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SKIVT-L  May 2016, Week 2

SKIVT-L May 2016, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 9 May 2016 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (216 lines)

Expires:201605092000;;693605
FPUS51 KBTV 091024
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
622 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2016


VTZ006-092000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
622 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2016

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...
BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PATCHY FROST IN THE MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S.

$$


Expires:201605091100;;693697
ASUS41 KBTV 091030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON MAY 09 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-091100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 38 25 59 W7 29.93R
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 34 25 69 NW8 29.92R WCI 27
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 34 22 61 VRB5 29.92R WCI 30
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 35 24 64 MISG 29.87R
LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 32 26 77 W6 29.89R WCI 26
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 38 26 61 N9 29.94R WCI 31
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 36 32 85 NW3 29.93R
SPRINGFIELD MOCLDY 38 32 79 NW7 29.90R
HIGHGATE* FAIR 34 25 71 W6 29.94R WCI 29
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 32 22 68 W12G20 29.89R WCI 23
BENNINGTON MOCLDY 45 36 70 W7 29.90R
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 21 N/A N/A NW35 N/A WCI 2

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 39 30 70 NW9 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 39 28 65 N10 N/A

$$


Expires:No;;687178
FXUS61 KBTV 090759
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
359 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE
TO PROVIDE THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH VARIABLE CLOUDINESS, BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND SOME ISOLATED MOUNTAIN RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR TONIGHT, WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS LEADING TO VERY UNSEASONABLE LOWS AND
AREAS OF FROST AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING.
AFTER TONIGHT, DRY WEATHER PERSISTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. OUR
NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ARRIVES ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 334 AM EDT MONDAY...SPRING IN THE NORTH COUNTRY, LOVE IT OR
HATE IT, IT DEFINITELY KEEPS YOU ON YOUR TOES WEATHER-WISE. THE
LAST 24 HOURS HAVE BEEN QUITE CHANGEABLE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
SHIFTED THROUGH THE REGION PROVIDING A GOOD SLUG OF PRECIPITATION,
GUSTY WINDS, AND NOW UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH
SOME SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND EVEN
AT BTV! YUP, IT FLURRIED AT BTV EARLY THIS MORNING, NOT CAPTURED
ON THE OB BUT WE SAW IT ON OUR ROOF CAM. WE'LL HAVE ANOTHER
UNSETTLED DAY ON TAP TODAY UNFORTUNATELY AS DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE CONTINUES TO PROVIDE A
CHILLY WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WITH SOME WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY
DROPPING INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON POSSIBLY SPARKING A FEW
ISOLATED VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. OVERALL,
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE LARGELY DRY UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES, BUT IT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE BLUSTERY AS STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES DEVELOP CONTRIBUTING TO GUSTY WINDS ON ORDER OF 25-35 MPH.
MEAN 925MB TEMPS OF ONLY +3-6C THIS AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT HIGHS
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY IN THE MID/UPPER 40S MOUNTAINS TO LOW/MID 50S
VALLEYS.

FOR TONIGHT, THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY BEGINS TO SHIFT OFFSHORE AND
WHILE THE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS CYCLONIC OVER THE BTV CWA, SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD FROM JAMES BAY ALLOWING WINDS TO
ABATE AND SKIES TO CLEAR. THIS WILL CREATE IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND WITH 925MB TEMPS FALLING BACK TOWARDS 0C
IT'LL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD FOR MAY STANDARDS. TO PUT HOW COLD IT
WILL BE IN PERSPECTIVE, AREA RECORD LOWS FOR TUESDAY MORNING ARE
IN THE MID 20S, AND MY FORECAST LOWS ARE ONLY A HANDFUL DEGREES
ABOVE THAT RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND
EASTERN VERMONT, TO THE LOW/MID 30S IN THE DEEPER CHAMPLAIN AND
ST. LAWRENCE VALLEYS. GROWING SEASON FOR THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
BEGAN ON MAY 1ST, AND WITH TEMPS HOVERING JUST ABOVE FREEZING
WE'VE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL
8AM. IF YOU HAVE ANY SENSITIVE PLANTS OR VEGETATION OUTSIDE,
YOU'LL NEED TO TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 359 AM EDT MONDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES
EXPECTED. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER 60S AND
THEN CLIMBING TO THE UPPER 60S ON WEDNESDAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 359 AM EDT MONDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. HIGHS ON THURSDAY
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S.

ECMWF AND GFS MODELS SHOWING TIMING DIFFERENCES LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. GFS MODEL IS MORE PROGRESSIVE THEN THE ECMWF
MODELS AND BRINGS A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK
AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
IS SLOWER WITH THIS APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND HAS AN UPPER RIDGE
OVER NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS KEEPS ANY RAIN SHOWER
ACTIVITY CONFINED TO WESTERN NEW YORK STATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
KEEPS THE NORTH COUNTRY DRY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF MODEL IS
ALSO SLOWER IN BRINGING RAIN SHOWERS TO THE REGION ON FRIDAY AS
WELL. HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH THE SUPER-BLEND POPS FOR LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVER
NORTHERN NEW YORK LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...GIVEN MODEL TIMING DIFFERENCES.

MODELS SHOWING AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SO HAVE FOLLOWED THE SUPER-BLEND POPS AND
WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THROUGH 06Z
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD OUTSIDE OF A FEW
IFR/MVFR SNOW SHOWERS AT KSLK OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. BKN-
OVC MID DECK ACROSS THE REGION WILL TREND TOWARDS SCT-BKN BY
SUNRISE AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING
TO SKC AFTER 00Z. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
MID-DAY HOURS, MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH AREAL
COVERAGE TOO LITTLE TO EVEN MENTION VCSH IN THE TAFS. WINDS WILL
BE THE BIGGEST AVIATION CONCERN TODAY BEING <10KTS OVERNIGHT, BUT
WILL QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO GUSTS OF 20-30KTS BY MID-MORNING FROM
THE WEST/NORTHWEST. WINDS ABATE AFTER 00Z, RETURNING TO LIGHT AS
SKIES TREND SKC.

OUTLOOK 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
06Z TUE - 00Z FRI: VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
00Z FRI - 00Z SAT: VFR TRENDING TO MVFR IN SHOWERS ALONG A COLD
FRONT PASSAGE. GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LLWS POSSIBLE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR VTZ002-005-
     009.
NY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR NYZ028-035.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...LAHIFF

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
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May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
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November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 4
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September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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February 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
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August 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 3
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 2
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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January 2002, Week 1
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May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
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April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
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February 1999, Week 2
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