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SKIVT-L  March 2017, Week 4

SKIVT-L March 2017, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 26 Mar 2017 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (231 lines)

Expires:201703262000;;094247
FPUS51 KBTV 260755
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
352 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017


VTZ006-262000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
352 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
EDT MONDAY...

.TODAY...Sunny this morning...then becoming partly sunny. Highs in
the upper 30s. Light and variable winds...becoming southeast around
10 mph this afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...A chance of rain showers or a slight chance of sleet
until midnight. Freezing rain likely. Ice accumulation of up to a
tenth of an inch. Lows around 30. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.MONDAY...Freezing rain in the morning. Rain. Ice accumulation of up
to a tenth of an inch. Highs in the upper 30s. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. South winds around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Lows
around 30. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs around 40. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow showers. Highs in the
upper 30s. Chance of snow 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain showers.
Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 

$$


Expires:201703261100;;101395
ASUS41 KBTV 261030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-261100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    18  14  84 CALM      30.50S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    11   9  92 S3        30.52R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY     3  -1  83 CALM      30.52R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     10   7  87 MISG      30.50R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR       8   6  88 SW5       30.49S WCI   0          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      16  13  85 CALM      30.49R                  
RUTLAND*       PTCLDY    19  16  88 CALM      30.47R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    21  17  84 CALM      30.51R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      10   8  91 SE3       30.51S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR       7   4  89 CALM      30.50S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    22  18  85 CALM      30.44R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     14 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     -8 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      1 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     16 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     19 N/A N/A SE6         N/A  WCI  11          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     16  14  93 E1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     25  23  93 NW7         N/A  WCI  17          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     28  25  86 N5          N/A  WCI  23          

$$


Expires:No;;097285
FXUS61 KBTV 260843
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
443 AM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure over the North Country this morning will give way
to unsettled and warmer weather for tonight and Monday as 
developing low pressure over the central U.S. pushes a warm 
front northward through the region. Periods of freezing rain
tonight into Monday will transition to all rain by Monday
afternoon, briefly tapering off Monday night before returning
for Tuesday and ending as snow Tuesday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 443 AM EDT Sunday...

...Freezing Rain Advisory in effect for portions of the North
Country Tonight...

A relatively quiet day is on tap for the North Country to end
the weekend as high pressure centered over eastern Quebec 
continues to provide mainly sunny and dry conditions to the 
region. We'll see some increasing mid/high clouds through the 
day with chances for precipitation increasing from the southwest
beyond the 4PM hour and heading into this evening. Highs will 
run slightly below normal for late March in the mid/upper 30s to
around 40 in the Champlain Valley.

For tonight into Monday, concerns remain from the previous
forecast thinking in regards to freezing rain potential as deep
low pressure north of the Ozarks this morning will push a warm 
front from southwest to northeast into the forecast area 
tonight. Thermal profiles are as such that freezing rain will be
the dominant ptype across Essex County of New York and from the
western slopes of the Green Mountains eastward where surface 
temps will hover a freezing or just below as warmer air aloft 
moves over the area. In the deeper Champlain and St. Lawrence 
Valleys surface temps remain in the low/mid 30s overnight so 
while pockets of freezing rain are certainly possible, the 
overall impacts will be minimal. On the impact side of things, 
under the advisory area, there is some concern that impacts will
be on the low side through much of the event as modeled road 
temperatures show surfaces warming well above freezing during 
the day, and only right to freezing during the overnight. The 
expected ice accumulations won't have an impact on powerlines as
only up to a tenth of an inch is expected at the lower 
elevations, and even though higher up on the mid-slopes 
increased amounts could accumulate onto the larger transmission
lines, they can usually handle a little more without failing. 
Freezing rain will be falling during the Monday morning commute 
though so any ice on area roadways will be a concern.

By mid-day Monday the warm front pushes closer to the Canadian
border allowing surface temps to warm into the mid-30s east to
upper 40s west transitioning ptype to plain rain and ending the
threat of ice accumulation.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 356 AM EDT Sunday....Shortwave trough moves out of the
area Monday night and with best dynamic forcing now east of 
us...areal coverage of precipitation should decrease rapidly. 
Some lingering showers near the Canadian Border through the 
first part of the night will exist and that should be about it. 
Next shortwave trough moves into the region Tuesday afternoon 
and once again widespread precipitation should develop over 
northern New York and Vermont. High temperatures on Tuesday will
be in the mid 40s to lower 50s...thus expecting precipitation 
to fall in the form of rain.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 356 AM EDT Sunday...Rain will decrease in areal coverage
from west to east Tuesday night as shortwave trough moves east 
of the area. Colder air will begin to filter in and any 
lingering precipitation will turn to snow showers. Northwest 
flow aloft develops on the backside of the trough Wednesday and 
Wednesday night and looking for some mountains snow showers in 
this pattern. Drier air begins to move in Thursday and Friday 
for no precipitation. Unfortunately data all over the place 
heading into the weekend with timing of systems and have kept in
the chance for showers Friday night into Saturday. Highs on 
Wednesday and Thursday will be in the upper 30s to mid 
40s...then in the 40s for Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...VFR conditions will persist through 00z
Monday with clear skies giving way to increasing mid/high clouds
from the southwest to northeast through the time period.
Thereafter, mixed precipitation spreads into the region lowering
cigs/vsby to at least MVFR, possibly IFR. Light winds tonight
turn to the south/southeast after 12z at 5-10 knots, exception
being KMSS where directions will be more northeast.

Outlook 06Z Monday through Thursday...

06Z Monday through 00Z Thursday...periods of mixed 
precipitation, though mainly rain with cigs/vsby variable from 
IFR to MVFR. Moderately gusty NW winds likely Wednesday.

00Z Thursday through 00Z Friday...Mainly VFR, except for some
scattered snow showers over the Adirondacks and Green Mountains.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Freezing Rain Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT 
     Monday for VTZ003-004-006>008-010-012-016>019.
NY...Freezing Rain Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT 
     Monday for NYZ034.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Lahiff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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