM WINDS AND HIGH THIN CLOUDS WITH PATCHES OF LIGHT FOG.
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP TODAY IN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND NORTHERN
NY IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING SURFACE LOW. UPPER RIDGE CRESTS OVER
REGION DURING THE DAY AND SHIFTS EAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD
ALLOWING FOR CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY.
TEMPS IN ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY TO REACH THE MID 80S...WITH 70S
ELSEWHERE AND EASTERN VERMONT ONLY IN THE 60S. MARINE LAYER IS
SHALLOW AND DO NOT EXPECT IT TO BECOME BLOCKED BY THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS AND REMAIN IN EASTERN VT. SOUTHERLY FLOW UP THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WILL ALSO KEEP ANY MARINE INVERSION MIXED OUT AS
WELL. WINDS TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KTS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 415 AM EDT MONDAY...500 MB RIDGE SHIFTS EAST EARLY IN THE
PERIOD WITH INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHING INTO THE RIDGE.
DEEPER UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND WILL
SUPPRESS RIDGE TO THE EAST AND SOUTH LATER IN THIS PERIOD. BAND OF
SHOWERS WITH SOME THUNDER WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST MAINLY OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT ALONG THE INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH, WITH LIKELY POPS
TRANSLATING WEST TO EAST. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL POOL VERY MOIST AIR
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER OVER 1.5 INCHES BASED ON NAM BUFKIT PLOT,
WHICH GETS US ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR THE DAY. BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT THE GOOD NEWS IS RAIN WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH RELATIVELY QUICKLY AND HYDRO ISSUES ARE NOT A CONCERN.
FOR TUESDAY THE COLD FRONT MAKES ITS PUSH THROUGH, CROSSING
NORTHERN NEW YORK IN THE MORNING, CHAMPLAIN VALLEY MIDDAY, AND
VERMONT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS NOT INDICATING
MUCH PRECIP WITH THE FRONT IN THE MORNING AS CAPE DOES NOT YET
BUILD, BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDER FROM
MIDDAY ONWARD COINCIDING WITH SURFACE HEATING. TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY STILL WARM IN THE 70S. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES TEMPERATURES
QUITE A BIT COOLER TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH FROST A POSSIBILITY IN THE
ADIRONDACKS. LOW CHANCE POPS CONTINUE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TRAILING 500 MB TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE DAY
ON WEDNESDAY, AND WEST TO NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW COMBINED WITH
DESTABILIZATION OF COLD POOL ALOFT AND RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL GENERATE SCATTERED TERRAIN DRIVEN SHOWERS. TEMPS WEDNESDAY
IN THE 50S AND 60S.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 415 AM EDT MONDAY...LITTLE CHANGE WITH REGARDS TO THE
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD... WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH
THE MAIN THEME OF DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE
FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD WILL BE FROM THE
NORTHWEST...HENCE THE REASON FOR THE DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER.
HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 60S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND
40S...WHICH IS A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THE ONE TIME PERIOD
THAT STANDS OUT IS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVES DOWN FROM CANADA ON FRIDAY AND BRINGS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO
THE AREA. ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER AIR COMES IN BEHIND THAT FEATURE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND LOWS WILL BE IN THE 20S AND 30S...WHICH WILL HAVE
TO BE MONITORED FOR POTENTIAL FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...OVERALL LOOKING AT VFR CONDITIONS FOR MUCH
OF THE PERIOD. THERE WILL BE BRIEF PERIODS OF FOG BEFORE
12Z...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK...THAT WILL CREATE IFR
CONDITIONS. CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO FORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT...BUT ANY CEILINGS WILL BE IN THE VFR CATEGORY.
LOOK FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FORMING OVER NORTHERN NEW
YORK AFTER 20Z. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE FROM THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE AFTER
ABOUT 16Z.
OUTLOOK 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
06Z TUESDAY THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...BKN/OVC VFR/MVFR WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS. BRIEF IFR POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS. THUNDER POSSIBLE.
00Z WEDNESDAY ONWARD...MAINLY VFR WITH HIGH PRESSURE.
&&
.MARINE...
AS OF 415 AM EDT MONDAY...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROMT
THE WEST WILL GENERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS DURING THE DAY TODAY. SOUTH
WINDS 5-10 KNOTS IN THE MORNING WILL INCREASE IN SPEED IN THE
AFTERNOONT AND REACH LAKE WIND ADVISORY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SOUTH WINDS 15-25 KNOTS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY,
UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PASSES AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY AND WIND SHIFTS
TO WEST. WAVES LESS THAN A FOOT THIS MORNING WILL BUILD ALONG WITH
THE WIND THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...HANSON
NEAR TERM...HANSON
SHORT TERM...HANSON
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...EVENSON/RJS
MARINE...HANSON

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May 2010, Week 5
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May 2010, Week 3
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May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
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March 2010, Week 4
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