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SKIVT-L  March 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L March 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 4 Mar 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (233 lines)

Expires:201703042100;;622884
FPUS51 KBTV 040833
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
331 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017


VTZ006-042100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
331 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers this morning...
then partly sunny this afternoon. Highs around 7 above. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of snow
30 percent. Wind chill values as low as 22 below. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight...then clearing. Cold with
Lows around 7 below. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 27 below. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 19. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
Gusts up to 25 mph in the morning. Wind chill values as low as
28 below. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 3 above. Temperature
rising to around 11 after midnight. Northeast winds around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40. Southeast winds around
10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the lower 30s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. 

$$


Expires:201703041200;;630177
ASUS41 KBTV 041130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT MAR 04 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-041200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY     9  -3  58 NW16G24   30.39F WCI  -8          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY     3  -3  76 W9        30.31F WCI -12          
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW   5  -4  66 CALM      30.33F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A      4  -5  66 MISG      30.30F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY     2  -4  76 SW5       30.25F HAZE    WCI  -8  
MIDDLEBURY*    MOCLDY     3 -10  54 CALM      30.39S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR      4  -7  60 SW5       30.37F WCI  -5          
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR      5  -8  55 W3        30.38F                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT SNOW   6   0  78 NW6G20    30.40R WCI  -5          
NEWPORT*       LGT SNOW   3  -3  77 NW9       30.28S WCI -12          
BENNINGTON     CLEAR      6  -9  50 W5        30.40S WCI  -3          
SUTTON*          N/A      0 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A      1 N/A N/A NW2         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      0 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A      3 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     -9 N/A N/A NW32G49     N/A  WCI -39          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     10   7  85 NW16        N/A  WCI  -7          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     10   3  72 W16         N/A  WCI  -7          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     10  -2  56 SW6         N/A  WCI   1          

$$


Expires:No;;629828
FXUS61 KBTV 041119
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
619 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Below normal temperatures are expected through the weekend with
readings at least 10 to 20 degrees below normal for this time of
year. The potential for light snow showers will exist this
morning and again near Lake Champlain later tonight. More
sunshine is expected on Sunday with a pronounced warming trend
developing Monday and continuing into Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 407 AM EST Saturday...Wind chill advisory remains in 
effect this morning for a large part of the area. However...
monitoring trends of increasing clouds to limit temperatures 
from falling significantly and winds not quite as strong. Some 
areas may not reach criteria and may need to cancel early. The 
increasing clouds is in response to a shortwave trough over 
southern Quebec Province that is moving southeast early this 
morning. With dynamic support increasing cannot rule out the 
possibility of more snow showers across northern New York and 
the northern half of Vermont through the morning hours. Will 
continue this idea in the forecast before clearing takes place 
this afternoon. Today will be the coldest day with highs only in
the single digits and teens across the area. Clearing tonight 
should make for the coldest night of the weekend with most 
locations going below zero with 10 to 20 below in the mountains.
Areas near Lake Champlain may be the only place that stays just
above zero as cold air aloft moving over the lake should 
enhance the potential for clouds and some light snow or 
flurries. Going forecast has this covered well and will continue
in the forecast. The other element to watch tonight is the 
potential for more wind chill concerns. Temperatures will be 
colder than this morning...but winds may not be as strong. 
Nevertheless portions of the northern Adirondacks and the 
eastern half of Vermont may see wind chills in the -15 to -30 
range and these areas will need to be monitored for a possible 
wind chill advisory.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 407 AM EST Saturday...One more day of below normal 
temperatures on Sunday...but there will be some moderation from 
the highs on Saturday. There should be an interesting 
temperature swing Sunday night into Monday with temperatures 
rising about 35 degrees due to a dry air mass and warm air 
advection. Highs on Monday will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s. 
Clouds will be on the increase Monday and there may be some 
showers across northern New York in the afternoon...otherwise 
most of the Sunday through Monday period should be dry.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 238 AM EST Saturday...Primary period of unsettled weather
will then affect the region by later Monday night and 
especially on Tuesday/Tuesday evening. Latest operational 
guidance continues to support the idea of a rapid warm- up 
during this period as parent system tracks well northwest of the
region and increasingly robust southerly flow develops. Some 
slight timing difference among most recent GFS/ECWMF output with
the former customarily the quicker of the two models. 
Regardless a breezy, mild and wet period expected with perhaps a
brief period of light snow/snow showers across eastern VT at 
initial onset of precipitation Tuesday morning. 

By Tuesday night system cold front will sweep east ending steadier 
precipitation. Synoptic flow remains relatively mild southwesterly 
into Wednesday however so highs in the 40s to around 50 still look 
reasonable at this point. Any rain showers would be scattered to 
widely scattered at best as our area will likely reside in system 
dry slot. By Wednesday night an additional trough passage will 
usher in a distinctly cooler, more seasonal airmass which will 
persist into the late week time frame. This airmass will not be as 
cold as our current one however, and will foster better sugaring 
conditions as highs top out in the upper 20s to mid 30s with 
overnight lows mainly in the teens mountains to 20s valleys.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Saturday through Wednesday/... 
Through 12Z Sunday...Brief period of MVFR/IFR shsn at
KSLK/KBTV/KMPV through the 12-14Z, otherwise VFR through the 
period with skies trending mainly SKC after 18Z and continuing 
through the end of the forecast period. Winds modestly gusty 
northwesterly to ~ 20 kts, abating after 00Z Sunday.

Outlook 12Z Sunday through Wednesday...

12Z Sunday through 00z Tuesday...Mainly VFR as a ridge of high 
pressure builds slowly east from the Great Lakes through the 
period.

00Z Tuesday through 00Z Thursday...VFR/MVFR in
scattered/numerous rain showers. Some brief mix with snow
possible at KSLK/KMPV at onset.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
As of 130 PM EST Friday...The KTYX 88D doppler radar in 
northern New York remains down at this time. Electronics 
technicians have determined that the problem is with a bad wave 
guide switch. The electronics technicians need to order a new 
wave guide switch to repair the radar. Thus, the KTYX radar will
likely be down at least until Saturday, if not longer.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Wind Chill Advisory until noon EST today for VTZ001>008-010-
     016>019.
NY...Wind Chill Advisory until noon EST today for NYZ026>031-034-
     087.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG/Neiles
EQUIPMENT...WGH

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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