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SKIVT-L  January 2017, Week 2

SKIVT-L January 2017, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 12 Jan 2017 06:50:05 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (236 lines)

Expires:201701122100;;379727
FPUS51 KBTV 121037
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
534 AM EST THU JAN 12 2017


VTZ006-122100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSON AND STOWE
534 AM EST THU JAN 12 2017

.TODAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE
OF SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 1 INCH. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TEMPERATURE FALLING TO AROUND 15 IN
THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS AROUND 4 BELOW.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 16. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE.
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 30.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

$$


Expires:201701121200;;381942
ASUS41 KBTV 121130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU JAN 12 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-121200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON LGT RAIN 46 41 82 S17G29 29.81F
MONTPELIER LGT RAIN 40 37 89 S10 29.89F
MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 40 35 83 S3 29.85F
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 42 36 79 MISG 29.87F
LYNDONVILLE* RAIN 39 36 89 SE8G18 29.88F
MIDDLEBURY* LGT RAIN 46 34 64 S9 29.87S
RUTLAND* LGT RAIN 44 42 93 SE9 29.88F
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 38 35 89 CALM 29.96F
HIGHGATE* RAIN 44 41 91 S14G24 29.78F
NEWPORT* RAIN 39 37 90 S13G20 29.83S WCI 32
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 49 43 80 SW8 29.92F
SUTTON* N/A 37 N/A N/A MISG N/A
ISLAND POND* N/A 43 N/A N/A S6 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 34 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 36 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 36 N/A N/A SW31G55 N/A WCI 22

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 43 39 87 S26G32 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 43 43 100 S33 N/A WCI 32
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 45 41 87 S24 N/A

$$


Expires:No;;382204
FXUS61 KBTV 121134
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
634 AM EST Thu Jan 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Above normal temperatures will continue for one more day today. In
addition...expect fairly widespread rain across the area as highs
will be in the 40s to around 50. A cold front will move into the
region early tonight and begin to usher in colder air for Friday and
the remainder of the weekend. Drier weather is also expected for the
weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 535 AM EST Thursday...Going forecast in good shape with
no big changes needed at this time. Moisture continues to surge
northeast into the region early this morning and rain chances
will be increasing as a result. Temperatures are generally in
the 40s...thus precipitation will be in the form of rain. There
should be a little lull in the precipitation later this morning
and early afternoon before another surge of moisture moves
through and widespread rain exists once again. During this break
we should see our warmest temperatures will highs well into the
40s to around 50.

Cold front quickly pushes across the region early tonight bringing
the majority of the precipitation to an end...although west to
northwest flow aloft will promote some orographic showers overnight.
Temperatures will be falling and therefore this precipitation will
be in the form of snow showers...but at this time any accumulations
in the mountains should be less than an inch.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 353 AM EST Thursday...Flow will become northwesterly
following frontal passage and some upslope snow showers are
expected on Friday. Guidance has trended towards the moisture
exiting even faster following the front so I dont anticipate
much snow anywhere other than above 2500 feet. Summits can
expect 1-2" inches while precip ends very quickly Friday
morning. Bufkit soundings from the nam4km and local BTV4 wrf
show pretty good mixing Friday afternoon so I've continued to
show gusts of 20-30 mph possible. By Friday night a large ridge
of surface high pressure and colder air move into the region.
With strong cold air advection temperatures crash Friday night
into the single digits above and below zero. The typical colder
hollows of the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom will likely see
teens below zero.

With the rapid warmth on Thursday, and the precip overnight on
Thursday, we expect there will be some ice movement on Friday.
Rivers such as the Ausable, Passumpsic, Lamoille, and
Missisquoi likely have seen pretty good ice development over
the past few nights. Then with the warmth and precip expect
sharp rises in the water levels leading to the ice breaking up.
The unknown factor is how thick the ice is, but even so with the
low sun angle its most likely firm ice than we'd see in late
Spring. Thus we'd expect the ice to be capable of jamming
quickly. Will continue to actively watch river levels for the
possibility of some localized flooding on Friday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 418 AM EST Thursday...A broad dome of high pressure will
build in over the weekend and dominate the weather pattern
through the early portion of next week. Expect quiet sensible
weather under broad subsidence and radiational cold nights in
the single digits to lower teens. Trends in the latest runs of
medium range guidance still point to the weather staying quiet
until Tuesday so I've kept any mention of showers out until
Tuesday.

Tuesday an upper level shortwave trough with a corresponding
surface low track up through the Great Lakes region.
Unfortunately as has been the case for most of this winter,
with a low that tracks to the north and west of us, we'll be
looking at slight chances for snow that end up transitioning to
mostly rain as we get into the warm sector of the low. 850mb
winds with this system range from 40-50kts and are oriented
right up the Saint Lawrence valley so we'll have to keep an eye
on how much ends up funneling up the valleys, similar to the
previous wind event. However the winds at this point dont appear
to be quite as strong.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
Through 12Z Friday...First area of rain is moving across the
area this morning and is essentially producing MVFR/VFR ceilings
and VFR visibilities. This first area of precipitation will exit
the area around 15z...but another area of rain will move back in
between 18z and 00z and produce MVFR conditions. The rain ends
shortly after 00z and visibilities will improve back into the
VFR category while ceilings remain in the MVFR/VFR categories.
Gusty south to southwest winds will exist through 00z before
becoming west after 00z.

Outlook 12Z Friday through Monday...

12Z Friday through 00z Saturday...Trending VFR with cold front
moving through the area. May see scattered -SHSN especially on
western slopes and higher elevations with the frontal passage
early Friday morning.

00z Saturday onward...Primarily VFR with surface high pressure.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Anticipate sharp within bank rises Thursday through Friday
associated with rainfall amounts of 0.2 to 0.5" and higher
elevation snowmelt due to highs in the 40s Wed/Thu, and
overnight lows holding above freezing. While the rainfall
amounts are not significant by itself, expect ice breakup as the
water levels rise which may cause localized ice jam flooding
Thursday/Friday. Will continue to actively watch river levels
for the possibility of some localized flooding especially
Friday morning.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Deal
LONG TERM...Deal
AVIATION...Evenson/Hanson
HYDROLOGY...Banacos/Hanson/Deal

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
November 2005, Week 5
November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
December 2004, Week 4
December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
November 2003, Week 4
November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
October 2003, Week 5
October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
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September 2003, Week 3
September 2003, Week 2
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June 2003, Week 1
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May 2003, Week 3
May 2003, Week 2
May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 3
April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 3
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March 2003, Week 1
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February 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
May 2002, Week 4
May 2002, Week 3
May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
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August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
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June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
May 2001, Week 2
May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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January 2001, Week 3
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March 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
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May 1999, Week 2
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March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 1
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February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
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January 1999, Week 1
December 1998, Week 5
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