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SKIVT-L  January 2017, Week 3

SKIVT-L January 2017, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 15 Jan 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (223 lines)

Expires:201701152100;;535002
FPUS51 KBTV 151103
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2017


VTZ006-152100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSON AND STOWE
600 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2017

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY THIS MORNING...THEN
PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 1 INCH.
HIGHS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
THIS MORNING. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 8 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR SLEET LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN OR SNOW OR SLEET LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 

$$


Expires:201701151200;;535990
ASUS41 KBTV 151130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-151200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  26  16  65 NW15      30.26R WCI  14          
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  21  17  84 NW14G23   30.22R FOG     WCI   8  
MORRISVILLE    FLURRIES  24  13  62 VRB6      30.22R WCI  17          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     24  16  71 MISG      30.17S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT SNOW  16  14  93 CALM      30.17R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    MOCLDY    18   8  64 CALM      30.25R                  
RUTLAND*       PTCLDY    22  15  75 NW6       30.22R WCI  14          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    16  11  80 CALM      30.21F                  
HIGHGATE*      FLURRIES  24  17  74 W5        30.28R WCI  19          
NEWPORT*       LGT SNOW  21  16  79 NW7G17    30.19R WCI  12          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    18  14  84 CALM      30.24R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     18 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     19 N/A N/A W7          N/A  WCI  10          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     16 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     12 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      9 N/A N/A W40G58      N/A  WCI -17          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     28  19  69 NW16G22     N/A  WCI  17          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     30  19  64 NW15        N/A  WCI  19          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     30  23  74 NW12        N/A  WCI  21          

$$


Expires:No;;536394
FXUS61 KBTV 151141
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
641 AM EST Sun Jan 15 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
As an upper level disturbance moves across the area this
morning producing some light snow...primarily over the northern
Adirondacks of New York and the northern half of Vermont. Very
little in the way of accumulation is expected. High pressure 
builds into the region from Canada this afternoon and remains 
over the area through Monday. Thus drier weather is expected and
a warming trend will begin starting Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 505 AM EST Sunday...Areal coverage of light snow has
increased over the northern half of Vermont this morning and
have adjusted the forecast to indicate a greater likelihood for
light snow...but still with very little in the way of
accumulation. Otherwise...clouds will continue to linger over 
the area through this afternoon with highs in the upper teens to
upper 20s.

High pressure builds into the region tonight and Monday. As a 
result...dry weather is expected during this time period. More 
sunshine is expected on Monday and with developing southerly 
flow...high temperatures should be several degrees warmer than 
Sunday with readings getting into the upper 20s to mid 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 259 AM EST Sunday...Generally quiet conditions are
expected for Monday night through the majority of Tuesday as 
surface high pressure persists over the North Country. For 
Monday night, weak shortwave energy passing north of the area 
combined with some lingering low level moisture may spark a few 
snow showers across our northern tier zones, but most of the 
area should remain dry under partly cloudy skies. Tuesday begins
a warming trend that we'll see through the week with highs 
pushing well into the 30's area-wide with southerly flow 
increasing ahead of our next system. More on that below.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 259 AM EST Sunday...Active weather returns for the mid-
week time-frame as we continue to monitor the likelihood for yet
another mixed precipitation event, followed by mainly dry 
conditions to end the work week with well above normal 
temperatures expected.

Consensus amongst the latest runs of GFS/ECMWF/GEM have slowed the 
arrival time of precip compared to yesterdays model suite, but 
overall the synoptic pattern hasn't changed much highlighting 
primary low pressure pulling through the Great Lakes on Tuesday, 
with a secondary low developing along the Maine coast Wednesday 
afternoon/night. Trends on this mornings runs though have favored a 
weaker primary low and stronger secondary offering slightly cooler 
925mb temps Tuesday night which has changed our forecast a bit to 
limit the potential for freezing rain, and highlight more of a snow 
sleet mix instead. Mix hangs on a little longer into Wednesday 
morning across eastern Vermont as well, before warm air advection 
wins over by 18z where thereafter rain is the dominant ptype until 
the secondary low develops Wednesday afternoon/evening and colder 
air returns aloft supporting a transition to rain/snow mix Wednesday 
night. Still several days away to dial in the forecast, but our 
first guess at accumulations is a couple of inches of snow and sleet 
east of the Greens Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, enough to 
make for a messy commute. As the secondary low bombs out over the 
Gulf of Maine, north-northwesterly low/mid level wrap around 
moisture will keep some scattered rain and snow showers around for 
Thursday, but by days end surface high pressure and an upper ridge 
building over the central CONUS will begin to shift eastward. Highs 
Wed/Thu will be in the mid 30s to low 40s, and lows in the upper 20s 
to low 30s

Friday/Saturday are dominated by high pressure both at the surface 
and aloft, with mid-levels remaining very mild for late January 
supporting highs continuing well above normal in the mid 30s to low 
40s under partial sunshine.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/...
Through 12Z Monday...Band of clouds continues to move southeast
across the area producing VFR to MVFR ceilings. In addition...some
light snow is also occurring at KSLK...KPBG...KBTV...and KMPV 
and will do so through 15z. This will result on VFR and MVFR 
visibilities with brief periods of IFR visibilities. After 16z 
the clouds will decrease in areal coverage and any light snow
showers will come to an end. Therefore looking at VFR conditions
for the remainder of the period with high pressure building in.
West to northwest winds will gust into the 15 to 20 knot range
this morning before tapering off and becoming light and variable
around 00z.

12z Monday onward...Primarily VFR with surface high pressure 
through 18Z Tuesday. Next large-scale precipitation system 
tracks to our west Late Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. 
Trending MVFR with intervals of IFR in widespread precipitation,
possibly as early as late Tuesday, but more likely Tuesday 
night or Wednesday.

Thursday...mainly becoming VFR as a ridge of high pressure
builds into the region.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Evenson/MV

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January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
December 2008, Week 4
December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
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October 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
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April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
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September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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February 2007, Week 4
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January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
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August 2006, Week 5
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
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October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
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July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
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May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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June 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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March 2001, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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May 1999, Week 1
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
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December 1998, Week 5
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