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SKIVT-L  August 2015, Week 4

SKIVT-L August 2015, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 26 Aug 2015 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (202 lines)

Expires:201508262000;;581234
FPUS51 KBTV 260919
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
516 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015


VTZ006-262000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
516 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
AROUND 80. 

$$


Expires:201508261100;;583252
ASUS41 KBTV 261030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-261100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    63  53  70 CALM      29.94R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    58  57  97 CALM      29.98S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    59  56  89 CALM      29.96R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     61  58  90 MISG      29.92R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      59  55  86 CALM      29.96S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    MOCLDY    57  57 100 CALM      29.94S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    57  54  88 CALM      29.95R VSB 1/4          
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       60  60 100 CALM      29.93R VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    57  56  94 CALM      29.93S                  
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    57  56  98 CALM      29.96R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    58  56  93 CALM      29.95S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     54 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A NW10        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  54  63 NW9         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  54  63 W3          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;578430
FXUS61 KBTV 260812
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
412 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS PERSISTS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH PERSIST OVER THE REGION UNTIL FRIDAY. SHOWERS WILL BE
MORE PREVALENT DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING. DRIER
WEATHER RETURNS FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
PROVIDING LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK...GRADUALLY WARMING A FEW DEGREES OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 347 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS
LARGE MID LEVEL LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF JAMES BAY. GENERALLY SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY
RESULTING IN VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. MODELS SHOW A LACK OF
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN BEST CHANCE FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS TODAY OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK, NEARER LIFT OF
TROUGH. MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOW 70S TO
UPPER 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 347 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS GRADUALLY
DIMINISHES OVERNIGHT WITH LACK OF INSTABILITY BUT PERSISTENT LOW
REMAINS OVER THE AREA. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AS THE
MID LEVEL TROUGH/LOW BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST OF THE NORTH COUNTRY,
KEEPING SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND LOW LEVEL FLOW SHIFTS
MORE NORTHWEST THEN WEST.

THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, RIDGING CONTINUES AT THE SURFACE WITH
LIGHT WINDS SHIFTING SW, ACCOMPANIED BY SLIGHT RIDGING ALOFT. THIS
WILL RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
THAN TODAY, BUT REBOUND ON FRIDAY INTO THE LOW 70S TO UPPER 70S.
MIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 50S TONIGHT AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AS
SKIES BECOME CLEARER THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 412 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...THE GLOBAL MODELS...NAMELY THE ECMWF
AND GFS ARE HINTING AT A RETURN TO SUMMER-LIKE CONDITONS NEXT WEEK
AS WE HEAD INTO THE FIRST WEEK IN SEPTEMBER...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES MAINLY INTO THE 80S.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL BUILD
NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY AND WILL BE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. MODELS SHOWING SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES 
AS WE MOVE INTO THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GFS MODEL
SHOWS SOME WEAK SHORTWAVES TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AND TRIES TO GENERATE SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. HAVE GONE WITH A DRY FORECAST FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT TO MESH WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES. HAVE GONE WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER...ECMWF MODEL
HAS THIS WEEKEND DRY WITH UPPER RIDGE OVER THE REGION. ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY...THE GFS MODEL HAS A STRONG RIDGE AT THE SURFACE AND
ALOFT OVER THE REGION WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
EXPECTED. THE ECMWF MODEL HAS AN UPPER LOW/UPPER TROUGH MOVING
EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND HINTS AT SOME
SHOWERS POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WHEREAS GFS MODEL IS DRY.
HAVE OPTED TO STAY WITH SUPERBLEND POPS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST.

OVERALL THROUGH THE PERIOD EXPECTING A MAINLY DRY FORECAST WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL...ESPECIALLY NEXT WEEK...AS
SUMMER-LIKE UPPER RIDGE GETS ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION. WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE TEMPERTURES APPROACH 90 NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY....MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER CANADA WILL KEEP THE REGION
UNDER CYCLONIC FLOW WITH CLOUDS AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. HAVE KEPT OUT MENTION OF SHOWERS IN TAF
FORECAST AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE FACT THAT ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LESS THAN
10 KNOTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

06Z THURSDAY-00Z SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR EXPECTED. A BRIEF LOCALIZED
PERIOD OF MVFR IS POSSIBLE IN AN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWER ON THURSDAY.
LOCAL IFR/LIFR IN PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHTS AT SLK AND MPV IS ALSO
LIKELY.

00Z SUNDAY-00Z MONDAY...GENERALLY VFR, THOUGH SOME POSSIBLE
SHOWERS MAY BRING BRIEF MVFR.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON/KGM
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...WGH/MUCCILLI

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December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
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June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 4
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July 2006, Week 3
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 1
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