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SKIVT-L  January 2017, Week 3

SKIVT-L January 2017, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 21 Jan 2017 06:50:04 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (249 lines)

Expires:201701212100;;849025
FPUS51 KBTV 211112
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
609 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017


VTZ006-212100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSON AND STOWE
609 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

.TODAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND
SLEET THIS MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRIZZLE UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR SLEET LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN OR SLEET OR SNOW LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SLEET LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS OR SLEET. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 30. 

$$


Expires:201701211200;;849825
ASUS41 KBTV 211130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-211200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     DRIZZLE   37  35  92 S3        29.81S FOG              
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    31  31 100 CALM      29.82F FOG              
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    31  30  96 CALM      29.82S FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     33  30  88 MISG      29.80F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    31  30  98 CALM      29.81S FOG              
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    37  31  78 S3        29.81S                  
RUTLAND*       MIX PCPN  33  31  92 CALM      29.81F                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    32  30  92 CALM      29.82F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    36  34  94 S6        29.80F FOG     WCI  31  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    32  31  96 CALM      29.80S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    37  33  85 CALM      29.82R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     30 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     28 N/A N/A NE1         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     30 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     28 N/A N/A W29         N/A  WCI  13          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     36  34  93 SW9         N/A  WCI  29          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     37  36  93 S10         N/A  WCI  30          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     37  36  93 S5          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;849377
FXUS61 KBTV 211121
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
621 AM EST Sat Jan 21 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Cloudy yet unseasonably mild weather will continue for the 
North Country this weekend. A weak disturbance across the 
eastern Great Lakes moving northeastward into prevailing high 
pressure, providing just a chance of a few light rain showers 
and patchy drizzle to the North Country today into tonight. The 
start of the work week brings a more active period of weather. A
moisture laden system moving slowly northeastward from the Gulf
coast states will bring a wintry mix to the North Country, 
along with the potential for strong and gusty winds, especially 
along the western slopes of the Green Mountains. After this 
system shifts away through the Canadian Maritimes, temperatures 
will remain unseasonably mild. May see some additional rain or 
snow showers through the later half of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 614 AM EST Saturday...No changes to the forecast with this
update. Temperatures steady state under the cloud cover, with
light fog/drizzle across the area covered with light
rain/drizzle in the forecast.

Previous discussion...Surface high pressure over the Gulf
of Maine this morning will remain our controlling weather 
feature through the weekend. Prevailing S-SW low-level flow is 
maintaining unseasonably mild temperatures in the 30s in most 
sections early this morning. In addition, 2-meter dewpoints are 
in the low-mid 30s, resulting in patchy fog. Low-level moisture 
trapped below the subsidence inversion (near 3kft AGL), is 
keeping stratus deck locked in, and precluding much in the way 
of radiational cooling as a result. The 00Z NAM fcst soundings 
suggest little in the way of cloud trends today and tonight, but
some partial clearing possible during the day Sunday. 

There is a weak warm frontal zone across Lake Ontario ESEWD
across central/sern NY. Fog and very low stratus are more
abundant across the srn tier of NY and PA early this morning.
Expectation is for some very spotty rain shower activity or
patchy drizzle to move newd into our region (20-30 PoPs)...with
any of the light precip occurring mainly 12-16Z. With temps 
mostly above freezing, not expecting much in the way of icy 
conditions, though an icy spot or two is possible in sheltered 
valley locations.

Moving into Saturday afternoon, despite clouds, temps will 
reach the low- mid 40s, generally about 14-18deg above the climo
mean for this time of year. Little change in air mass brings 
lows in the low-mid 30s for Saturday night with patchy fog 
possible. Sunday will remain mostly cloudy (few breaks possible)
with temperatures again into the low-mid 40s. Little or no 
measurable precipitation is expected today/tonight/Sunday; the 
spotty light shower/drizzle this morning may result in a few 
hundreths in isolated spots.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 350 AM EST Saturday...A weak ridge of high pressure will 
be over the region Sunday night. However, model guidance 
continuing to show a low level temperature inversion over the 
region which will continue to trap in low clouds across the 
region, so have gone with cloudy skies for Sunday night.

On Monday, ECMWF and GFS models both showing that moisture from
a low pressure area at the surface and aloft over the mid
Atlantic states will be slow to move north into the region
during the day on Monday. Have held off on bringing precipitation
into the region until mid to late Monday afternoon across most
of the region. Models continue to show the region will received
mixed precipitation, rain, snow or sleet.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 350 AM EST Saturday...Models continuing to show a 
prolonged period of unsettled weather through the period, with 
temperatures remaining warmer than normal through the period as 
well.

The low pressure area over the mid Atlantic states will continue
to mov slowly north through the period with models continuing to
show a mix of rain, snow, sleet and freezing rain possible
Monday night and Tuesday. Surface pressure gradient tightens
Monday night and Tuesday, with increasing east and southeast
winds across the region, with some areas of downslope likely.Precipitation
winds down across the region late Tuesday night, as surface low
pressure area moves north into the Canadian maritimes.

Models continue to show another low pressure system to move in
from the Great Lake late Wednesday into Thursday, bringing a
chance of rain and snow showers to the region. The region will
remain under cyclonic flow on Friday, with a chance of rain or
snow showers.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Through 02Z Sunday...Stratus deck trapped beneath inversion 
layer will maintain MVFR/IFR ceilings through the next 24hrs
with HIR TRRN OBSCD. IFR ceilings will be prevalent through the
day in nothern New York KMSS/KSLK taf sites, and a lesser threat
in Vermont and Champlain Valley until this evening. Light DZ/BR
across the region at early morning with ifr to mvfr
visibilities, and forecast this to continue through mid-morning. 
A weak mid-level disturbance moving into prevailing ridge will 
bring just an outside chance of a few light rain showers or 
patchy drizzle. Don't anticipate anything significant in terms 
of precipitation.

Outlook 12Z Sunday through Wednesday...

12z Sunday - 18z Monday...MVFR and IFR ceilings and VFR to MVFR
visibility in 3-5sm br, improving to VFR for a short time
Monday.

18z Monday through Wednesday...Conditions deteriorate to IFR
with widespread wintry mix of precipitation moving in late
Monday into Tuesday, then temperatures cooling to support snow
through Wednesday. Strong southeast downslope winds on 
Monday...especially at KRUT, with gusts in excess of 25kts 
possible. Brief period of improving conditions possible early 
Wednesday, before occasional RW/SW return mid- late week.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos/Hanson
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...Banacos/Hanson

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December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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December 2008, Week 3
December 2008, Week 2
December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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January 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 3
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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February 2004, Week 1
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January 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
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June 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
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January 2002, Week 1
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 3
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February 2000, Week 2
February 2000, Week 1
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January 2000, Week 3
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December 1999, Week 5
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