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SKIVT-L  March 2016, Week 5

SKIVT-L March 2016, Week 5

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 29 Mar 2016 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (246 lines)

Expires:201603292000;;750265
FPUS51 KBTV 290747
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2016


VTZ006-292000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
345 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2016

.TODAY...SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY THIS MORNING. SNOW
ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. BREEZY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 

$$


Expires:201603291100;;756771
ASUS41 KBTV 291030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-291100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  35  28  75 NW17G36   29.68R WCI  25          
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  31  29  92 NW17G33   29.64R FOG     WCI  19  
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  33  30  88 NW8       29.62R FOG     WCI  26  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     37  30  75 MISG      29.53R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT SNOW  33  30  90 W17G31    29.54R WCI  22          
MIDDLEBURY*    LGT SNOW  35  34  94 N9G16     29.67R WCI  28          
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    36  30  80 NW7       29.65R WCI  30          
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    37  30  75 NW13G21   29.61R WCI  29          
HIGHGATE*      LGT SNOW  32  31  96 W6G17     29.70R WCI  26          
NEWPORT*         N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    37  27  67 W15G23    29.68R WCI  28          
SUTTON*          N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     21 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     36  32  87 NW29        N/A  WCI  23          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  30  70 W13G24      N/A  WCI  32          

$$


Expires:No;;752112
FXUS61 KBTV 290826
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
426 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE 
CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY. EXPECT SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS THIS
MORNING...WITH A FEW INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION ABOVE 1000
FEET...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN VERMONT. LITTLE IF ANY
ACCUMULATION IF EXPECTED IN VALLEY LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE
GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY. LIGHTER WINDS AND DRY WEATHER ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD
FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN ARRIVES THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 418 AM EDT TUESDAY...LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN (NOW
DOWN TO 978 MB) AS IT MAKES ITS WAY NORTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. BRISK AND
MOIST NORTHWESTERLY WRAP-AROUND FLOW HAS DEVELOPED AND WILL CONTINUE
THIS MORNING. RAIN HAS CHANGED OVER TO SNOW OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN...GENERALLY ABOVE 1000 FEET...BUT HAS REMAINED MIXED IN
MOST VALLEY AREAS WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
FREEZING. EXPECT THIS SCENARIO TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING WITH
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES REMAINING JUST MILD ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE
MUCH IF ANY ACCUMULATION...OTHER THAN A COATING TO PERHAPS A HALF
AN INCH ON THE VALLEY FLOORS. FROUDE NUMBERS ALSO SUPPORT
UNBLOCKED FLOW WHICH SUPPORTS LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. ELSEWHERE...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF A FEW INCHES
STILL EXPECTED AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000 FEET...AND FROM 3-6 INCHES
ABOVE 2500 FEET. UPSLOPE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY END WITH CLEARING
FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. EXPECT WINDS OF
15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30-40 MPH...WITH STRONGEST GUSTS ACROSS
CENTRAL/EASTERN VERMONT. TEMPS WILL HOLD FAIRLY STEADY TODAY AS WE
REMAIN UNDER COLD AIR ADVECTION INTO THE AFTERNOON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S...WITH SOME
LOWER 40S IN THE CHAMPLAIN AND CONNECTICUT VALLEYS. IT WILL FEEL
EVEN CHILLIER GIVEN THE BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES INTO FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL ABATE AS RIDGE AXIS BUILDS ACROSS AREA. SKIES WILL BECOME
CLEAR THIS EVENING...AND THE CLEAR SKIES COMBINED WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE 20S...WITH SOME TEENS IN
THE ADIRONDACKS AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST VERMONT. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 347 AM EDT TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD WEDNESDAY WILL PROVIDE THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH ONE MORE
SUNNY, DRY DAY BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME UNSETTLED AGAIN AND QUITE
CHANGEABLE GOING INTO THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND. AS THE HIGH SLIDES OFF THE COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BEGINS TO TAKE SHAPE AND
INTENSIFIES WITH A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE 2
FEATURES. INCREASING SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
PROVIDE A NON-DIURNAL TREND TO TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL LIKELY DROP
NO FURTHER THAN THE 40S BEFORE RISING TOWARDS DAYBREAK AS A WARM
FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION. WHILE OVERALL SURFACE TO MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE FIELDS AREN'T PARTICULARLY DEEP, PWATS DO APPROACH 1"
ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO DEVELOP
SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TOWARDS DAYBREAK.
WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE INTL BORDER THURSDAY MORNING AS THE
SURFACE LOW SHIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THIS PUTS OUR
EASTERN AREAS IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH LIKELY A BREAK IN
PRECIPITATION DURING THE MID-MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS,
WHILE WESTERN AREAS WILL SEE MORE OCCASIONAL SHOWERS THROUGH THE
DAY CLOSER TO THE FIRST OF 2 COLD FRONTS APPROACHING, NOW BECOMING
OCCLUDED. OTHER HIGHLIGHT TO THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A STRONG LOW-
LEVEL 50-80KT 925-850MB JET ACCOMPANYING THE WARM SECTOR
INCREASING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30KTS THROUGH THE DAY,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY. WITH 925MB TEMPS
WARMING UPWARDS TO +10-13C WE'LL SEE HIGHS THURSDAY AFTERNOON WELL
INTO THE 60S AREA-WIDE.

OCCLUDED FRONT FINALLY SHIFTS INTO THE AREA LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WHERE WIDESPREAD RAIN IS
EXPECTED. THERE ARE SOME HINTS AT SOME WEAK SURFACE-MID LEVEL
INSTABILITY ON SOME GUIDANCE, BUT OVERALL DON'T THINK THERE'S
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT TO MENTION THUNDER AT THIS TIME. SOMETHING TO
KEEP AN EYE ON THOUGH. LOW THURSDAY NIGHT REMAIN VERY MILD, ONLY
FALLING INTO THE 40S AND 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 347 AM EDT TUESDAY...AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
PULL AWAY NORTHEAST THROUGH QUEBEC ON FRIDAY WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WANING AND MILD TEMPERATURES CONTINUING IN THE 50S AND 60S
BEFORE A SECONDARY AND STRONGER COLD FRONT SHIFTS IN FRIDAY NIGHT.
BEHIND THE FRONT, A DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL TAKE RESIDENCE OVER THE
MUCH OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST CONUS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES FEELING A BIT MORE
SPRING TO WINTER-LIKE. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 40S
BEFORE A CLIPPER-LIKE SYSTEM SHIFTING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL RENEW CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
ALONG WITH A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR. TEMPERATURES FROM
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WILL FEEL MORE LIKE WINTER
WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 20S/30S, AND LOWS IN THE TEENS TO SINGLE
DIGITS.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...MVFR WITH IFR AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AS LIGHT
RAIN TRANSITIONS TO SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.
SLOW IMPROVEMENT TO VFR TUESDAY WITH CONTINUED GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS AS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES.

CEILINGS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY MVFR TILL ABOUT 18Z WITH SOME AREAS
OF IFR POSSIBLE THROUGH 12Z...ESPECIALLY AT SLK/BTV/MPV.
VISIBILITIES MOSTLY UNRESTRICTED IN RAIN SHOWERS...BUT AS THEY
CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS...LOOK FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR/IFR WITH LOWEST
CONDITIONS AT SLK WHERE SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO LATE
MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES AFTER 18Z WITH SKIES
BECOMING CLEAR BY 00Z WEDNESDAY.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT IN WAKE OF DEPARTING
LOW. EXPECT NORTHWEST WINDS 15-20 KTS WITH GUSTS 25-33 KTS THROUGH
18Z. WINDS GRADUALLY SUBSIDING LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...AND THEN
DIMINISHING TO 10 KTS OR LESS BY AROUND 00Z WEDNESDAY.

06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...VFR PERSISTS TUE NIGHT THROUGH
WED NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND
CRESTS OVER NY/NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY MORNING. DEVELOPING S-SW
WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH WARM FRONT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD MVFR WITH
INTERVALS OF IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. DRIER FRI-SAT WITH MAINLY VFR.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...RJS

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May 2009, Week 4
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