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SKIVT-L  August 2015, Week 3

SKIVT-L August 2015, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 20 Aug 2015 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (214 lines)

Expires:201508202000;;296429
FPUS51 KBTV 200820
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
417 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015


VTZ006-202000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
417 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 

$$


Expires:201508201100;;301494
ASUS41 KBTV 201030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-201100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    76  63  64 S10       29.99R                  
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     67  64  90 S12       30.10S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     65  62  90 CALM      30.06R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     71  64  78 MISG      30.06R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   MOCLDY    68  64  85 SE8       30.10S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      70  63  79 S3        30.02S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     68  61  77 S5        30.06S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    67  65  93 CALM      30.08S                  
HIGHGATE*      MOCLDY    73  65  74 S12       29.97R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      67  64  91 S6        30.05S                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    70  65  84 E6        30.05S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     66 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     59 N/A N/A S8          N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     75  68  78 S26         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     75  66  73 S17         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;295849
FXUS61 KBTV 200810
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
410 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE THE RULE ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY TODAY...BUT READINGS WILL NOT BE AS WARM AS THE PAST
FEW DAYS. HOWEVER WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
80S. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA...BUT NOT EXIT THE REGION
UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT...EXPECT A BAND OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE PRECIPITATION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 410 AM EDT THURSDAY...HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN
HAS DEVELOPED EARLY THIS MORNING WITH UPPER TROUGH OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE NORTHEAST. THIS MEANS ANY
CONVECTION TODAY WILL BE IN A NARROW NORTH-SOUTH AXIS AND CLOSELY
TIED TO THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS/SURFACE COLD FRONT. NEITHER OF THESE
FEATURES MOVES INTO THE REGION UNTIL TONIGHT SO HAVE ESSENTIALLY
BACKED OFF ON ANY MENTION OF PRECIPITATION FOR TODAY. LESS CLOUD
COVER WILL BE OVER THE AREA AS WELL...AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE 80S ONCE AGAIN. WE WILL PROBABLY BE A
COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...SO DO NOT EXPECT THE
HEAT WAVE TO CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES HAVE NOT FALLEN MUCH OVERNIGHT
WITH READINGS IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S...SO IT SHOULD NOT TAKE
MUCH FOR READINGS TO GET INTO THE 80S. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL ALSO BE INCREASING OVER THE AREA TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 410 AM EDT THURSDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL FINALLY MAKE ITS
WAY INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...BUT IT WILL BE SLOW AND IN THE FORM
OF A NARROW AXIS. DO NOT EXPECT THE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS TO
MAKE IT INTO VERMONT UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT...AND THEN BY FRIDAY
MORNING THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE MOST CONCENTRATED
OVER VERMONT WITH LITTLE EXPECTED OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK. AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES ON FRIDAY...THE BAND OF PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE
SLOWLY EAST BUT THE INTENSITY WILL WEAKEN AS WELL. TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING THE AREA WILL BE IN A REGION OF HIGHER THAN NORMAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AND GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
CONVECTION AND THE SOUTH TO NORTH ORIENTATION OF CELLS...LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. HAVE
CONTINUED THIS IDEA IN THE FORECAST. ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ARE
STARTING OUT DRY...SO RIVERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE
INCREASED RAINFALL AND LOOKING AT TOTAL RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS POTENTIALLY TO TWO INCHES. SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT MOVED ACROSS
THE AREA ON FRIDAY...STALLS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THUS THERE MAY
STILL BE SOME SHOWERS IN EASTERN VERMONT ON SATURDAY WITH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA REMAINING DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY
WILL BE IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80 AND THEN IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S ON SATURDAY...WHICH IS RIGHT AROUND THE SEASONAL NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM EDT THURSDAY...SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL BE DRY
WITH GENERAL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. MODELS STILL
INDICATE POSSIBILITY OF FRONT LINGERING OVER NEW ENGLAND AND
RETROGRADING INTO OUR EASTERN ZONES. ON MONDAY A SURFACE COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION...EVENTUALLY
CROSSING OUR FORECAST AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. A
SECONDARY FRONT/TROF WILL FOLLOW ON WEDNESDAY. THEN ANOTHER RIDGE
OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
DAYTIME MAX TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO TREND ABOVE NORMAL BY A FEW
DEGREES EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS CURRENTLY HAS
PREVENTED ANY FOG FORMATION OVERNIGHT. STILL HAVE MENTIONED SOME
BR AT MPV...THOUGH MAY NOT SEE IT THERE AFTERALL EITHER. CLOUDS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE PARTICULARLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAVE
INTRODUCED VCSH AT MSS AND SLK AFTER 00Z. STRENGTHENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND LOW-LEVEL WINDS INCREASING UP TO 30-35 KTS SUPPORT
SOUTHERLY GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS.

OUTLOOK 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY LEADING TO PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR.

SATURDAY...GENERALLY VFR WITH SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN VT.

SUNDAY - MONDAY...VFR WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTH WINDS AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL INCREASE WAVE
HEIGHTS DURING THIS PERIOD AND CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES
MARINE...EVENSON

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