Expires:201603152000;;109845
FPUS51 KBTV 151034
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
632 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016


VTZ006-152000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
632 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016

.TODAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
THIS MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. 

$$


Expires:201603151100;;109744
ASUS41 KBTV 151030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-151100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    40  32  73 S9        29.93F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    34  31  88 S9        30.01F WCI  27          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    35  32  88 VRB6      29.98F WCI  30          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     34  31  88 MISG      29.98F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    33  32  94 SE3       29.99S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    40  32  72 SE12      29.93F                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    37  30  75 SE18G28   29.93S WCI  27          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    34  33  96 CALM      30.01F FOG              
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    38  34  84 S9        29.91F                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    34  32  92 S9        29.97S WCI  27          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    43  34  70 SE12G20   29.89F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     27 N/A N/A SW36G49     N/A  WCI   9          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     37  36  93 S24         N/A  WCI  26          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  36  87 SE9         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;109925
FXUS61 KBTV 151040
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
640 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
PLENTY OF CLOUDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE SOME SUNSHINE DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
LOOK FOR HIGHS IN THE 40S TODAY AND IN THE 50S ON WEDNESDAY. EXPECT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHWEST VERMONT. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 640 AM EDT TUESDAY...AREA IS CURRENTLY BETWEEN TWO
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. ONE IS NOW EAST OF THE AREA AND MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION HAS ESSENTIALLY COME TO AN END. MEANWHILE...SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS ACROSS SOUTHWEST QUEBEC AND THE MID- ATLANTIC REGION ARE
MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST. THE STRONGEST FORCING WITH THESE SYSTEMS
WILL MISS OUR AREA BUT STILL LOOKING AT ENOUGH LIFT THE GENERATE
SOME SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK.
GOING FORECAST HAS THIS COVERED WELL AND ONLY TWEAKS ARE TO MATCH
CURRENT CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE... LOOKING AT PLENTY OF CLOUDS
HANGING AROUND TODAY BUT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING US ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS RANGING IN THE LOW 40S OVER EASTERN
VERMONT TO AROUND 50 OUT ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW
YORK. NEXT IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVES INTO THE AREA
LATE IN THE DAY AND SHOULD SEE INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA REMAINING
DRY THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT...SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS AND PASSES TO OUR NORTH SO IT
WILL BE HARD FOR PRECIPITATION TO SPREAD EASTWARD TONIGHT AND CAN
SEE IT MAKING IT INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT BEFORE
DISSIPATING. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND THAT
SHOULD KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 428 AM EDT TUESDAY...ON WEDNESDAY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
SITUATED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PUSH A WARM FRONT INTO
OUR REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH A COLD FRONT LATER WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL REACH THE MID 50S WITH WARM AIR
ADVECTION ACROSS THE AREA... THOUGH MIXING IS FAIRLY LIMITED...AND
OVERNIGHT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD AS WELL. RAIN
SHOWERS WILL BE MOST LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MODELS ARE VERY MUCH
IN LINE WITH THIS SYSTEM AND TIMING. AS PREVIOUS FORECASTER
STATED...STILL LOOKS LIKE A HIGH POP AND LOW QPF TYPE OF
EVENT...GENERALLY A THIRD OF AN INCH OR LESS OF RAINFALL. THURSDAY
WILL CONTINUE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...THOUGH NOT QUITE AS WARM
AS WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 428 AM EDT TUESDAY...FROM THURSDAY NIGHT ONWARD
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL
NORMALS. ON FRIDAY A SHOT OF COLD AIR WITH COLD FRONT DROPPING
SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREAS WILL BRING CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN RIDGE OVER THE REGION FOR
THE WEEKEND AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED. FOR POTENTIAL
COASTAL LOW SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...HAVE LOWERED OUR POPS A BIT
AS BOTH 00Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF HAVE COME IN WITH A MORE EASTWARD
TRACK OUTSIDE OF THE BENCHMARK. WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS SYSTEM FOR POSSIBLE IMPACTS THOUGH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE
NOT PROMISING.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE MOVING NORTH
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH ABOUT 12Z...BUT VISIBILITIES WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE VFR CATEGORY THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECT
MVFR/VFR CEILINGS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH BEST CHANCE FOR MVFR
CEILINGS THROUGH 12Z AND AGAIN AFTER 00Z WHEN A FRONT MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION AND CEILINGS LOWER ALONG WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS. WINDS
WILL BE DECREASING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH KRUT HOLDING
GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH 18Z.

OUTLOOK 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...BKN/OVC VFR/MVFR WITH PERIODIC
SHOWERY EPISODES EXPECTED AS ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST.

00Z FRIDAY ONWARD...TRENDING VFR AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...EVENSON/RJS

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html