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SKIVT-L  June 2015, Week 2

SKIVT-L June 2015, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 12 Jun 2015 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (208 lines)

Expires:201506122000;;013471
FPUS51 KBTV 121024
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
620 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015


VTZ006-122000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
620 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

.TODAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES THIS MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN CLEARING. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. 

$$


Expires:201506121100;;013712
ASUS41 KBTV 121030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-121100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    62  56  80 CALM      29.96S                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    57  54  89 CALM      30.02R                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    59  55  87 CALM      29.99R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  54  89 MISG      29.95S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      56  52  85 CALM      29.99S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      60  55  81 S3        29.99R                  
RUTLAND*       PTCLDY    57  48  72 SE7       30.01R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    56  53  90 CALM      30.00R                  
HIGHGATE*      DRIZZLE   63  56  78 CALM      29.96R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    60  56  85 CALM      29.98R                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    54  52  93 CALM      30.01R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A NW14        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     64  57  77 S5          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  57  88 S9          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     63  57  82 SW3         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;013455
FXUS61 KBTV 121023
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
623 AM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. THE SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY COME
TO AN END EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND DRY AIR WILL MOVE DOWN FROM
CANADA DURING THE REMAINDER OF SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY.
HIGHS TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80 TODAY
AND RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 623 AM EDT FRIDAY...OVERALL FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE AND JUST
TWEAKED TEMPERATURES TO MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS...BUT ALSO
LOWERED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES AS ITS
BECOMING MORE CLEAR THAT UPSTREAM CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS WILL
HAVE AN IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES. OTHERWISE...VERY LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS/SPRINKLES ARE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NEW
YORK AND VERMONT EARLY THIS MORNING. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
ALLOWING THIS MOISTURE AND QUITE A BIT OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS TO
SPREAD INTO THE REGION. THE IMPORTANCE OF THIS IS THAT THE CLOUD
COVER WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY OVER THE AREA LATER TODAY AND FOCUS
IT FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW
YORK. THIS JUST HAPPENS TO BE WHERE THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL SET
UP ALONG WITH THE BEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND HIGHEST PRECIPITABLE
WATER AXIS WILL EXIST. ALL OF THESE PARAMETERS FOCUSED SOUTH OF
OUR AREA SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS
WELL AS THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF OUR
AREA. SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING UP ACROSS WISCONSIN EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST AND ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION OVER OUR AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. LIMITED INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SHOULD PRECLUDE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER OUR AREA...BUT
DYNAMIC FORCING SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD BE IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 427 AM EDT FRIDAY...GREATEST AREAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED STORMS WILL EXIST OVER OUR ENTIRE AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT
BEFORE ENDING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS AND BRINGS DRIER AIR INTO THE
REGION. TOTAL RAINFALL FROM THIS EVENT LOOKS TO BE IN THE HALF TO
ONE INCH RANGE. ANY RIVERS/STREAMS THAT ARE STILL RUNNING A BIT ON
THE HIGH SIDE SHOULD SEE ANOTHER SPIKE IN LEVELS...BUT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME DO NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE ANY
ADDITIONAL FLOODING. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...DRY WEATHER MOVES IN
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM
CANADA. THUS LOOKING AT A NICE WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH
DAYS IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80. THE MOST SUNSHINE WILL BE ON SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 427 AM EDT FRIDAY...MONDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE
EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES NORTH
OF THE REGION AND COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE NORTH COUNTRY. GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SPREAD OUT A BIT ON TIMING
NOW WITH ECMWF BRINGING PRECIPITATION IN EARLIER ON MONDAY WHILE
THE GFS MAINLY HOLDS BACK TILL OVERNIGHT. STILL LOOKS LIKE
PRECIPITATION LINGERS INTO TUESDAY...THOUGH BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVERNIGHT. TOWARDS THE END OF THE EXTENDED
FORECAST...THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME
PRECIPITATION. PATTERN BECOMES MORE ACTIVE TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT
WEEK BUT DETAILS REMAIN PRETTY UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT.
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT BUT CONDITIONS REMAIN VFR. THIS
AFTERNOON WILL SEE SOME SHOWERS SPREADING INTO NORTHERN NY FROM
THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY INTO VT BETWEEN 18-22Z. CEILINGS WILL
ALSO BEGIN TO TREND DOWN TO CLOSE TO MVFR AT THE VERY END OF THE
PERIOD...WITH KSLK LOOKING LIKE IT WILL REACH THAT POINT FIRST
AROUND 19Z. LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT CONTINUE INTO THE
MORNING HOURS WITH A TURN TO NORTHEASTERLY FOR THE WESTERN NY TAF
AREAS.

OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

06Z SATURDAY - 00Z SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CREATE
PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

00Z SUNDAY - 12Z MONDAY...SFC HIGH PRES WITH VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL WITH SOME FOG/BR POTENTIAL ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS.

12Z MONDAY ONWARD...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES/MV

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March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
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