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SKIVT-L  April 2016, Week 1

SKIVT-L April 2016, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 1 Apr 2016 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (219 lines)

Expires:201604012000;;896264
FPUS51 KBTV 010751
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
349 AM EDT FRI APR 1 2016


VTZ006-012000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
349 AM EDT FRI APR 1 2016

.TODAY...SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP
TO 30 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A
50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 35 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS
AROUND 30. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
10 TO 15. 
.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.
LOWS 10 TO 15. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
.THURSDAY...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 

$$


Expires:201604011100;;903332
ASUS41 KBTV 011030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI APR 01 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-011100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    64  49  57 S21G28    29.45F                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    59  47  64 S12       29.56F                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    65  48  54 S15G26    29.49S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     60  48  64 MISG      29.52S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      56  48  73 SE14      29.53F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    MOCLDY    64  51  61 S15G21    29.52S                  
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    64  48  55 SE5G17    29.57R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      48  46  93 NW3       29.59F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    63  49  60 S9G25     29.42F                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    55  48  75 SE9       29.48F                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      65  54  67 S20G29    29.58F                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A NW38G61     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     50  45  81 SW18        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     63  52  67 S21         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;898853
FXUS61 KBTV 010831
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
431 AM EDT FRI APR 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
PRETTY LARGE WEATHER CHANGES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK. IT
WILL BE WINDY AND WARM TODAY WITH SHOWERS AND MAYBE A THUNDERSTORM.
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER WEATHER ON SATURDAY ALONG WITH A
CONTINUED CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS. A MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT
WILL BLAST THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN MUCH
COLDER WEATHER FOR SUNDAY. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE ALSO
EXPECTED WITH THAT FRONT. VERY GUSTY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES ONLY
IN THE 20S ON SUNDAY WILL MAKE IT FEEL MORE LIKE MID-WINTER THAN
EARLY SPRING. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE NEAR THE REGION
LATE MONDAY WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW OR RAIN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 359 AM EDT FRIDAY...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HEADING INTO CENTRAL
QUEBEC EARLY THIS MORNING. COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IS
PRESENTLY MOVING ACROSS EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND WILL MAKE ITS WAY
EASTWARD ACROSS FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY TODAY. MUCH OF
FORECAST AREA DRY AT THIS TIME...WITH SHOWERS CONFINED TO ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY. SHOWERS WILL PROGRESS EAST IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT THIS MORNING WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE EXPECTED. THUS
CATEGORICAL POPS PREFERRED IN MOST AREAS. SOME INSTABILITY WILL
BE PRESENT AS WELL...WITH 500-1000 J/KG OF SBCAPE WHICH SHOULD
SUPPORT CONVECTIVE RAINFALL WITH SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE
MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON...WITH GREATEST CHANCE BEING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.

MAX TEMPS TODAY WILL BE UNSEASONABLY MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S
(SOME 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL). WARMEST READINGS WILL BE OVER
VERMONT DUE LATER TIME OF FRONTAL PASSAGE. IT WILL BE ANOTHER BREEZY
DAY...ALTHOUGH NOT AS WINDY AS YESTERDAY IN MOST AREAS AS CORE OF
STRONGEST WINDS AT 850 MB WILL BE DEPARTING. EXPECT SOME GUSTS FROM
THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TO 25-35 MPH...SUBSIDING LATER BEHIND FRONT.  

INITIAL COLD FRONT WILL BE EAST OF FORECAST AREA BY THIS EVENING.
COULD BE A FEW LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY TONIGHT...BUT FOR THE
MOST PART IT SHOULD BE A DRY NIGHT WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH LESS WIND. MIN TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 431 AM EDT FRIDAY...ACTIVE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH UPPER
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE PERIOD. WE WILL BE ON THE
WARM SIDE OF A NOTICEABLE COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO MID 50S. THIS WILL HELP TO STEEPEN LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.
COLD FRONT AND DYNAMIC SUPPORT WILL ALSO AID IN PROVIDING LIFT TO
ENHANCE THE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. CHANGES COME SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY AS UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE POTENTIAL
FOR SNOW SHOWERS WILL EXIST AS COLD AIR ADVECTION BEGINS IN
EARNEST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY AS NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS AND BRINGS 850 MB TEMPERATURES OF -20C INTO
THE REGION. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S...BUT STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO BRING RATHER BREEZY
CONDITIONS WITH WIND GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE. THUS IT WILL
FEEL MORE LIKE THE TEENS WHEN YOU FACTOR IN THE WINDS.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE DECREASING QUICKLY THROUGH THE DAY
WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 431 AM EDT FRIDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY AND
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF ALLOWING LOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BE
PASSING JUST TO OUR SOUTH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AND WILL SPREAD
SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA. WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY ONLY
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF LIGHT SNOW. SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION FOR TUESDAY FOR
HIGHS ONCE AGAIN ONLY IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. EVENTUALLY THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS TO THE SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH
A GRADUALLY WARMING TREND EXPECTING ALONG WITH INCREASING CHANCES
FOR RAIN BY THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...VFR TO START THE PERIOD AS RAIN SHOWERS
AND LOWER CLOUDS BUILD IN OVERNIGHT. EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO
MOVE IN DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS AND REMAIN FOR MOST OF THE
DAY ON FRIDAY...IMPROVING TO VFR AFTER 21Z WITH SHOWERS COMING TO
AN END.

CURRENT AVIATION CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. A
STRONG 850MB JET (50-70KTS) IS MOVING OVER THE REGION AND WILL
PRODUCE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 25-35KTS...MAINLY AT
MSS/SLK/BTV. AREAS OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR ALSO POSSIBLE.

OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

06Z SATURDAY TO 00Z SUNDAY...VFR WITH MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS

00Z SUNDAY TO 00Z MONDAY...PERIODS OF IFR EXPECTED WITH SNOW
SHOWERS. POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE WINDS TO GUST OVER 40KT.

00Z MONDAY ONWARD...VFR WITH POSSIBLE MVFR WITH A FEW RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS/DEAL
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...RJS/MV

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
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September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 3
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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July 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
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January 2007, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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