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SKIVT-L  June 2015, Week 4

SKIVT-L June 2015, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 25 Jun 2015 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (215 lines)

Expires:201506252000;;629221
FPUS51 KBTV 250723
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
320 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2015


VTZ006-252000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
320 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2015

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN
80 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. 

$$


Expires:201506251100;;636913
ASUS41 KBTV 251030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-251100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    59  56  89 CALM      30.04R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       52  51  97 E5        30.08R VSB 1            
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    58  55  90 N3        30.05R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     56  52  86 MISG      30.01R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      53  52  97 CALM      30.05R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    59  59 100 CALM      30.04R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    55  48  76 SE6       30.06R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    53  52  96 CALM      30.04R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    57  56  97 N3        30.04R                  
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    55  53  94 CALM      30.04S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    55  52  89 CALM      30.05R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     48 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     46 N/A N/A NW6G18      N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     63  59  88 NW1         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  57  82 NE5         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  59  94 NE1         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;631285
FXUS61 KBTV 250814
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
414 AM EDT THU JUN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS ALONG WITH THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS TO SOUTHERN AREAS TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
REGION AND REMAIN THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. IT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. THEN A
WIDESPREAD RAIN EVENT WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE REGION
LATER SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN RATHER
UNSETTLED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 408 AM EDT THURSDAY...VARIABLE AMOUNTS OF CLOUDS COVER ACROSS
FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME AS WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIPS SOUTH
INTO THE REGION. DISTURBANCE IN FLOW ALOFT WHICH PRODUCED SOME
SHOWERS EARLIER HAS DEPARTED...SO NOT MUCH MECHANISM FOR
PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME. AS THE FRONT SETTLES SOUTH TODAY...A
FEW MORE SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP. THE BEST CHANCE OF OCCURRENCE WILL
BE OVER SOUTHERN PORTION OF FORECAST AREA...AIDED BY ARRIVAL OF
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IN FLOW ALOFT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES. HAVE KEPT POPS NO HIGHER THAN SLIGHT CHANCE CATEGORY
FOR TODAY...WHILE SKIES AVERAGE OUT PARTLY SUNNY ACROSS THE
REGION...WITH MORE SUN NORTH AND MORE CLOUDS SOUTH. TEMPS WILL BE
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 408 AM EDT THURSDAY...COMBINATION OF REMNANTS OF DECAYING
SURFACE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH AND A DISTURBANCE IN FLOW ALOFT
WILL RESULT IN SOME CLOUDINESS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTION OF FORECAST
AREA. MIN TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE MID 50S.

SHORTWAVE DEPARTS FRIDAY MORNING AS GENERAL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE 
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL BE A TREND TOWARDS 
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OFF IN THE MID AND 
UPPER 70S ONCE AGAIN. CLEAR SKIES FRIDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE 
REMAINS OVER THE AREA.  

WEATHER BEGINS TO DETERIORATE DURING SATURDAY AS THE HIGH RETREATS 
TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE CENTRAL 
GREAT LAKES REGION. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE 
OHIO VALLEY. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SATURDAY WITH RAIN
DEVELOPING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 356 AM EDT THURSDAY...OVERALL IDEA FOR THE EXTENDED
FORECAST REMAINS INTACT FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTER THINKING WITH
MEDIUM/LONG RANGE GLOBAL MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT HIGHLIGHTING A
DEEP TROUGH PERSISTING OVER MOST OF THE EASTERN CONUS AND A RIDGE
OUT WEST. FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS SATURDAY NIGHT WHERE STRONG
VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY
SHIFTS INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY 12Z SUNDAY AND EVENTUALLY
UP INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC BY 12Z MONDAY. DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM TAPS INTO RICH GULF MOISTURE WITH WIDESPREAD
RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. EARLY INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE
REGION WILL SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 1" WHICH GIVEN THE
RECENT WET PATTERN WE'VE BEEN IN WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME
MINOR/MODERATE HYDRO ISSUES. ANOTHER CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
BE THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY TO STRONG DOWNSLOPING WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GREENS AND ADIRONDACKS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. LATEST GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW A DECENT LOW LEVEL JET
AROUND 50KTS AT 850MB AND 40KTS AT 925MB FROM THE SOUTHEAST BUT
TIMING COINCIDES WITH PRECIPITATION FALLING SO MIXING POTENTIAL
MIGHT BE LIMITED. SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

LARGE SCALE PATTERN DOESN'T CHANGE MUCH GOING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK 
EITHER WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINING OVER THE 
EAST AND A STRONG RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE 4 CORNERS. SEVERAL ROUNDS 
OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP 
CONDITIONS UNSETTLED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY WHEN 
WEAK LOW PRESSURE TRACKS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY. 
THIS LOOKS TO BE OUR NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND 
POSSIBLY A FEW STRONG STORMS. TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE 
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S AND LOWS IN 
THE 50S. EXCEPTION WILL BE SUNDAY WHERE WE'LL STRUGGLE TO WARM INTO 
THE 60S.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE
PERIOD. SCT-BKN MID CLOUDS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE
TO TREND TOWARDS SKC-FEW BY DAYBREAK WITH SOME BR/FOG POSSIBLE AT
SLK/KMPV FROM 08Z-11Z. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOME
5-10 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST AFTER 14Z WITH GUSTS UP TO 16 KNOTS
POSSIBLE AT KBTV/KMPV THROUGH 23Z.

OUTLOOK 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
06Z FRI - 18Z SAT: VFR. NO SIG WX.
18Z SAT - 18Z SUN: MVFR RAIN LIKELY. GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS POSSIBLE.
18Z SUN - 12Z MON: MVFR RAIN LIKELY.
12Z MON - 00Z TUE: MVFR/VFR. CHANCE SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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February 2009, Week 4
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
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January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
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November 2007, Week 5
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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June 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
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September 2006, Week 5
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January 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 2
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
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March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
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February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
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February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
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November 2001, Week 1
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May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
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December 1998, Week 5
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