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Expires:201703292000;;248684
FPUS51 KBTV 290733
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
331 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017
VTZ006-292000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
331 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017
.TODAY...Cloudy. A chance of drizzle and freezing drizzle this
morning...then scattered rain showers this afternoon. Highs around
40. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation
40 percent.
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. Isolated rain or snow showers until midnight.
Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Light and
variable winds.
.FRIDAY...Rain likely or a chance of snow. Little or no snow
accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and variable winds.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain likely. Light snow accumulation. Lows
around 30. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
.SATURDAY...Snow or a chance of rain showers. Little or no
additional snow accumulation. Highs around 40. Chance of
precipitation near 100 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs
in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
$$
Expires:201703291100;;256118
ASUS41 KBTV 291030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAR 29 2017
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-291100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON LGT RAIN 36 33 89 N6 30.11R WCI 31
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 33 33 100 NW7 30.08R WCI 27
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 33 31 92 NW12 30.08R WCI 24
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 36 33 89 MISG 30.04R
LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 34 31 91 NW9 30.05S WCI 26
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 34 33 96 N6 30.09R FOG WCI 29
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 34 34 100 NW7 30.06R FOG WCI 28
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 38 31 76 VRB5 30.04R
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 33 32 96 N3 30.12R
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 32 31 98 N7 30.06S WCI 26
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 36 32 85 VRB3 30.04R
SUTTON* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A
ISLAND POND* N/A 34 N/A N/A NW5 N/A WCI 30
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 34 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 25 N/A N/A NW18 N/A WCI 11
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 34 32 93 N6 N/A WCI 29
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 37 34 87 N14 N/A WCI 29
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 37 32 81 NW13G20 N/A WCI 29
$$
Expires:No;;249951
FXUS61 KBTV 290809
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
409 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
Deep low pressure over central Quebec this morning will continue
to provide abundant cloud cover to the North Country today,
along with areas of fog and drizzle this morning, and some
scattered rain and snow showers across north-central Vermont
this afternoon. A brief period of sunnier and drier conditions
is expected on Thursday as a ridge of high pressure builds over
the region, but unsettled weather returns for the end of the
week and into the weekend, as another storm system will bring
valley rain and mountain snow Friday into Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 408 AM EDT Wednesday...Deep low pressure over central
Quebec this morning continues to provide abundant low level
moisture to the North Country in the form of areas of cold
drizzle and fog with current temps ranging through the 30s. Cold
air advection continues through the day on northerly flow, and
while precipitation chances generally wane across the majority
of the region, additional shortwave energy rounding the base of
the upper trough will skim along the international border
maintaining the threat for scattered valley rain and mountain
showers across central and northern portions of Vermont through
the afternoon. Abundant cloud cover will persist through the day
as well, keeping temps in the mid 30s to low 40s in the valleys
while the higher summits gradually fall through the 20s.
For tonight, the upper trough finally begins to swing east of
the area with surface high pressure and and upper ridging over
the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley edging ever so slowly eastward
towards the region. Low levels finally begin to dry out with
subsidence aloft winning out, so a gradually clearing of skies
is expected though mainly after midnight with valley locales
clearing the most, mountain areas less so. Lows will range
mainly in the 20s with some teens in the Adirondacks.
Thursday will be the best day of the week as the aforementioned
high centers over the Northeast with skies continuing to clear
through the day. Unfortunately temps won't really change to much
as weak cold air advection will continue on light northerly
flow, but we should realize widespread highs in the low/mid 40s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 341 AM EDT Wednesday...Most active period of weather then
affects the region by late Thursday night and especially Friday
into Friday night as upper closed energy tracks east from the
Ohio Valley into the Mid Atlantic region. The forecast remains
quite complex in regard to precipitation timing, amounts and
type with lower boundary layer thermal profiles playing a
critical role through the period. This is not uncommon with
early spring systems with subtle changes of 1 to 2 degrees
either way potentially leading to large differences in sensible
weather. For now will maintain our prior idea of snows arriving
into our southwestern counties later Thursday night into mid
morning on Friday before a transition to all rain in lower
elevations, or rain/snow mix from 1000-2500 feet on Friday as
precipitation shield advances into the remainder of the forecast
area. At higher elevations above 2500 feet p-type may remain as
all snow. Negligible amounts of sleet or freezing rain is
expected. Lows Thursday night mainly in the 20s with afternoon
highs on Friday from 35 to 40 below 1500 feet and 30 to 35 above
that level.
Bulk of precipitation then affects the area Friday night as warm
thermal advection aloft will be peaking and as thermal profiles cool
slightly a transition to all snow is expected after midnight.
Amounts may be a bit tricky as flow trends southeasterly and some
slight shadowing effects may occur. Time will tell. I was also
cautious in leaning too high on our QPF given known model high bias
during warm thermal advective events. Nonetheless the potential will
exist for a light to moderate wet snow accumulation in many areas
with higher amounts possible in elevated southern terrain. Did lean
on the milder side of guidance given clouds and lack of appreciable
low level advection - mainly lower to mid 30s (upper 20s at
elevation). Please see our winter weather page at
www.weather.gov/btv/winter for specific accumulation forecasts and
probabilities.
By Saturday widespread light snows taper to scattered rain/snow
shower activity as system exits the Mid Atlantic coast and
gradually loses influence. Any additional snow accumulations
will be minor as late day temperatures top out in the upper 30s
to lower 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 341 AM EDT Wednesday...Relatively quiet weather then
returns by later Saturday into early next week with mean high
pressure building back across the region. Any lingering
rain/snow shower activity will wane in coverage, becoming more
confined to northern higher terrain into Sunday as highs top out
in the 40s. Temperatures will be similar on Monday with dry
weather expected. The next threat of steadier precipitation
potentially arrives toward the middle of next week with chances
of rain and/or snow showers. Temperatures will remain at, or
slightly above seasonal early April norms.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Variable flight conditions from VFR to
LIFR will continue through 12-13z before all sites lift to MVFR
except VFR at KMSS. Thereafter a gradual improvement at all
sites to VFR is expected by the afternoon. Areas of fog and
drizzle overnight generally dissipate after 12z as well, with
some lingering rain/snow showers across central/northern
portions of Vermont through about 18z. Winds calm/light
overnight trend to the north/northwest at 5-15kts after 12z with
some gusts up to 20kts possible from the Champlain Valley
eastward through Vermont.
Outlook 06Z Thursday through Sunday...
06Z Thursday through 12Z Thursday...Mainly VFR. Isolated MVFR
and showers over higher terrain of NE VT.
12Z Thursday through 12Z Friday...VFR under high pressure.
12Z Friday through 00Z Monday...MVFR/IFR in periods of rain and
snow.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Lahiff
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