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SKIVT-L  December 2016, Week 2

SKIVT-L December 2016, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 8 Dec 2016 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (212 lines)

Expires:201612082100;;558457
FPUS51 KBTV 080832
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EST THU DEC 8 2016


VTZ006-082100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSON AND STOWE
330 AM EST THU DEC 8 2016

.TODAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW
ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. LOWS AROUND 20.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 12. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 10 ABOVE.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
20.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 30.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.

$$


Expires:201612081200;;565667
ASUS41 KBTV 081130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU DEC 08 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-081200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 35 29 78 S9 29.85S WCI 28
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 30 26 85 VRB3 29.86F
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 29 27 92 SW3 29.85F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 29 28 96 MISG 29.84F
LYNDONVILLE* MOCLDY N/A N/A N/A SE6 29.83F FOG
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 35 27 74 SE3 29.87S
RUTLAND* PTCLDY 33 25 72 SE3 29.88F
SPRINGFIELD FOG 27 26 96 CALM 29.90F VSB 1/2
HIGHGATE* MOCLDY 33 29 86 S7 29.82F WCI 27
NEWPORT* FAIR 30 26 86 S7 29.82F WCI 23
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 29 26 89 SE5 29.90F WCI 24
SUTTON* N/A 27 N/A N/A MISG N/A
ISLAND POND* N/A 30 N/A N/A S1 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 27 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 25 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 21 N/A N/A W30G41 N/A WCI 3

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 37 32 81 SE15 N/A WCI 28
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 39 32 75 SW17 N/A WCI 30
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 36 32 87 S10 N/A WCI 28

$$


Expires:No;;561388
FXUS61 KBTV 080934
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
434 AM EST Thu Dec 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Some rain and snow showers will be over the north country today
and tonight. Much colder air will move south from Canada tonight
with high temperatures from Friday through Sunday only in the
20s. A weak ridge of high pressure will be over the region on
Saturday, with fair and dry weather expected. There will be
chance for snow showers across the north country from Sunday
through Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 434 AM EST Thursday...Composite radar loop showing lake
effect snow band moving northeast from Lake Ontario across
southeastern Saint Lawrence county at this time. Have maintained
the lake effect snow advisory for there for today. 00Z BTV 4Km
model has a good depiction of this in its forecast for today
which also takes this band into southern Franklin county in
northern New York. Expecting most of this lake effect snow band
will be mainly south of route 3 in northern New York. Expecting
3 to 5 inches of snow across portions of southern Franklin
county today, mainly south of route 3, but this is below
advisory criteria. BTV 4 KM model moves this lake effect snow
band south of the region by 20Z (3 PM) this afternoon, and keeps
this band south of the region tonight. Current lake effect snow
advisory runs until midnight tonight. However, if BTV 4 KM is
correct, than the lake effect snow advisory could be cancelled
late this afternoon.

Expecting rain and snow showers to develop across the remainder
of the region today. BTV 4 KM model shows a band of precipitation
moving south from northern Vermont this afternoon. Have gone
with mainly chance pops across the remainder of the region for
today, except likely pops over portions of northern Vermont this
afternoon.

Colder air filters into the region tonight, so will continue
with chance pops for snow showers tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 338 AM EST Thursday... 500mb trough with embedded
vorticity will see continued chance for snow showers Friday,
followed by slight ridging Friday night/early Saturday morning.
Overall NW flow and Froude forecasts support light orographic
snow showers. Surface high pressure builds in late Saturday,
bringing an end to snow showers across the regions.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 338 AM EST Thursday...Active pattern continues in the
long term with multiple shortwave energy moving through the
North Country. The first arrives Sunday with snow showers. This
looks to be followed by a more significant system Monday.
Currently 00Z guidance showers surface low moving from the Ohio
River valley to the coast, mainly on Sunday night into Monday.
Complicated forecast as surface high pressure resides over
eastern Canada, keeping cooler air over the region in ESE/SE
flow. Model guidance continues to diverge on solutions for the
middle of next week with regard to large mid level low. Slightly
below temperatures continue throughout the period.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
Through 06Z Friday...Mainly VFR conditions across the region
with some low to mid clouds holding in at SLK. The VFR
conditions still continue through the rest of the overnight
hours before trending towards MVFR for northern New York and
MPV. Expect snow showers to move into SLK between 10-12z
tomorrow as a lake effect snow band will waffle north and south.
Due to lack of exact timing I opted to prevail MVFR but I do
anticipate periods of IFR in snow showers. The other additional
TAF concern is for BTV and MPV as there will be the potential
for a snow squall to develop during the afternoon on Thursday. I
opted to mention this via a tempo group for the BTV taf between
15-18z. Light southerly winds at 05-10 knots overnight should
give way to a southwesterly direction tomorrow with the St
Lawrence Valley also seeing a gustier 10-20 knots in the
afternoon.

Outlook 06Z Friday through Monday...After 00z Friday snow
showers become confined mainly to the mountains with ifr
conditions lingering at mpv/slk through 12z Friday. Mvfr cigs
linger at slk/mpv on Friday with vfr developing Friday night
into Sunday. Next system arrives on Sunday afternoon with
another widespread light snow event. This system will produce
widespread ifr conditions between 18z Sunday into 12z Monday.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...Lake Effect Snow Advisory until midnight EST tonight for
     NYZ029.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...WGH
NEAR TERM...WGH
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...Deal/Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 2
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February 2008, Week 5
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January 2008, Week 3
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December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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