Expires:201612202100;;172650
FPUS51 KBTV 200854
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
351 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2016


VTZ006-202100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSON AND STOWE
351 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2016

.TODAY...SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 20S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW
60 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. 
.CHRISTMAS DAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 15. 
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT. 

$$


Expires:201612201200;;179495
ASUS41 KBTV 201130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-201200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     16   2  54 S9        30.54F WCI   4          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    -5  -8  87 CALM      30.53F                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    -5 -11  75 CALM      30.55S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     -9 -14  78 MISG      30.57F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR     -10 -14  82 CALM      30.53F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      14   2  58 S5        30.55F WCI   6          
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY     3  -2  79 SE9       30.55F WCI -12          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    -7 -12  79 CALM      30.61F                  
HIGHGATE*        N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
NEWPORT*       FAIR       4  -4  69 S8        30.50F WCI  -9          
BENNINGTON     CLEAR      2  -2  83 CALM      30.55F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A    -15 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A    -11 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     -9 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      5 N/A N/A W20         N/A  WCI -15          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     21  10  63 NW22        N/A  WCI   5          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     19  16  86 S24         N/A  WCI   2          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     16   9  73 S13         N/A  WCI   2          

$$


Expires:No;;173387
FXUS61 KBTV 200905
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
405 AM EST Tue Dec 20 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Quiet weather is expected over the next 24 hours as high pressure 
controls regional conditions. Temperatures moderate for the 
remainder of the work week with the next decent chance of light rain 
or snow showers occurring on Thursday with a weak system passing 
north of the area.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 352 AM EST Tuesday...High pressure has lead to 
radiational cooling overnight leading to quite a difficult near 
term temp forecast. Across eastern Vermont once the clouds 
cleared radiational cooling dropped temps into the teens below 
zero. However then light southerly winds kicked in and brought 
most off those areas back into the single digits above. At MSS 
at midnight it was 2F and less than a half an hour later it was 
16F.

The high pressure continues to drift off to the east by 
daybreak and thus southerly return flow will strengthen. Expect 
the winds to channel up the Champlain valley and become quite 
gusty at times with 20-25kts likely towards the late afternoon. 
There may be some gusty winds across the Saint Lawrence valley 
as well however the orientation of the winds being slight more 
southerly than southwesterly should decrease the amount of 
valley forced funneling that occurs. Otherwise expect mostly 
clear skies and dry weather through the afternoon.

Late in the overnight hours, a weak shortwave will pass to our
north but some of the energy should drop far enough south that
we get some orographic snow flurries to develop. The flow is 
quite strong as the 700mb winds will be 50-60kts however the
direction is southwest rather than northwest so its not the best
setup for any significant snow. I've only got a dusting to half
an inch in the forecast. Temps this evening should continue the
non diurnal trend and moderately warm throughout the evening 
with the lows in the teens across eastern VT and mid 20s 
elsewhere.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 352 AM EST Tuesday...Weak shortwave trough moves across 
eastern Canada on Wednesday and we are on the tail end of any 
forcing. Mountains appear to have the best potential of seeing 
any precipitation and going forecast of a chance of snow showers
looks real good. High temperatures will generally be in the 
30s. A more noticeably shortwave trough approaches the region 
Wednesday night and moves across the area on Thursday. 
Widespread precipitation is expected with this 
feature...starting as light snow everywhere and then mixing with
light rain in the larger valleys. A dusting to two inches is 
expected late Wednesday night through midday on Thursday...with 
additional light accumulations for the mountains Thursday 
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 352 AM EST Tuesday...Precipitation begins to taper off 
Thursday night and become more confined to the mountains as the 
night wears on. Perhaps an additional inch falls over the higher
terrain. High pressure builds in for drier weather on Friday 
and Friday night...but pattern is rather progressive and another
shortwave trough moves across the region on Saturday for a 
slight chance/chance of rain and snow showers. Trends in the 
data now suggest Christmas Day will be dry...but increasing 
chances for light snow late Christmas Day night and rain or snow
on Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...VFR through the period. Band of VFR cigs
moving across the north country in weak wave, however clearing
behind for clear skies for much of the daylight hours. vfr cigs
in the St. Lawrence valley & northern Adirondacks KMSS/KSLK taf
sites as moisture off lake Ontario advects north in southerly 
flow. Light lake effect snow near the lake in the southwest St. 
Lawrence valley but not expected to reach KMSS. Toward 06z 
mid/high level clouds begin to move in advance of next system. 
Calm winds KSLK/KMPV, with usual southeast drainage wind at 
KRUT, channeled south wind at KBTV/KPBG, and southwest wind in 
St. Lawrence VAlley for KMSS. Wind to increase to 8-12 kts and 
become gusty during the day. 

Outlook 06z Wednesday through Saturday...

06z Wednesday to 06Z Thursday...Generally VFR. A few mountain 
snow showers possible Wednesday with brief MVFR, mainly at 
KSLK.

06Z Thursday to 12Z Friday...VFR with periods of MVFR/IFR in 
rain/snow showers mainly in higher terrain and KSLK/KMPV TAF
sites.

12Z Friday onward...VFR with high pressure.

&&

.MARINE...
Strong channeled southerly flow will see winds 20-30kts through
the morning increase to 25-35kts this afternoon and evening.
This will cause very choppy conditions on the lake especially
for any southward facing bay. Winds are expected to continue to
strengthen throughout the day before slowly dropping back below
lake wind advisory criteria by daybreak on Wednesday.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Deal
NEAR TERM...Deal
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Hanson
MARINE...Deal

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