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SKIVT-L  August 2016, Week 5

SKIVT-L August 2016, Week 5

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 30 Aug 2016 06:50:04 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (206 lines)

Expires:201608302000;;678225
FPUS51 KBTV 300704
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
302 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016


VTZ006-302000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
302 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

.TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...
BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

$$


Expires:201608301100;;686778
ASUS41 KBTV 301030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-301100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    57  52  83 SE3       30.17R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       50  50 100 CALM      30.23R VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       51  50  96 CALM      30.21R VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     53  51  93 MISG      30.18R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       51  50  97 CALM      30.21S VSB<1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      53  53 100 CALM      30.18S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    52  49  89 SE10      30.19F                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       50  48  93 W3        30.20S VSB 3/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      55  55  97 SE3       30.16S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      51  51  99 SW5       30.18F                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     49  46  90 CALM      30.20R                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     45 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A NW10        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     63  59  88 SE12        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  61  88 S12         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     59  57  94 SE5         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;678345
FXUS61 KBTV 300707
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
307 AM EDT Tue Aug 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Fair and seasonable late summer weather is expected today as high
pressure drifts atop and east of the area. A surface trough will
approach the region later tonight and pass south on Wednesday with
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Behind this feature dry
and cooler weather return for Thursday onward into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 303 AM EDT Tuesday...Another outstanding late summer day is
expected across the region as elongated surface high pressure
bridges overhead and offshore by this evening. Model blended 925
mb thermal progs are running around 18C by this afternoon which
support highs from 76 to 82 under light southerly breezes. Mid to
upper level debris clouds will be drifting atop the area over time
but the general idea of mostly to partly sunny appears reasonable
at this point.

By tonight a well advertised surface trough will approach from the
north and west along with a broad increase in cloud cover as heights
gradually fall in advance of evolving upper trough and cold front
digging south across central Canada. Low level convergence along
this feature combined with steepening mid-level lapse rates and
climbing PWATS into the 1.0 to 1.5 inch range warrant continuation
of increased shower/isolated storm threat across the northern third
of the forecast area from late evening onward (25-35%). Further
south mainly dry weather will continue. Light southerly flow
continues, keeping temperatures milder than tonight - mid 50s to
lower 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 305 AM EDT Tuesday...Strong Upper level low and trough will drop
down across region Thu but ahead of this main feature...falling
heights and surface cold front will bring about scattered showers
and thunderstorms wed-wed ngt. Models all indicate lots of clouds
and moisture around wed thus instability largely stays in-check but
some sunshine will allow for capes to approach 1000j/kg thus some
sct thunderstorms but wind field light.

The progress of the front is somewhat slow awaiting the upper level
low and shortwave thus shower threat will linger across vt...esp
eastern sections thru the overnight.

Thursday: Deep shortwave dropping across fa with crashing heights
and surface front still just along new england coast. Enough
instability and it will look and begin to feel like autumn on this
first day of September with mountain showers and daytime highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Thursday night: Trough continues to rotate across fa with cold air
advection thus likely still see some cloudiness but drier air
working in toward morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 305 AM EDT Tuesday...Deep trough begins to slide east of area 
with surface high building across region Fri. 850mb temps of 6-8C
and 925 mb temps 12-14c suggest 60s to around 70 across the area
despite increasing sunshine. The cold pool is across the region
fri ngt with min T in the 40s across much of the fa and can't rule
out some upper 30s for KSLK and NE VT. Don't believe frost will be
in the picture.

Ridge at all levels dominates the region through the holiday
weekend. The coldest Sat morning but moderating with bright sunshine
and ridging at all levels gradually shifting east with
time...allowing daytime highs to rebound into L-M70s Sat,approaching
80F on Sunday and Lower 80s Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Mainly VFR through the period. Exceptions
at KMPV/KSLK/KMSS where patchy IFR/LIFR br/fg expected in the 06Z-12Z
time frame. Winds light and variable overnight (southeasterly 5-10
kts at KRUT), trending south to southwesterly 5 to 10 kts
(southeasterly at KPG) after 12Z. Skies generally SKC-SCT250,
trending SCT/BKN from 150-250 AGL after 00Z Wednesday.

Outlook 06Z Wednesday through Saturday...VFR conditions expected
through 12Z Wednesday. A cold front moving south from Canada on
Wednesday will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms to the
region with some areas of MVFR and IFR possible.

Expecting mainly VFR conditions from 06Z Thursday through Sunday,
as a ridge of high pressure over the western Great Lakes and
Canada builds slowly east into the region through the period.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...SLW
LONG TERM...SLW
AVIATION...JMG/Sisson

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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