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SKIVT-L  March 2017, Week 4

SKIVT-L March 2017, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 24 Mar 2017 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (247 lines)

Expires:201703242000;;993456
FPUS51 KBTV 240823
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
421 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017


VTZ006-242000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
421 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.TODAY...Snow likely this morning...then snow or rain this
afternoon. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Highs in the upper
30s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. Snow or rain likely...mainly until midnight.
Total snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Lows in the upper 20s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph...becoming northwest after midnight.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow in the morning.
Highs in the lower 40s. Light and variable winds...becoming north
around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 20 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 14. Light and variable
winds. 
.SUNDAY...Rain likely or a chance of snow. Little or no snow
accumulation. Highs around 40. Southeast winds around 10 mph. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain or sleet and freezing rain likely. Little or no
sleet accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. 
.MONDAY...Rain or sleet likely. Little or no sleet accumulation.
Highs around 40. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain likely or a chance of snow. Lows in the lower
30s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow. Highs in the mid
40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow likely. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Snow likely or a chance of rain. Highs in the lower
40s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
mid 20s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. 

$$


Expires:201703241100;;999127
ASUS41 KBTV 241030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 24 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-241100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    31   9  39 S15G26    30.32F WCI  20          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    24   6  46 CALM      30.38S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    19   9  65 S5        30.36F WCI  12          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     19   9  65 MISG      30.37F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      19   6  55 S5        30.35F WCI  12          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    30   8  39 S5        30.35F WCI  25          
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    25  10  53 SE9       30.38R WCI  15          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    22  12  65 CALM      30.43R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    29   9  41 S10G17    30.29F WCI  20          
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    22   5  47 S6        30.31F WCI  15          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    31   7  36 VRB5      30.37R WCI  26          
SUTTON*          N/A     19 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     12 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     14 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     18 N/A N/A S25G39      N/A  WCI  -1          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     32  18  55 S18         N/A  WCI  20          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  19  59 S30         N/A  WCI  18          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  14  47 SE18        N/A  WCI  20          

$$


Expires:No;;993173
FXUS61 KBTV 240815
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
415 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
An active weather pattern is expected for the next several 
days across the entire North Country. A wide variety of
precipitation types are also expected with snow changing to rain
today through tonight...but not before some light snow
accumulations occur. There may even be some sleet mixed in. The
precipitation will push south of the area on Saturday...but then
returns late Saturday night and continues Sunday into Monday.
Once again we will be looking at a mix of rain...sleet...and
snow.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 415 AM EDT Friday...Clouds will continue to be on the 
increase today as a warm front approaches the region. Favorable 
warm air advection will take place for widespread precipitation 
to develop across the area...especially this afternoon into the 
first half of tonight. Low dew points across the area this 
morning should help temperatures cool briefly at the onset of 
precipitation before warming above freezing later today into 
early tonight. Thus looking at snow changing to rain later 
today...with temperatures remaining cold enough over parts of 
eastern Vermont for the precipitation to remain as snow with 
even some sleet mixing in as warmer temperatures aloft move 
across the region. Most locations should see a half to two 
inches...with higher amounts in the mountains and over north 
central and northeast Vermont where two to four inches is more 
likely. Northwest flow aloft takes over late tonight and warm 
front will begin to get shunted to the south after midnight 
tonight and colder and drier air will begin to move out of 
Canada and down into the far northern portions of New York and 
Vermont. High temperatures today will be in the mid 30s to lower
40s with lows tonight in the mid 20s north to mid 30s south.

On Saturday...colder and drier air continues to push south
during the day and any precipitation will be most concentrated
over the central and southern sections of our area with front
pushing southward. Highs will be in the mid 30s to lower 40s and
thermal profile suggests a mix of precipitation types once again
with rain...sleet...and snow possible. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 415 AM EDT Friday....Initially Saturday evening the cold 
front that will have caused the precip on Friday will sag south 
of the North Country and should lead to a brief period of dry 
weather. However that will be short lived as the high pressure 
over the Hudson Bay builds east. As that does, the flow will 
become southerly and push the front back to the north with a 
reinvigorating shot of cold air and precip. Expect snow 
initially as we wet bulb down and cool however the southerly 
warm air will eventually win out, and we see a transition from 
snow with wintry mix, and then to plain rain but Sunday during 
the daytime hours. There could be a few pockets of freezing rain
but with the warm air pushing in from the south and the high 
sun angle its climatologically difficult to see much freezing 
rain in late March.

While  boundary layer temps melt all the precip to mainly rain 
during the day on Sunday, as we cool overnight we return to the 
mixed bag of precip.  The warm nose looks strongest over the Saint 
Lawrence and Champlain valleys however east of the Greens 925mb 
temps stay below zero.  The result is that I anticipate mainly rain 
with some ice pellets for the Greens and west however east of the 
spine of the Greens we'll be looking at a messy wintry mix.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 415 AM EDT Friday...The pattern continues to be messy 
moving into the work week next week. As the first of a series of
upper level troughs swings through off and on rain/snow will 
persist through Monday night before briefly subsiding. Then the 
next trough swings through bringing more rain and snow Tuesday 
into Wednesday. The difficulty in the forecast is that the 
thermal profiles are very close to the rain or snow line so 
slight movement north or south of the low pressure systems will 
have dramatic impacts on precip type. So I've gone with the 
boundary layer idea of rain/snow based primarily on surface temp
for now but will update as temps aloft become clearer.

The general trend in temperatures is that we are finally truly 
coming out of winter as the airmasses are becoming more Pacific than 
Arctic.  Thus we will see a generally warming trend that puts out 
temps near normal with highs in the 40s and lows in the 30s. With 
the exception of Monday night and temps in the mid to upper 30s 
overnight, the diurnal swings should be good for the maple sap 
runs.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...Expect VFR conditions through about 14z
before ceilings and visibilities lower through the remainder of
the period. Looking at MVFR/IFR conditions developing over the
entire area...especially after 18z and continuing through the
remainder of the period. Precipitation will begin as snow and
then transition over to rain between 21z and 00z. Light winds
through 12z before increasing out of the south with gusts in the
15 to 20 knot range at most locations later this morning and
afternoon.

Outlook 06Z Saturday through Tuesday...

06Z Saturday through 18Z Saturday...MVFR/IFR conditions 
expected to improve as precipitation settles southward and 
lessening in coverage by Saturday afternoon affecting mainly 
southern terminals at that point. Highest threat of mix to occur
at northern terminals.

18Z Saturday through 12Z Sunday...trending mainly VFR
/precipitation-free as Canadian high pressure noses briefly 
southward into the area.

12Z Sunday through 12Z Tuesday...widespread mixed precipitation
and/or rain return to the region.

12Z Tuesday onward...light and spotty mixed precipitation 
transitions toward a period of steadier rains by Wednesday.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Deal
AVIATION...Evenson/KGM

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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
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December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 2
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November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
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October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
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October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 2
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June 2002, Week 5
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June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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