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SKIVT-L  April 2016, Week 4

SKIVT-L April 2016, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 26 Apr 2016 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (221 lines)

Expires:201604262000;;063954
FPUS51 KBTV 260805
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
403 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016


VTZ006-262000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
403 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

.TODAY...SNOW LIKELY OR RAIN THIS MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN OR
SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. 
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. 

$$


Expires:201604261100;;069793
ASUS41 KBTV 261030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-261100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT SNOW  34  30  85 CALM      29.88F FOG              
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  31  30  96 CALM      29.90F VSB 3/4          
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  32  25  75 CALM      29.89F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     37  18  46 MISG      29.87F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    32  20  62 CALM      29.87F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    DRIZZLE   33  33 100 N6        29.85F WCI  28          
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    37  30  75 SE7       29.84S                  
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  36  32  85 NE3       29.87F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    35  14  42 NE5       29.88F WCI  31          
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    31  18  56 N6        29.88F WCI  26          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    45  29  53 VRB7      29.77S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     21 N/A N/A SW12        N/A  WCI   9          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     37  27  65 NW8         N/A  WCI  31          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     36  32  87 NW10        N/A  WCI  28          

$$


Expires:No;;065161
FXUS61 KBTV 260829
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
429 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD BRINGING A PERIOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
AND WET SNOW TO THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS MORNING. WHILE LITTLE OR NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED IN THE IMMEDIATE CHAMPLAIN AND
CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEYS...AN ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS
EXPECTED ABOVE 1000 FEET IN ELEVATION...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL
TOTALS ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND FOR THE SUMMITS OF THE SOUTHERN
GREEN MOUNTAINS. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS QUICKLY WITH
PRECIPITATION ENDING DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS WITH
PARTIAL CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE IN THE DAY. THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WILL FEATURE DRY WEATHER BUT CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FOR LATE APRIL.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 350 AM EDT TUESDAY...INTERESTING SETUP FOR THE NEXT 6-12
HRS WITH VIGOROUS AND COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT IN IR
IMAGERY CENTERED ACROSS NRN LAKE MICHIGAN/NRN LOWER MICHIGAN AT
06Z. STRONG UPPER DIFLUENCE EAST OF THE VORT MAX AND ELEVATED
INSTABILITY RESULTING IN A CONSIDERABLE AMT OF LIGHTNING ACTIVITY
FOR THIS PART OF THE NIGHT ACROSS SERN MICHIGAN/LAKE ERIE/SERN
ONTARIO AREAS. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL INTERACT WITH STRONG SFC-850MB
FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING W-E ACROSS CENTRAL NY INTO SRN NEW
ENGLAND...WITH STRONG SYNOPTIC/MESOSCALE FORCING 09-18Z IMPACTING
ESPECIALLY THE SRN HALF OF OUR CWA THIS MORNING. ANTECEDENT AIR
MASS IS QUITE DRY...WITH LIGHT N-NE FLOW IN FRONTAL ZONE PROVIDING
LOW PBL DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S. THAT SAID...STRONG
SYNOPTIC AND FRONTAL-SCALE DYNAMICS WILL RAPIDLY SATURATE THE
COLUMN AND WILL HAVE EXCELLENT WET BULB COOLING AS PRECIPITATION
COMMENCES. ALREADY GETTING SOME LIGHT SNOW AT SLK/MPV WITH INITIAL
ISENTROPIC ASCENT...WITH LIGHT RAIN DEVELOPING IN THE SRN
CHAMPLAIN AND CT RIVER VALLEYS AT 0745Z. ONE SECTION OF THE CWA
THAT MAY NOT SEE PCPN IS ALONG THE INTL BORDER...FURTHER REMOVED
FROM THE BEST FORCING AND IN DRIER AIR MASS.
OTHERWISE...ANTICIPATE WET SNOW AND LOWER VALLEY RAIN DEVELOPING
AREAWIDE BY DAYBREAK AS DIABATIC COOLING FORCES TEMPS DOWN INTO
THE MID 30S. WET SNOWFLAKES BUT LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED
IN THE IMMEDIATE CHAMPLAIN/CT RIVER VALLEYS (PERHAPS A SLUSHY
COATING IN GRASSY AREAS). HOWEVER...STRONG ELEVATIONAL DEPENDENCE
EXPECTED IN SNOWFALL WITH POTL FOR 1-3" ACROSS THE NRN ADIRONDACKS
INTO THE CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL GREEN MTNS ABOVE 1000'. SHOULD SEE A
FEW 4" SNOWFALL REPORTS FOR GREEN MTN SUMMITS FROM WAITSFIELD DOWN
TO KILLINGTON BY THE TIME THINGS WIND DOWN AT 18Z. GENERALLY BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR POPULATED SECTIONS...SO WILL HANDLE WITH SPS
TOWARD DAYBREAK FOR SOME MINOR TRAVEL SLOWDOWNS ON HIGHER
ELEVATION ROADS...INCLUDING SOME SLUSHY ACCUM POSSIBLE ON I-89
BROOKFIELD AREA. QPF AMTS 0.35-0.45" FOR RUTLAND AND WINDSOR
COUNTIES IN 6-9 HR PERIOD WITH GOOD UVV AND MOISTURE ADVECTION
INTO SRN VT MID MORNING HRS. QPF AROUND 0.25" FOR BTV AND 0.10" OR
LESS TOWARD THE INTL BORDER WITH STRONG PRECIP GRADIENT EXPECTED
ON NRN FRINGE OF PRECIPITATION SHIELD. 2-M TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE
MID-UPR 30S...BUT RECOVERING BACK INTO THE LOWER 40S MID-LATE AFTN
WITH PARTIAL SUNSHINE AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEPARTS TO OUR EAST.

QUIET AND MAINLY CLEAR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES SEWD FROM
NRN ONTARIO. CHILLY AIR MASS FOR LATE APRIL WITH LOWS TONIGHT
MAINLY LOW-MID 20S NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...AND UPR 20S FOR
S-CENTRAL VT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 429 AM EDT TUESDAY...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE
BUILDS OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. MID
LEVEL TROUGH WILL KEEP SOME CLOUDS OVER THE REGION WITH ONLY
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EMBEDDED VORT MOVES THROUGH
THE BASE OF TROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

COME THURSDAY, THE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES NORTH AND EAST. AS THIS
TROUGH EXITS, SOUTHERN STREAM MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL TRAVERSE
FROM KANSAS/NEBRASKA AREA EASTWARD TOWARD CHICAGO BY THURSDAY
NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE THIS FEATURE WILL BE REFLECTED AS WEAK LOW
PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. LOW WILL TRANSLATE
OFFSHORE FRIDAY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO KEEP THE NORTH COUNTRY DRY,
ALTHOUGH SOME CLOUDS MAY OVER OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM, DRY AIR WILL FILTER IN ON NW FLOW WITH
PERIODS OF SUNSHINE DRYING OUT FINE DEAD FUELS. BUT WINDS WILL BE
GENERALLY LIGHT LESS THAN 12KTS SUSTAINED AND GUSTS LESS THAN
20KTS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH A WARMING TREND
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 429 AM EDT TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT MODELS
DISPLAYING LOTS OF DISPARITY WITH REGARD TO TIMING AND TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...DEVELOPING MVFR TO IFR IN WET SNOW MAINLY
09-18Z WITH HIR TRRN OBSCD. LESSER POTL FOR PRECIPITATION NEAR THE
INTL BORDER...SO MSS SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY VFR. SLUSHY ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE AT MPV...AND 1-2" SNOWFALL AT SLK CAUSING SOME IMPACT FOR
GROUND OPERATIONS THIS MORNING. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION AT THE
REMAINING TAF SITES...BUT MVFR TO INTERVALS OF IFR CONDITIONS DUE
TO WET SNOW THRU 17-18Z...MIXING WITH RAIN AT TIMES AT ONSET AND
AGAIN LATE MORNING. IMPROVING BACK TO VFR WITH CLEARING SKIES MID
AND LATE AFTN AND GENERALLY SKC WITH UNRESTRICTED VSBY TONIGHT.
WINDS GENERALLY N-NE AT 10KTS OR LESS, BECOMING LIGHT NW TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS
NEAR TERM...BANACOS
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...BANACOS/SLW

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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October 2010, Week 3
October 2010, Week 2
October 2010, Week 1
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September 2010, Week 3
September 2010, Week 2
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August 2010, Week 3
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August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
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January 2010, Week 4
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December 2009, Week 5
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October 2009, Week 3
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October 2009, Week 1
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September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
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August 2009, Week 4
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August 2009, Week 1
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July 2009, Week 3
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July 2009, Week 1
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June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 1
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June 2008, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
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March 2002, Week 1
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