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SKIVT-L  March 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L March 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 7 Mar 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (227 lines)

Expires:201703072100;;788581
FPUS51 KBTV 071139
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
636 AM EST Tue Mar 7 2017


VTZ006-072100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
636 AM EST Tue Mar 7 2017

.TODAY...A chance of freezing rain this morning. Cloudy with a
chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds around
10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph this afternoon. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds around 10 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph...becoming west after midnight. Chance of
rain 90 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning...then becoming partly
sunny. A 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Light
and variable winds...becoming southwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Snow showers likely or a chance of rain showers.
Light snow accumulation possible. Lows in the mid 20s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around zero. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 10 above. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around zero. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 20. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 5 above. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. 

$$


Expires:201703071200;;788123
ASUS41 KBTV 071130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE MAR 07 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-071200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    40  21  46 S14G21    30.21F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    33  16  49 S15       30.30F WCI  23          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    31  22  69 SE3       30.26F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     30  26  85 MISG      30.29F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    30  26  84 E3        30.28F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    38  20  48 SE7       30.25S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    35  16  45 E16G23    30.27F WCI  25          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    33  21  61 VRB3      30.34F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    39  24  55 S10G17    30.19F                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    31  22  69 S14       30.24F WCI  21          
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  38  31  76 VRB3      30.27S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     28 N/A N/A NE5         N/A  WCI  23          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A S17         N/A  WCI   9          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     39  25  56 S20         N/A  WCI  30          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  25  56 S31         N/A  WCI  27          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  16  38 S15         N/A  WCI  31          

$$


Expires:No;;788808
FXUS61 KBTV 071145
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
645 AM EST Tue Mar 7 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers will gradually increase in areal coverage across the
area today into this evening as a surface front moves across the
area. The showers will trend more scattered in nature by later
tonight into Wednesday before drier weather returns for late
week. Mild temperatures will continue today into Wednesday
before a slow trend toward colder weather is expected by late
week into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 645 AM EST Tuesday...Minor adjustments to hourly 
temperatures and dewpoints were made to going forecast through 
mid-morning to match current observational trends. Otherwise no 
changes were needed as of 630 am.

Prior discussion...
The forecast remains on track as slow moving cold occlusion 
trudges east from the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley into our region by
later today/this evening. Any light mixed precipitation will 
end across portions of north central/northeastern VT by sunrise 
if not sooner with a steadier/larger area of rain showers 
arriving from west to east over the course of time by this 
afternoon. Leaned close to a bias-corrected blend of available 
temperature data, offering seasonably mild highs from the lower 
and mid 40s across eastern VT to the upper 40s and lower 50s 
from the Champlain Valley west. This seems reasonable per back 
trajectory analysis showing source air across cooler eastern 
areas arrives from the western Atlantic south of Long Island 
this afternoon, while western counties receive trajectories from
the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys. Winds will also trend gusty west of
the Green Mountains, especially in the Champlain Valley where 
LLJ development will push gusts into the 25 to 35 mph range.

By tonight occluded front pushes through the area with
widespread rain showers becoming more confined to eastern 
counties as we progress from midnight onward into early 
Wednesday morning. Temperatures will remain mild from the upper
30s to lower 40s as surface post frontal flow trends from south
to west/southwesterly.

On Wednesday additional troughing will swing into the region by
the afternoon hours with scattered showers generally
reblossoming across the area, especially central/north. While
temperatures will be cooling aloft, west/southwesterly flow in 
the lower levels and some partial sunshine in a pronounced dry 
slot will allow temperatures to remain mild through early to 
mid-afternoon before falling late - generally upper 40s to lower
50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 215 AM EST Tuesday...Secondary cold front will push West 
to East across our forecast area Wednesday night. Minimum 
temperatures will drop into the 20s and snow showers will be 
likely in the higher elevations over Northern New York and 
Vermont. Generally and inch or two of snow is expected, the 
highest elevations may see slightly higher totals. Cold air 
advection continues all day Thursday and snow showers will 
continue through at least the morning hours and wind down 
towards the afternoon. An additional inch of snow is possible. 
Maximum temperatures will be near seasonal normals for Thursday,
generally in the 30s across the North country.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 230 AM EST Tuesday...Yet another cold front will drop
south across our forecast area Thursday night into Friday 
bringing a much colder air mass into the North country. This
will be a colder and drier air mass and it will remain in place
through the weekend. The peak of the cold air will be over the
area for Friday night and on Saturday. Lows will be in the
single digits above and below zero Friday night followed by
highs in the single digits and teens on Saturday. It will also
be brisk with gusting Northwest winds and wind chills will be
near advisory criteria Friday night. The weekend weather will be
quiet and cold with a low pressure system passing well to our
South across mid atlantic region on Sunday. Next chance at any
significant precipitation looks to be Monday night into Tuesday
with a clipper low passing the region.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
Through 12Z Wednesday...Widespread showers and MVFR conditions
expected across the region over the next 24 hours. Some
intermittent VFR and/or IFR is also possible, though confidence
is low on timing and extent of these conditions. Winds 
generally southerly and trending gusty at KPBG/KBTV/KRUT through
the afternoon hours. Primary slug of showers/rainfall to occur 
later this afternoon/evening with approach and passage of 
surface cold front. Immediately ahead of the boundary occasional
LLWS from 30-40kt possible at sites where surface winds relax. 
Toward the end of the forecast cycle the surface front will 
clear east of the area with areal coverage of showers waning 
west to east and cigs/vsbys improving.

Outlook 12Z Wednesday through Saturday...

12Z Wednesday through 00Z Friday...Scattered rain/snow showers 
transition to scattered snow showers over time as colder air 
filters into the region with secondary frontal passage.

00Z Friday through 00Z Sunday...mainly VFR/high pressure.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...JMG

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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April 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
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October 2006, Week 5
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January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
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February 2004, Week 1
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January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
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October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 4
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January 2001, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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