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SKIVT-L  April 2016, Week 2

SKIVT-L April 2016, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 13 Apr 2016 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (194 lines)

Expires:201604132000;;458690
FPUS51 KBTV 130648
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
246 AM EDT WED APR 13 2016


VTZ006-132000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
246 AM EDT WED APR 13 2016

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN CLEARING. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
.MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

$$


Expires:201604131100;;467407
ASUS41 KBTV 131030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED APR 13 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-131100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      32  21  64 N9        30.42R WCI  24          
MONTPELIER     FAIR      28  21  75 CALM      30.39R                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      31  22  69 NW8       30.39R WCI  23          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     29  25  85 MISG      30.35R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    30  23  76 SW3       30.37R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      32  23  69 N7        30.40R WCI  26          
RUTLAND*       FAIR      32  21  64 N6        30.38R WCI  26          
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      28  25  88 CALM      30.37                   
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      29  23  78 CALM      30.43R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      29  22  76 NW3       30.38R                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      27  25  92 CALM      30.36                   
SUTTON*          N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     18 N/A N/A NW36        N/A  WCI  -3          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  25  69 N16         N/A  WCI  23          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     36  27  69 N13         N/A  WCI  27          

$$


Expires:No;;460696
FXUS61 KBTV 130744
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
344 AM EDT WED APR 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE FAIR AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH MILD, SPRINGTIME TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY ONWARD
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ARRIVES BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS INTO THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 245 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS IN GOOD
SHAPE AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION
OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
LINGERING UPPER TROUGH WILL KEEP A FEW CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING, BUT THE OVERALL IDEA OF A TREND TOWARD
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY AFTERNOON STILL LOOKS ON TRACK.
MODEL BLENDED 925-850 MB TEMPERATURES SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 40S NORTH, AND UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S SOUTH, OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW MID-APRIL NORMS. DESPITE THE COOL TEMPERATURES RELATIVELY
LIGHT WINDS AND AMPLE AFTERNOON SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR AN OTHERWISE
NICE DAY.

BY TONIGHT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION WITH
QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. SOME UPPER LEVEL RH/CIRRUS EMBEDDED IN THE
RELATIVELY FAST FLOW ALOFT WILL SKIRT THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING
BUT WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON SENSIBLE CONDITIONS THOUGH MAY
PROVIDE FOR A PHOTOGENIC SUNSET. LOW TEMPERATURES A BLEND OF
AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SHOWING VALUES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO MID 20S WITH A FEW COLDER READINGS IN LOCALIZED HOLLOWS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. WINDS LIGHT. POPS NIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 344 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CRESTING OVER
THE NORTH COUNTRY AND LEAD US TO A BIG BUBBLE WITH NO TROUBLE.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND QUIET WEATHER WITH GENERALLY
NORTHERLY WINDS. TEMPS WILL BE SEASONAL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S AND LOWS THURSDAY EVENING IN UPPER 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 344 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND SHOULD
BE WONDERFUL AS A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS THE NORTH
COUNTRY DRY AND TRENDING WARMER. EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOWS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL
REMAIN SEASONABLE UNDER RADIATIONAL COOLING IN THE 30S. MAX TEMPS
SHOULD CONTINUE TRENDING WARMER WITH A CHANCE AT 70 ON SUNDAY IN
THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. THIS WILL BE A WELCOMED SIGHT AS WE MOVE
TOWARDS SPRING AND FORGET THE WINTER THAT WASNT.

COMING OUT OF THE WEEKEND THE MODELS HAVE FINALLY COME INTO DECENT
AGREEMENT ON TIMING NOW THAT THE GFS HAS SLOWED DOWN HOW QUICKLY
THE BACK DOOR COLD FRONT DROPS OUT OF CANADA. THE CURRENT
CONSENSUS OF TIMING BRINGS THE PRECIP IN DURING MID DAY ON MONDAY
SO WE SHOULD SEE SOME DECENT WARMING BEFORE THAT. THE MAIN
DIFFERENCE NOW BETWEEN MODELS IS HOW COLD THE TEMPS ARE BEHIND
THAT FRONT. THE GFS IS STILL HOLDING ON TO A FAIRLY SHARP THERMAL
GRADIENT WITH FAIRLY COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT HOWEVER I BELIEVE
THIS IS OVERDONE SO I TRENDED THE FORECAST MORE TOWARDS THE
SLIGHTLY WARNING ECMWF SOLUTION. 

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SCT/BKN
CIGS FROM 040-070 AGL TO TREND MAINLY SKC BY 15Z IF NOT SOONER AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WINDS LIGHT
WEST/NORTHWESTERLY 4 TO 8 KTS TRENDING NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY BY THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE ABATING BY 00Z.

OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR/HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 158 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVING SYSTEM
(ASOS) AT THE PLATTSBURGH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (KPBG) IS NOT
TRANSMITTING OBSERVATIONS OUT TO THE REST OF THE WORLD AT THIS
TIME DUE TO A TELEPHONE LINE ISSUE. THE FEDERAL AVIATION
ADMINISTRATION (FAA) ATLANTIC OPERATIONS CONTROL CENTER (AOCC) HAS
BEEN NOTIFIED OF THIS ISSUE. NO ESTIMATE IS AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME
AS TO WHEN THIS PROBLEM WILL BE FIXED.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...DEAL
LONG TERM...DEAL
AVIATION...JMG/MV
EQUIPMENT...WGH

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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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November 2008, Week 4
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November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
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September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 3
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July 2006, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 3
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June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 3
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October 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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