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SKIVT-L  August 2015, Week 3

SKIVT-L August 2015, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 21 Aug 2015 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (192 lines)

Expires:201508212000;;343367
FPUS51 KBTV 210819
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
417 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015


VTZ006-212000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
417 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

.TODAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS THIS MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. CHANCE OF RAIN
60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.

$$


Expires:201508211100;;348092
ASUS41 KBTV 211030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-211100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON RAIN 65 62 90 NW5 30.00R FOG
MONTPELIER LGT RAIN 69 64 84 S9 30.04R
MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 70 66 87 CALM 30.01R FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 69 64 84 MISG 29.98R
LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 68 64 88 SE5 30.04R
MIDDLEBURY* DRIZZLE 64 64 100 CALM 30.02R
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 66 63 88 CALM 30.03R
SPRINGFIELD RAIN 69 67 93 VRB3 30.02R FOG
HIGHGATE* DRIZZLE 63 62 97 CALM 29.99R
NEWPORT* LGT RAIN 67 64 90 CALM 30.00S
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 62 60 93 SE3 30.05R
SUTTON* N/A 66 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 59 N/A N/A SW5G16 N/A

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 66 63 88 W8 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 64 63 94 E6 N/A

$$


Expires:No;;342604
FXUS61 KBTV 210809
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
409 AM EDT FRI AUG 21 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS...ORIENTED FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THIS BAND WILL
MAINLY AFFECT THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND POINTS EAST ACROSS VERMONT.
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
AROUND 80...WHICH IS RIGHT AROUND SEASONAL NORMALS. THESE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE ON
SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 409 AM EDT FRIDAY...NARROW AND SLOW MOVING BAND OF SHOWERS
CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY PROGRESS EASTWARD THIS MORNING. THERE WILL
BE SOME PERIODS OF MODERATE RAINFALL WITH THIS BAND OF SHOWERS BUT
THE THREAT FOR HEAVIER RAIN AND OR THUNDERSTORMS HAS DIMINISHED.
INSTABILITY IS LIMITED AND THIS BAND CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO
BLOCKING PATTERN TO OUR EAST AND THIS IS HELPING TO WEAKEN THE
INTENSITY OF THE BAND. THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD
EXIT NORTHERN NEW YORK BY ABOUT 12Z...AREAS WEST OF THE GREEN
MOUNTAINS BY MID-MORNING...AND AREAS EAST OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE 70S
TO AROUND 80.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 409 AM EDT FRIDAY...DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY IN WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. NO EXPECTING ANY
PRECIPITATION AND WE SHOULD SEE HIGHS ON SATURDAY IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. TRENDS IN THE DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEAK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND GIVEN THE FACT THAT
THE DEEPER MOISTURE HAS NOT PUSHED TOO FAR TO OUR EAST ON
SATURDAY...THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO
THE AREA...ESPECIALLY FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY EASTWARD. GOING
FORECAST HAS THIS COVERED WELL AND WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS IDEA.
HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 409 AM EDT FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NORTH
COUNTRY SUNDAY NIGHT AND TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT/TROF
CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY. THEN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE
INTO THE AREA AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT ONWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL START
OUT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS...THEN TREND BACK BELOW NORMAL TOWARDS
THE END OF THE WEEK. BEST CHANCE AT ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT WITH COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. HAVE SOME LIKELY
POPS MENTIONED DURING THAT TIME.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...VFR DETERIORATING TO A MIX OF MVFR/BRIEF
IFR VISIBILITY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT. REGIONAL RADAR
SHOWS A LARGE SHIELD OF RAIN OF VARYING INTENSITIES MOVING NORTH-
NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK. THOUGH LIGHT RAIN
PREDOMINATES, MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH VISIBILITY AS LOW AS 1
SM HAS PERIODICALLY BEEN REPORTED IN METARS. RAIN MAKES SLOW
EASTWARD PROGRESS BUT SHOULD FINALLY CLEAR ALL TAF SITES BY ABOUT
15Z. HAVE MENTIONED MVFR PREVAILING...BUT MAY SEE SOME HEAVIER
RAIN WITH IFR AT TIMES. WINDS INITIALLY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 10-12
KTS WITH GUSTS 20-22 KTS, BUT WILL LIKELY VEER A BIT TO
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WITH RAIN AND FRONT. GENERAL IMPROVEMENT FROM MVFR
TO VFR CONDITIONS WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 KTS.

OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY AS A WEAK RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. SOME AREAS OF MVFR IN
SHOWERS POSSIBLE FROM 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY.

12Z SUNDAY THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WITH SOME MVFR POSSIBLE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES

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