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SKIVT-L  November 2016, Week 4

SKIVT-L November 2016, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 28 Nov 2016 06:50:03 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (238 lines)

Expires:201611282100;;059568
FPUS51 KBTV 281127
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
625 AM EST MON NOV 28 2016


VTZ006-282100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSON AND STOWE
625 AM EST MON NOV 28 2016

.TODAY...CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...RAIN WITH POSSIBLE SLEET OR SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING...
THEN DRIZZLE LIKELY WITH RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 1 INCH. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE. NEAR STEADY
TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN
80 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.

$$


Expires:201611281200;;059733
ASUS41 KBTV 281130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON NOV 28 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-281200-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    33  24  69 NW7       30.16R WCI  27
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    28  22  78 NW10G16   30.13R WCI  19
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  28  24  85 CALM      30.14R FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     31  22  69 MISG      30.10R
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    28  22  79 W5        30.11R WCI  22
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    31  26  81 CALM      30.15S
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    31  25  78 NW5       30.14R WCI  26
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    32  22  66 W3        30.13R
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    30  24  77 W3        30.17R
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    27  22  82 SW5       30.12R WCI  22
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     20  18  92 CALM      30.13R
ISLAND POND*     N/A     27 N/A N/A W6          N/A  WCI  20
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     30 N/A N/A MISG        N/A
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     16 N/A N/A CALM        N/A

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     34  27  75 W14         N/A  WCI  24
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  28  80 NW8         N/A  WCI  27
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     34  27  75 NW7         N/A  WCI  28

$$


Expires:No;;060075
FXUS61 KBTV 281134
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
634 AM EST Mon Nov 28 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A ridge of high pressure will build into the region today
bringing dry weather and increasing amounts of sunshine. The dry
weather will be short lived however as a large trough of low
pressure will move toward the region later tonight and
especially on Tuesday. CLouds will be on the increase tonight
and precipitation will become widespread across the area during
the early and mid morning hours on Tuesday. There may be a brief
period of mixed precipitation at the onset...especially east of
the Green Mountains in Vermont.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 634 AM EST Monday...Overall going forecast in good shape.
Only tweak this morning is to slow down the clearing of the
clouds as northwest flow aloft helping to hold quite a bit of
cloud cover in place. It now looks like mid-late morning for
better clearing to take place. The northwest flow aloft will
remain in place through much of the day. The upper ridge axis
will not move into the region until tonight. The net result
will be for the shallow moisture in this flow to stick around
longer with sunshine developing from southwest to northeast as
the afternoon wears on. North central and northeast Vermont will
be the last to clear out. High temperatures will generally be
in the 30s.

For tonight...quiet weather expected for the first half of the
night as upper ridge axis moves across the area. After midnight
it passes to the east and southwest flow aloft develops. This
allows a surge of moisture and warm air advection to move into
the region with precipitation increasing in areal coverage
toward sunrise. Thermal profile suggests some light mixed
precipitation will be possible at the onset...but any of the
mixed precipitation will be brief and very light. A little
better chance for mixed precipitation will exist Tuesday morning
east of the Greens. See discussion below for details.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 317 AM EST Monday...Forecast remains generally on track
for our upcoming system which will affect the North Country
through the week beginning early Tuesday morning, and continuing
through the first half of the weekend with periods of
precipitation expected. Vertically stacked upper level
low/trough over the northern plains will be the main driver with
surface low pressure developing over the Ohio River Valley
early Tuesday morning. As the low lifts through the northeast, a
strong warm/occluded front will push through the North Country
during the day Tuesday, and east of the area by Tuesday
evening/night. Thermal profiles initially will support a mixed
bag at the onset of precipitation, mainly in the form of sleet
and snow, but as the boundary layer warms sufficiently by mid-
day plain rain and/or drizzle is expected through the remainder
of the period. Temperatures will be quite tricky as a strong low
/mid-level jet accompanies the front, with south/southwesterly
downslope flow supporting highs in the 50s in the
central/southern St. Lawrence Valley to mid 40s across the
northern St. Lawrence and Champlain Valleys as well as the
Adirondacks. Across eastern Vermont though, low level cold air
likely to remain trapped through a good portion of the day with
the flow highly blocked, so don't think temps will get out of
the upper 30s there.

Precipitation wanes going into the overnight hours as deeper moisture
shifts east of the area and is replaced by a mid-level dry slot.
Skies stay fairly cloud so lows only drop off a little bit, remaining
fairly mild for late November holding in the mid 30s east to low
40s west.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 317 AM EST Monday...Deep low pressure over the northern
Plains Tuesday will continue to be the dominant weather feature
for the North Country through much of the long term period as it
tracks eastward into the Great Lakes Wednesday, across southern
Ontario/Quebec Thursday/Friday, and offshore on the weekend.

Wednesday starts cloudy and relatively precipitation free, but
another wave of low pressure developing along the northern Gulf
Coast moves quickly northeast into southern New England by the
afternoon bringing another round of precipitation to the region
through Wednesday night. Temps will continue to be very mild running
in the mid 40s to low 50s supporting rain as the ptype, with
possibly a little wet snow atop the high peaks towards precip end
early Thursday morning.

For the remainder of the week and into the weekend as the upper low
drifts through the Northeast, temperatures return to more seasonal
normals with highs returning to the 30s and lows mainly in the 20s.
Lots of low/mid level moisture combined with modestly weak forcing
on west/northwest flow will support continued cloudy conditions with
scattered, mainly orographically forced rain/snow shower activity
each day.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
Through 12Z Tuesday...Expect widespread MVFR ceilings through
about 15z before areal coverage of clouds decreases and VFR
conditions develop through about 09z. Clouds will be increasing
after 09z and VFR/MVFR ceilings will develop. Visibilities will
be in the VFR category through the period. Winds will generally
be under 10 knots.

Outlook 12z Tuesday through Friday...Ceilings and visibilities
will be lowering quickly on Tuesday with widespread
precipitation moving into the region. Expect MVFR/IFR conditions
to develop as a result. Watch for gusty winds on Tuesday as
well...especially at KRUT. Precipitation ends Tuesday night but
more precipitation moves in on Wednesday and continues off and
on through Friday. This will result in VFR/MVFR conditions with
periods of IFR in precipitation.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Evenson

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 2
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February 2008, Week 5
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January 2008, Week 3
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December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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