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SKIVT-L  November 2015, Week 4

SKIVT-L November 2015, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 26 Nov 2015 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (242 lines)

Expires:201511262100;;893746
FPUS51 KBTV 261125
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
622 AM EST THU NOV 26 2015


VTZ006-262100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
622 AM EST THU NOV 26 2015

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN
50 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO SNOW
ACCUMULATION. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. 
.MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
LOWS AROUND 20. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 

$$


Expires:201511261200;;893889
ASUS41 KBTV 261130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU NOV 26 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-261200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      42  30  62 S25G36    30.66F                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      35  29  78 S12       30.75S WCI  27          
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      30  26  85 CALM      30.71F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     39  28  64 MISG      30.73F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    36  29  78 SE10      30.73F WCI  28          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      37  31  81 SE5       30.72F                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      37  30  75 SE12      30.74F WCI  30          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    30  26  85 CALM      30.81R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      42  32  67 S12G32    30.63F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      35  29  79 S8G20     30.68F WCI  29          
BENNINGTON     FAIR      39  31  72 S7        30.76F                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     32 N/A N/A S28G48      N/A  WCI  18          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     43  36  75 S37         N/A  WCI  31          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  34  81 S23         N/A  WCI  29          

$$


Expires:No;;893825
FXUS61 KBTV 261129
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
629 AM EST THU NOV 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT PUSHING
EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES STATES. THE FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE
REGION LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS. BEHIND THE FRONT A RETURN OF MAINLY DRY AND
SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ADDITIONAL ENERGY WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE AREA BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, THOUGH WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES MOST
OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY FALL AS RAIN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 629 AM EST THURSDAY...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES AND
DEWPOINTS TO MATCH CURRENT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. HAVE A GREAT HOLIDAY.

PRIOR DISCUSSION FROM 255 AM EST THURSDAY...
MAINLY A PERSISTENCE FORECAST THROUGH SUNRISE FRIDAY AS VARIABLE
MID TO HIGH CLOUDINESS TRAVERSES THE REGION ALONG WITH GUSTY SOUTH
TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. 500 METER BACK-TRAJECTORY ANALYSIS FROM
THIS MORNING'S NOAA HYSPLIT MODEL RUN SHOWS OUR AIR THIS AFTERNOON
TRACES ITS SOURCE TO THE DELMARVA REGION YESTERDAY WHICH SAW HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. FEEL SIMILAR READINGS WILL
BE ACHIEVED BY LATER TODAY IN THE CHAMPLAIN AND ST LAWRENCE
VALLEYS, WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER VALUES (45 TO 50) ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS, AND ESPECIALLY EASTERN VERMONT WHERE A GREATER
MARITIME INFLUENCE WILL OCCUR. ON THE WINDS, GUSTS SHOULD EASILY
CLIMB INTO THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE BY AFTERNOON IF NOT SOONER, A
RESULT OF A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRONG MARITIME HIGH
PRESSURE AND AN APPROACHING GREAT LAKES UPPER TROUGH. SO DESPITE
THE MILD TEMPERATURES IT WILL FEEL ON THE BLUSTERY SIDE IN MANY
SPOTS TODAY.

BY TONIGHT MORE OF THE SAME AS THICKENING MID TO HIGH CLOUDINESS
OCCURS IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER, DEEPER MOISTURE AND
DYNAMICAL LIFT ALONG THE FRONT REMAIN TO OUR NORTH AND WEST SO DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. WITH OCCASIONALLY GUSTY SOUTH FLOW
CONTINUING OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD NEARLY STEADY ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA, GENERALLY HOLDING IN THE 40S TO AROUND 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 321 PM EST WEDNESDAY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FLOW WILL KEEP
MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IN AT THE SURFACE THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING AS THE MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND CLOUDS INCREASE OVER
NORTHERN NEW YORK. A STRONGLY POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT THROUGH BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANTIFRONTAL
STYLE PRECIP MEANING THAT THE PRECIP WILL FALL BEHIND THE WIND
SHIFT FRONT. BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WILL REMAIN WARM THROUGH MOST OF
THE EVENING THUS THE PRECIP WILL FALL AS RAIN BEFORE CHANGING
OVER TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY MIX AND THEN TRANSITIONING TO
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EARLY
IN THE MORNING THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE 1500 FEET WILL MOST LIKELY
SEE SNOW SHOWERS WHILE THE LOWER VALLEYS ARE EXPECTED TO JUST SEE
SOME LIGHT FLURRIES.

THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE ON SATURDAY WILL BE RAPIDLY DRYING OUT AS
THE FRONT PUSHES TOWARDS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THUS THE PRECIP
SHOULD END EARLY SATURDAY MORNING LEAVING BEHIND STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION UNDER A BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. EXPECT TEMPS ON
FRIDAY TO REMAIN WARM UNDER THE SOUTHERLY WARM AIR ADVECTION AND
STAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S BEFORE RAPIDLY COOLING BEHIND THE
FRONT. TEMPS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE DEPENDENT ON HOW FAR THE FRONT
CROSSES THROUGH THE REGION BUT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOW 30S BEHIND THE FRONT. THEN AS THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
CONTINUES ON SATURDAY EXPECT TEMPS TO ONLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER
30S WITH LOWS THAT EVENING IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOW 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 334 PM EST WEDNESDAY...THE BUILDING DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY WITH SEASONABLY COLDER TEMPS THROUGH THE
EARLY WEEK BEFORE A MODERATING SHORTWAVE RIDGE BUILDS IN ALOFT.
THAT WEAK RIDGE WILL CAUSE THE SURFACE HIGH TO DRIFT OFFSHORE
ENABLING SURFACE RETURN FLOW TO DEVELOP AND LEAVING TO MODERATING
TEMPERATURES BY MID WEEK. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE NORTH
COUNTRY LOOKS TO BE A DECENT RAIN STORM WITH RELATIVELY HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER BUT WARM THERMAL PROFILES. EXPECT RAIN SOMETIME
MID WEEK AND AS THE LOW TRACKS ONCE AGAIN TO THE NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THERE COULD BE SOME MINOR POTENTIAL FOR SOME
OROGRAPHIC SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY THE
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. LLWS AND ENHANCED
SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS TO BE THE PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN FOR THE
PERIOD.

EXPECT GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES BELOW 200 AGL THROUGH 18Z UNDER GUSTY
SOUTH FLOW IN THE 15 TO 30 KNOT RANGE. AFTER 18Z CIGS REMAIN VFR
THOUGH GRADUALLY LOWER INTO THE 070-150 AGL RANGE INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS UNDER CONTINUED GUSTY SOUTH FLOW. LLWS A CONCERN
AT ANY TERMINAL WHERE WINDS LIGHTEN. PRIMARY LLWS CONCERN AT KSLK.

OUTLOOK 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY... 
12Z FRIDAY THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY...BKN/OVC VFR.

18Z FRIDAY THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...TRENDING TO MVFR IN RAIN
SHOWERS AS A COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH INTO THE REGION FROM CANADA.
SOME MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE 00Z-12Z SATURDAY AS
PRECIPITATION ENDS.

12Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...VFR/HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 255 AM EST THURSDAY...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY...

MODESTLY STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED ON THE LAKE TODAY AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT
BEFORE SLOWLY ABATING ON THURSDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS TO GENERALLY
OCCUR ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE WHERE
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS WILL RANGE IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE WITH
A MODERATE CHOP. BAYS AND INLETS WITH OPEN SOUTHERLY EXPOSURE WILL
ALSO SEE WAVES ON THE HIGHER END OF THE FORECAST RANGE. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT OPERATING ON THE LAKE
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...DEAL
LONG TERM...DEAL
AVIATION...JMG
MARINE...JMG

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April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
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June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
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August 2008, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
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March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
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August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
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March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 5
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January 2006, Week 3
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January 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
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February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 1
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July 2004, Week 5
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June 2004, Week 5
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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February 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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February 2003, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 5
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
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March 2001, Week 5
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February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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March 2000, Week 5
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